Project: Averaging correct score predictions for Premier League.
12th of April edit
Alright, this was fun though it didn't go too well. I am hoping to collaborate with redditors to develop some formulas to calculate predictions with higher accuracy. I am already in touch with people regarding this, and I am working on a spreadsheet myself. If you think you can contribute in any way, please PM me. Anyway, I will be back next week. Meanwhile I'm crossing my fingers for the Liverpool game tomorrow. Thanks for the support so far! Hello, This is my first suggestion post ever. Please be nice. As you all know, correct scores have tremendous odds for a reason. I still enjoy placing tiny bets on big correct score accumulators. Odds-wise it's kind of like playing the lottery, I guess. I have been making my own guesses with a little guidance from WinDrawWin. I recently discovered Predictz and SoccerVista as well and decided it'd be better to include these in my calculations as well.
I check the score predictions on weekend PL matches on the three sites mentioned above, and I calculate the average home and away score for each match. I will then place a tiny amount on an accummulator with as many bets as I'm allowed to include, as well as X doubles or singles (I haven't decided on a permanent system for this so it will vary for now). DISCLAIMER: I admittedly haven't won anything betting this way yet, but that's mostly because I've been doing accumulators of 6+ games, which I realize now isn't the brightest idea. I will however keep doing one single accumulator serving as my weekly lottery ticket. The idea is that winning even once will cover my losses by far and then some (and then some more). Without further ado:
Swansea - Everton
Southhampton - Hull
Sunderland - Crystal Palace
Tottenham - Aston Villa
West Brom - Leceister
West Ham - Stoke
Burnley - Arsenal
QPR - Chelsea
Man Utd - Man City
Liverpool - Newcastle
Aggregate odds: 173475659
Yeah, that's way above what Unibet allows. So, for my accumulator I excluded Sunderland - Crystal Palace and Man Utd - Man City. I chose these because I personally doubt the predictions and they were among the highest odds. Here you may wonder why I still go with these bets if I doubt the predictions. This is because I want to try out this system and see where it leads me.
1 NOK (0.12 USD) per double for a total of 36 doubles - 36 NOK (4.44 USD). Total potential winnings: 2535 NOK (312.87 USD).
One huge accumulator with an odds of 1460848. Stake: 1 NOK (0.12 USD). Potential winnings: 180,351.90 USD.
Please know that I am aware of the astronomically low chances of winning. I do this for fun and the aforementioned, astronomically low chances of winning. I play for spare money and stick to small bets for this system. If I lose 99% of the time and struck an accumulator with last 1% I will still make a huge profit. In that is where I find the excitement. If it turns out that people choose to join in on this, I might do it weekly. We'll see. Otherwise, it's a very simple system so you can easily do it yourself. Good luck, everyone! EDIT: Added an "actual result" column. Will update this as matches are played. EDIT2 : Okay, one correct bet so far. Just need one more to cover my stake.
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