bettingclosed today correct score

[SERIOUS] I need advice.

Ok, it's self-intervention time.
I started betting just about a month ago (football only). I got started because a close friend of mine had been doing it for a while and had just won +$1000. Because of that, I dreamed of big money, right off the bat, instead of building a steady profit. It looked like easy money (some might say it is), so I said "why not".
Where I bet, the minimum stake is $10 for accummulators, and they don't give us too many options (stuff like BTTS and O2.5 that I usually see here). First, I didn't take my bets so seriously. Then, I started "studying" the matches, joined this sub, etc. Kept getting closer.
As of today, three times have I been a match away from +$1500, and that is 7 out of 8 matches predicted correctly. Two weeks ago, I was literally 30 seconds away from winning, but Ben goddamn Foster awarded a penalty against Villa, for example. Today Stoke City lost, and so did I, again.
I haven't won a single bet yet. Not one. Not $20, not $1000. I'm currently 200 bucks down. What pisses me off is that I think I'm good at this stuff: my friends have never even gotten as close as I have.
200 is a big number. But it's not the money that worries me; I'm honestly thankful that I do well, and I don't mean to brag. It's the addiction that worries me.
My friends say that I keep trying, that I can't retire with a negative balance. Should I step aside for a while?
If anyone here has ever hit a rough patch, please your input would be appreciated. Thanks and sorry for the long post.
EDIT: People in this sub are usually really cool, and I know this is all in good fun, but I don't mean to be a bummer, so if this is the wrong place to post this, let me know.
submitted by maurid to SoccerBetting [link] [comments]

22/11/16 Tuesday - Matchday Picks

INNOCENT POSSUM'S PICKS!:

So it hasn't been going too well recently. I respect you can't win them all but I feel I am not really even getting close. Last time, a lot of the games I put on the long list that didn't make the short list ended up BTTS, and I cut them because there were no stats to back them up. Today I will go back to 1X2 but provide some BTTS picks as well. However, bear in mind that these BTTS picks are picked more due which two teams are playing one another, and not how often those teams have had BTTS prior. Anyway, here are the picks:

MY PICKS:

FIXTURE BET ODDS
BRADFORD Vs. Northampton 1 @1.90
FLEETWOOD Vs. Shrewsbury 1 @1.85
PORT VALE Vs. Oldham 1 DNB @1.80
ROCHDALE Vs. Walsall 1 @2.00
PLYMOUTH Vs. Barnet 1 @1.83
TOTAL 1X2 @24.05
MILLWALL Vs. WIMBLEDON BTTS @1.70
OXFORD Vs. GILLINGHAM BTTS @1.66
CHELTENHAM Vs. COLCHESTER BTTS @1.72
GRIMSBY Vs. CARLISLE BTTS @1.66
LUTON Vs. PORTSMOUTH BTTS @1.72
TOTAL BTTS @14.08
TOTAL BOTH @338.89

BRADFORD:

  • Bradford are 4th; Northampton are 12th.
  • Bradford are 8-8-2; Northampton are 6-6-6.
  • Bradford have scored 26, conceded 17; Northampton have scored 28, conceded 26.
  • Bradford at Home are 4-5-0; Northampton Away are 2-4-3.
  • Bradford's last 5 were 2-1-2.; Northampton's last 5 were 2-0-3.
  • Bradford's last 5 at Home were 3-2-0; Northampton's last 5 Away were 2-1-2.

FLEETWOOD:

  • Fleetwood are 10th; Shrewsbury are 23rd.
  • Fleetwood are 7-4-7; Shrewsbury are 3-5-10.
  • Fleetwood have scored 26, conceded 24; Shrewsbury have scored 19, conceded 31.
  • Fleetwood at Home are 5-3-1; Shrewsbury Away are 1-3-5.
  • Fleetwood's last 5 was 2-0-3; Shrewsbury's last 5 was 1-1-3.
  • Fleetwood's last 5 at Home were 3-1-1; Shrewsbury's last 5 Away were 0-2-3.

PORT VALE:

  • Port vale are 11th; Oldham are 22nd.
  • Port Vale are 7-4-7; Oldham are 3-7-8.
  • Port Vale have scored 22, conceded 27; Oldham have scored 9, conceded 19.
  • Port Vale at Home are 6-2-1, Oldham Away are 2-3-4.
  • Port Vale's last 5 were 1-2-2; Oldham's last 5 were 1-1-3.
  • Port Vale's last 5 at Home were 2-2-1; Oldham's last 5 Away were 1-1-3.
  • If I was confident I would take Port Vale to win at @2.70 because that price seems huge. However I have no balls and so I am taking DNB for safety.

ROCHDALE:

  • Rochdale are 7th, Walsall are 17th.
  • Rochdale are 8-3-7; Walsall are 5-7-5.
  • Rochdale have scored 23, conceded 22; Walsall have scored 22, conceded 24.
  • Rochdale at Home are 6-1-2; Walsall Away are 1-5-2.
  • Rochdale's last 5 were 2-0-3; Walsall's last 5 were 1-3-1.
  • Rochdale's last 5 at Home were 5-0-0; Walsall's last 5 Away were 1-4-0.
  • The riskiest pick, with Walsall getting a lot of draws. However, Rochdale's last 5 games saw them score 11 and not concede once.

PLYMOUTH:

  • Plymouth are 1st; Barnet are 14th.
  • Plymouth are 12-2-3; Barnet are 4-9-4.
  • Plymouth have scored 28, conceded 17; Barnet have scored 22, conceded 25.
  • Plymouth at Home are 5-2-2; Barnet Away are 2-4-2.
  • Plymouth's last 5 were 3-1-1; Barnet's last 5 were 2-3-0.
  • Plymouth's last 5 at Home were 2-2-1; Barnet's last 5 Away were 1-2-2.

BTTS:

  • Like I said in the intro these were picked with an element of 'gut feeling' to them.
  • Last week I fancied Blackburn-Brentford and Carlisle-Exeter amongst others but didn't pick them as 1 or both teams infrequently got BTTS.
  • Both those games as well as others were BTTS before HT.
  • Millwall-Wimbledon have good BTTS records as do Oxford-Gillingham and Cheltenham-Colchester.
  • Grimsby rarely get BTTS but Carlisle do a lot. I think both teams being very high standard will end in BTTS (Think man U Arsenal 1-1 on Saturday). *The same goes for Luton and Portsmouth, both capable of scoring against one another's defence, even though they tend to keep clean sheets.

MY BETS:

  • £10.00 on 1X2 @24.05 Returns £240.54
  • £10.00 on BTTS @14.08 Returns £140.88
  • £5.00 on Both @338.89 Returns £1694.47

THANKS FOR READING!

PLEASE DO NOT BET ANY MORE THAN YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE!

LET ME KNOW IF YOU ARE FOLLOWING ANY OF THE PICKS/BETS!

FEEL FREE TO ASK ANY QUESTIONS! I WILL BE HAPPY TO ANSWER THEM!

HAVE FUN, THAT'S THE MOST IMPORTANT THING!

submitted by InnocentPossum to InnocentPossumsPicks [link] [comments]

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