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Will the New York Giants win OVER/UNDER 6.5 games? By University Stats Prof!
Giants fans had hopes of making a playoff push after rookie QB Daniel Jones won his first two NFL games to bring back the team to a 2-2 record. However, the team underwent a nine-game losing skid, while seeing many good players go down to injuries. The team fired head coach Pat Shurmur, and the new leader will be Joe Judge, a member of the Patriots coaching staff for eight years. There is optimism around this franchise with young budding stars on offense. After six losing seasons over the past seven years, can the Giants finally turn the corner?
2. Offensive Position-by-Position Breakdown
2.1 Quarterbacks (QBs) Taking Daniel Jones as the #6 overall pick in the 2019 draft was a bit of a head-scratcher. No one is laughing at the Giants’ pick anymore. Jones was brilliant during preseason games by going 29-of-34 for 416 passing yards, 2 TDs and no picks. The team still gave Eli Manning the starting nod, but that didn’t last very long. Prior to Week #3, head coach Pat Shurmur announced the Daniel Jones era was about to begin. His first NFL game was one to remember. He threw 2 TD passes and rushed for a couple more in a wild 32-31 win in Tampa (thanks to a missed 34-yard chip shot field goal by Matt Gay). Jones went on to throw 24 touchdown passes by completing 284-of-459 passes, a subpar 61.9% completion rate. His main issue was turning the ball over too often: he was picked off on 12 occasions, while fumbling 18 times. Jones still showed a lot of upside. As a comparison, many considered Kyler Murray’s rookie season as a nice success. Both Murray and Jones threw 12 interceptions, but Jones racked up 4 additional TD passes with three fewer games played. Eli Manning retired after an illustrious career, so the team signed free agent Colt McCoy, formerly of the Redskins. Every time I’ve seen him play, he’s been pretty bad as a passer. He can do some damage with his legs once in a while, but that’s about it. He has 29 career TD passes versus 27 interceptions over 10 years. Draw your own conclusions. 2.2 Running Backs (RBs) Saquon Barkley’s numbers were down from his rookie season, even accounting for the fact that he missed three games due to an ankle injury. His yards-per-carry average dropped from 5.0 to 4.6, which was still pretty good. He was also targeted a lot fewer in the passing game. I’m not worried about him. He is super talented and he will benefit from having a QB that has now more experience in this league. Defenses won’t be able to stack the line because they’ll know that Daniel Jones can be dangerous. Barkley is one of the best in the business at his position. Newly acquired Dion Lewis is the favorite to win the #2 role. He had his best year by far in 2017 with the Pats by rushing for 896 yards and reaching the end zone on nine occasions. His next-best season? 517 rushing yards the following year in Tennessee, but his 3.3 yards-per-carry average was really bad. He is more of a third-down back who can catch passes out of the backfield. Last year, Wayne Gallman seemed to be Barkley’s main backup. However, the coaching staff didn’t seem to trust him very much. Gallman even ended up being a healthy scratch for a few games. 2.3 Wide Receivers (WRs) Sterling Shepard received the highest marks from PFF among Giants receivers, but one thing causes some concern about the 27-year old pass catcher: concussions. He suffered many of them during the 2019 season. Hopefully he can be healthy in the upcoming season because he’s been very good. If you project his 10-game 2019 season into a full 16-game year, his stat line would have been 91-922-5. He has been a consistent producer in each of his first four years in the NFL. Golden Tate missed 5 games last season (4 due to a suspension and 1 because of a concussion). He had missed just two contests in the previous eight seasons! Much like Shepard, Tate has always been a consistent player. His “worst” season between 2014 and 2018 was 74 receptions for 795 yards and 4 TDs. He will be 32 years old when the season opens, but he seems to have gas left in the tank, as shown by the fact that he was on pace for a 983-yard season last year. The team leader in receiving yards turned out to be a surprise: fifth-round rookie Darius Slayton. He caught 48 passes for 740 yards, while hauling in 8 TD passes. You can’t expect much more out of a fifth-rounder, especially playing with a rookie QB! Slayton had three games with a couple of scores. All of them occurred on the road, which shows his great character. With Shepard and Tate with a clean bill of health, I’m not sure he can match his 2019 performance, so I’d be cautious if I were a fantasy owner. Cody Latimer was thrown into action following the numerous injuries to the Giants receiving corps. He did a decent job, but he is now off to Washington. Losing Latimer won’t hurt very much. Having a trio composed of Shepard-Tate-Slayton is nice. 2.4 Tight Ends (TEs) Evan Engram is certainly an upcoming tight end in the NFL. His main problem has been staying on the field. He missed one game in 2017, then five in 2018 and eight more last year. That’s worrisome. He underwent a surgery that requires a lengthy rehab. He is likely to miss many offseason activities. Prior to last year’s injury, he was on pace for his best season. If you project his numbers to a full 16-game year, he would have caught 88 passes for 934 yards and 6 TDs. Only Travis Kelce and Darren Waller caught more than 88 passes as tight ends last year. Rhett Ellison was mainly used as a blocking TE. He missed a few months with a concussion and decided it was time to hang up his cleats. In order to fill the void left by Ellison, the team signed Levine Toilolo. He only caught two passes with the Niners last year and he doesn’t offer much in the passing game. He is expected to be the primary blocking tight end in this offense. Kaden Smith was drafted by San Francisco last year, then released and claimed off waivers by the Giants in September. He ended up getting quite a bit of playing time following Engram’s injury. Over the final six games, he averaged 5 receptions for 45 yards. He remains unlikely to be involved very much as long as Engram is healthy since he is limited in terms of talent. 2.5 Offensive Line (OL) The team needed to upgrade this position in order to make it to the next level. Other than Kevin Zeitler, all other 2019 starters were either average, or below-average. Zeitler had been one of the best guars in the league throughout his first seven seasons in the NFL. His 8th year, which happened to be his first in a Giants uniform, was no different. He was graded as the number 7 guard in the entire league by the PFF rating system. The team’s other guard, Will Hernandez, saw his PFF grade drop from 66.7 to 58.4 after being chosen in the second round of the 2018 draft. He finished as the 53rd guard out of 81 players. At center, the team relied on Jon Halapio. He played pretty poorly and tore his Achilles’ in the season finale. The team has yet to re-sign him as they plan to check on his rehab during the summer. If he doesn’t come back, Spencer Pulley is the favorite to get the job, but he’s no better. Nate Solder protects Daniel Jones’ blindside. He is now 32 years old and is coming off a year where he received his lowest PFF grade over his 9-year career. That’s a source of concern for sure. Finally, we are rounding off the offensive line with right tackle Mike Remmers. He was borderline starting material and he did an adequate job last year. However, he left for the Super Bowl champions Kansas City Chiefs. Andrew Thomas was taken with the fourth overall pick last April. He is a lock to get a starting job right away. He played RT as a freshman with Georgia, before moving to LT in the next two years. Will he play RT with the Giants, or will they use him at LT while moving Solder to RT? No matter what, he’s very likely to be an upgrade for this unit. The intriguing part is whether third-round rookie Matt Peart can crack the starting lineup or not. He played his first two seasons as a LT with UConn before sliding to the RT spot in his final two years. The word on Peart is he has the physical traits required to succeed, but he lacks aggressiveness and strength at the moment. He should compete with Nate Solder in training camp. The team signed Cameron Fleming, who has been primarily a backup during his six-year career with the Patriots and Cowboys. 2020 VS 2019 OFFENSE Will the 2020 Giants offense be better than the 2019 version? The first thing that comes to mind is how much this unit suffered from the injury bug last year. Barkley, Tate, Shepard and Engram all missed time due injuries (or suspension). That alone is more likely to diminish than to increase, so this should help the production. I see more upside with this offense. Daniel Jones now has one year of experience under the belt. Dion Lewis provides better depth than Wayne Gallman or Buck Allen. The receiving corps is more likely to be healthy. The lone question mark concerns the offensive line. They weren’t so good last year. They didn’t address the position in free agency, so all hopes are in Andrew Thomas’ hands (and possibly to a much lesser degree, their 3rd round pick Matt Peart). My final conclusion is a moderate upgrade over 2019. The team had the 18th-most points scored last year, and it might go up to the 10th-14th spot. Final call (2020 vs 2019): Moderate upgrade
3. Defensive Position-by-Position Breakdown
3.1 Defensive Linemen (DLs) This is an underrated group. They don’t have big names, but they have been pretty effective. Indeed, all four main guys finished among the top 36 DLs out of 114 qualifiers, based on PFF rankings! Leonard Williams was traded from the Jets to the Giants last year. He received his lowest PFF mark of his five-year career, but he was still way above-average. He is now looking at a massive contract extension. Dexter Lawrence was the 17th overall pick in last year’s draft. He was good in all aspects of the game and finished as the 20th-best DL in the NFL. A great start to his career! Dalvin Tomlinson and B.J Hill are two more young guys who have performed at a high level thus far in their respective NFL careers. Both played roughly 50% of the snaps and they finished as the number 16 and 20 interior defenders based on PFF ratings. 3.2 Defensive Ends (DEs) / Edge Rushers (ED) Markus Golden led the team with 10 sacks. That was great, but he is now asking for $10 million per year, which the cash-strapped Giants cannot afford. For this reason, he is unlikely to re-sign with the team, unfortunately. The team found a cheaper option with Kyler Fackrell, who is coming over from Green Bay. He clearly had a down year with just one sack, one year after posting 10.5! His run defense is also very suspect. After being selected in third round of the 2018 draft out of Georgia, Lorenzo Carter posted 4 sacks and 41 tackles in his rookie season. He slightly increased those numbers in his sophomore year with 45 tackles and 4.5 sacks. He is an above-average, yet unspectacular, edge defender in this league. Rookie Oshane Ximines also recorded 4.5 sacks, but his PFF grade was much lower than Carter’s. Indeed, he wasn’t nearly as good against the run, nor in pass coverage. 3.3 Linebackers (LBs) Alec Ogletree is more name than game. Most fans know him, but he never obtained a PFF mark above 63.3. His skills defending the run are simply not good. His two seasons with the Giants have been disappointing and he won’t be back with the team in 2020. New York signed last year’s second leading tackler, Blake Martinez. He has spent his first four years with the Packers and racked up at least 144 tackles in each of his past three years. Don’t be misled too much by the numbers, though. He’s not that great. He does the job, but he’s from being a top-20 linebacker. After two mediocre seasons and failing to crack San Francisco’s lineup during the 2019 training camp, David Mayo was an unlikely candidate to become a good LB. He had just 51 tackles in four years. Yet, he surprised many with 82 tackles and two sacks, earning surprisingly high marks from PFF. Still, I wouldn’t hold my breath about him matching his 2019 performance. Deone Bucannon has been a major bust as a former first-round pick in the 2014 draft. He started the year with the Bucs before being released, and then signed by the Giants. He played nine games with the team. He’s unlikely to make a big impact. 3.4 Cornerbacks (CBs) Last year’s starters were rookie DeAndre Baker and Janoris Jenkins. Baker was picked towards the end of the first round in last year’s draft. Coming out of Georgia, he struggled mightily in coverage. PFF graded him as the number 105 CB out of 112 qualifiers. He must clearly up his game in 2020. Jenkins was much more solid year on the field, but off-the-field incidents led to his release late in the season. He openly complained about not being used to cover top wideouts, but the icing on the cake was an inappropriate Twitter exchange with a fan. The Giants made somewhat of a splash by acquiring one of the top available corners on the market, James Bradberry. He instantly becomes their starting corner opposite of Baker. He has picked up eight interceptions in his first four seasons in the league. PFF is not very high on Bradberry, though. He obtained the #68 spot out of 112 CBs last year, and has never received very high marks throughout his career. Don’t expect him to be the savior. The team’s depth is great at the position: Sam Beal, Corey Ballentine and Grant Haley aren’t good enough to start in the NFL. 3.5 Safeties (S) Antoine Bethea played 99.6% of the defensive snaps last year. The team was not satisfied with his play and released him in the offseason. According to PFF, he wasn’t horrible since he ended the year as the #40 safety out of 87 guys. The other starter was Jabrill Peppers. The former first-round pick has done an “okay” job thus far in his career. He has one interception in each of his first three seasons. With a glaring hole at the position, the Giants picked up Xavier McKinney early in the second round in this year’s draft. He was very productive with the Crimson Tide while playing from different spots on defense (from the slot, as a safety, or in the box). He has great instincts, but he could improve as a tackler. Julian Love picked up the slack when Peppers down to an injury last year. He was a 2019 fourth-rounder out of Notre Dame and he also did respectable work. 2020 VS 2019 DEFENSE Markus Golden is gone; in comes Kyler Fackrell. That’s a net loss for the Giants. I also believe the team was better off with Janoris Jenkins at CB than newly acquired James Bradberry. Also, getting rid of Antoine Bethea may not be a positive for the team when focusing on the 2020 season, although rookie Xavier McKinney could successfully fill his shoes. Granted, the team upgraded the linebacking corps by replacing Alec Ogletree with Blake Martinez. As of late February, the team had the lowest cap dollars devoted to the defensive side of the ball. You can’t expect great results under such circumstances. The team allowed the third-highest number of points last year, so there is not much room for going down further. Still, to me the talent level dropped a little bit overall in comparison to 2019. Final call (2020 vs 2019): Small downgrade
4. Regular Season Wins
According to sportsbooks, the New York Giants are expected to win 6.5 games this season. Should we bet the “over” or the “under”? I'll answer this question via two different methods. 4.1 Professor MJ's Prediction I won't go into the mathematical details, but here is a summary of my own personal pick (based on my analysis above and my estimated spreads for the Giants' 16 games):
OVER 6.5 WINS
UNDER 6.5 WINS
-118 (Sports Interaction)
Tip: Bet UNDER 6.5 wins 4.2 Based on BetOnline's Point Spreads Here is the methodology I used here:
Use BetOnline.ag’s point spreads on all 256 regular season games.
Convert those point spreads into win probabilities.
Simulate each of the 256 games, according to those win probabilities, via the R statistical software.
Repeat the previous step one million times (you get 1M simulated seasons).
Count the proportion of seasons where the Giants won more or less than 6.5 games.
Here are the results:
OVER 6.5 WINS
UNDER 6.5 WINS
-118 (Sports Interaction)
Tip: Bet UNDER 6.5 wins In summary, both analyses recommend betting the UNDER. I do like this play quite a bit, personally. I believe their offense should be exciting to watch, but their defense is atrocious. Here are BetOnline’s point spreads for the Giants’ 16 regular season games:
HOME: 0 vs ARI, +1 vs CLE, +3 vs DAL, +3.5 vs PHI, +3 vs PIT, +7.5 vs SF, +3 vs TB, -5 vs WAS.
Note: The “Best odds” from the table above were obtained after looking at 13 well-known online sportsbooks on May 18th, 2020. TOMORROW: The 2020 preview for the San Francisco 49ers (the team whose ROI is the 14th-highest in the NFL)! Professor MJ
Hey All, I've generally had a complaint that mock drafts are blind to GM tendencies, team schemes, and upcoming contracts / need for cap flexibility, so a couple friends and I used quarantine to throw together a three round mock draft (trades inclusive) that tries to pay attention to this. Obviously, we can't know your team's scheme and history as well as you, but we figured it'd be great to share our mock draft anyway and invite any thoughts on it. NFL_Draft can be a little critical, as it should be given we're making guesses that impact the future of your franchise, but we're also big boys so feel free to tear this thing to shreds (or compliment it if you feel so inclined). The thing is far from perfect, so to add to the discussion and educate us a little bit, please feel free to let us know what picks you liked/disliked. To make this easier to read we broke it out similar to Matt Miller's early mock drafts, with Round 1 up front with short descriptions on each pick followed by Rounds 2 and 3 with no detail. Additionally, we've added in the back a summary of trades as well as a break out by team. T-5 days until Thursday! Round 1: CINCINNATI: Joe Burrow, QB There's not much to explain here. What doesn't Cincinnati need? That list starts and ends at WR. They could take any number of players here and they would start tomorrow, but when you're building a team from the ground up, you take a QB, and who better than the guy who threw for 60 TDs, 5,671 yards, a 76% completion percentage, won a national championship, and ripped a cigar in the locker room… small hands and all. WASHINGTON: Chase Young, EDGE Say what you will about Dan Snyder, and you're probably right, but the guy tends to make the right call in the top 10. Since buying the team in 1999, the Redskins have picked in the top 10 an amazing 9 times, but those picks have been Champ Bailey, LaVar Arrington, Chris Samuels, Sean Taylor, Carlos Rogers, LaRon Landry, Trent Williams, RGIII, and Brandon Scherff. Every single one of those players has been a Pro Bowler. Not much to overthink here. Dan Snyder gets a generational talent and easily the best player in the draft, bringing back the hometown kid. DETROIT: Jeff Okudah, CB Patricia's defense is predicated upon a strong secondary playing predominantly press-man coverage, sticking to receivers long enough to create coverage sacks. While Justin Coleman has been vastly underrated for the Lions, there's also no way to play him on the outside, and the Lions will need someone to line up opposite Desmond Trufant with Slay in Philadelphia. Taking a DB in the top 10 is always risky, but so is trading down here. Patricia insists on a versatile defense with no particular scheme, and Okudah's well-rounded skillset including strength as a cover corner, in press-man, in off-man, and zone fits perfectly in Detroit. NY GIANTS: Tristan Wirfs, OL\* Gettleman is no stranger to controversy, but his pick here is far from that. Isaiah Simmons is the best player on the Board, but the young cornerstones of this franchise stand behind a line that with the exception of Will Hernandez probably shouldn't be there in four years. Lucky for Gettleman, he gets his pick of OL, four of whom are arguably worth a top 10 pick almost any year. While Judge may want to take the most NFL-ready prospect in Wills, I imagine Gettleman can't pass up on the athleticism and versatility of Wirfs. With his speed in the open field, quickness in getting to the second level and ability to make blocks in the open field, Wirfs can become Saquon's best friend pretty quick, especially on screen plays. *But honestly, leave it to Gettleman to fool everyone and make a pick out of left field. No, literally, this guy could make a pick from left field and ask Brett Gardner to take NJ Transit down to MetLife on Sundays. MIAMI: Tua Tagovailoa, QB Miami refuses to tank and still wins the Tua Sweepstakes. With all that has gone on in 2020, at least there's some good in the world and Brian Flores is about 40% of it. I completely understand that there are injury concerns about Tua that are hard to overlook. But it's also hard to overlook issues with Justin Herbert -- namely just how off target he could be throwing down the field. I'm not doubting his athleticism or the absolute rocket he has attached to his shoulder, but the fact of the matter is his completion percentage, which is already lower than Tua's, is aided by playing weaker defenses in the Pac-12 and the absolutely absurd number of easy bubble screens and dump passes he throws behind the line of scrimmage. Both QBs are phenomenal, but Tua's accuracy, ability to extend plays, willingness to take hits, and ability avoid sacks outweigh the injury risk. If you're lucky, you have a potential Hall of Fame quarterback, and if you're unlucky, Brian Flores will still probably get you to 7-9 with the Goldman Sachs analyst you call a backup QB. LA CHARGERS: Justin Herbert, QB I spent most of the last pick talking about why not to pick Justin Herbert, but here's why you should: 6'6", 237 lbs, with easily the best arm in the draft and a Josh Allen-esque ability to move. Oregon's play call didn't give him much of a chance to throw it downfield, but when he did it was brilliant. He's the kind of QB prospect that could have tested like Maurice Claiborne on the Wonderlic and still been drafted 1st overall 10 years ago. However, his inconsistency and inability to leverage his athleticism to feeling comfortable throwing on the run and outside of the pockets relegates him to third on my QB Big Board. I don't know whether I buy that the Chargers are planning on starting Tyrod Taylor this year, but whether Herbert gets his shot this year or next, he has a legitimate chance to be a star. CAROLINA: Isaiah Simmons, LB Matt Rhule walks into a full re-build with both ownership and CMC's buy-in. The one thing Carolina doesn't have for the first time in nearly two decades is a Pro Bowl LB. Hurney and company fix that immediately by taking the best athlete in the draft. This isn't Carolina's biggest need -- they have only two DTs that are going to make a roster, so I understand the Derrick Brown arguments -- nor is it typically Rhule's favorite position -- I understand arguments that they may try to continue to add to the line to protect their new franchise QB -- but Simmons is just too talented to pass up. He basically lines up everywhere from safety, to linebacker, to nickel linebacker, and even edge. If you need any more convincing, he ran a 4.39 40 (good enough for 5th best by a WR). ARIZONA: Derrick Brown, DT Keim isn't need blind, but historically he has definitely valued talent over need. If you need proof of that, just go back to last year when Keim and Kingsbury determined Kyler Murray was the best player in the draft and (rightfully) gave up on the Josh Rosen experiment. The Cardinals also just so happen to need a 3-tech guy to anchor the interior of their line, and preferably someone with some versatility given Vance Joseph's scheme (Brown played from 0- to 5-tech at Auburn). The biggest knock is his lack of athleticism, but Brown has shiftiness for his size, attacks at the line, uses his hands well, and explodes through his man. I know a lot of people mock a T here, and that makes sense too, but I just don't see Arizona's line as that urgent of a need that Keim will pass up the best player on the Board. JACKSONVILLE: CJ Henderson, DB If Dave Caldwell had the remote from Click, I'm pretty sure he'd fast forward to the 2021 draft and grabbing Trevor Lawrence. The 2020 season is going to be an ugly one for Jacksonville, and it's only going to get worse as they explore trading Fournette and Ngakoue. Caldwell won't completely ignore the best player available approach -- see Josh Allen last year -- but he definitely leans toward filling a need, and their secondary is an eye sore. I personally think spending a top 10 pick on a corner with Cam Robinson potentially become a free agent is a mistake, but there's also a mile between Henderson and the next best corner available. I imagine the Jaguars explore a trade down a little bit before taking arguably the best cover corner in the draft. TRADE: DENVER - 10 CLEVELAND - 15, 77, 118 Andrew Berry wants Ezra Cleveland, but a top 10 pick is a little rich for him. John Elway wants Henry Ruggs III, but he won't be there at 15. Berry moves back, picking up valuable draft capital to secure rookie contracts for when the bill eventually comes due on the Browns players and they can't afford to extend everyone. DENVER: Henry Ruggs III, WR Henry Ruggs III is an OC's dream. The guys finishes every play and does the little things in a way you rarely see on the offensive side of the ball. He's a great route runner with world class speed and endless hustle, whether he's running with the ball after the catch, finishing a block downfield, or making a tackle on special teams. By moving up six picks, Denver leaves Day 1 with suddenly one of the better WR corps in the league. It's amazing it took everyone this long to notice Ruggs III is the top WR in this class, but I guess that's what happens when you play in Tuscaloosa and everyone on the team is an NFL-caliber player. NY JETS: Jedrick Wills, OL I've seen a lot of mock drafts put a WR here, but I honestly buy that Gase is not that concerned about his WR corps. Not only that, but the value is going to be there in the second round -- especially for a team that needs a big target that can actually go up and get it in the red zone or on a deep route when Darnold wants to gun it downfield. That leaves offensive line as the biggest need, and in particular LT. Gase prefers lineman who are strongest in pass protection, and one of the most NFL-ready OL and pass blockers is somehow still on the Board at 11. Wills can easily slide over the left side and protect Darnold from getting sacked every few snaps, something only mono has been able to do thus far. LAS VEGAS: CeeDee Lamb, WR Numerous outlets have linked Lamb to Las Vegas, and I'm not one to argue. Gruden and Mayock both typically pick their guys and could care less how other people value them. Lamb may be the best true route-runner in this draft class and his toughness is certainly going to translate to the NFL. I've read the criticisms that he has never been forced to play against press-man in college and that he lacks world class speed, but his strengths more than make up for it and at the end of the day he's one of the more high floor WR prospects I've ever seen. SAN FRANCISCO: Andrew Thomas, OL Before trading for Emmanuel Sanders, the 49ers were 6-0 with a WR core anchored by Deebo Samuel, Marquise Goodwin, and Kendrick Bourne. They obviously need a WR, but they've also shown they can fair just fine without one. What they would struggle much more to replace is Joe Staley in the supposed 50/50 case he retires. If Staley plays another year, Thomas can kick inside or learn behind him. Shanahan prefers offensive linemen athletic enough to block in a zone scheme, and Thomas is not out-of-this-world athletic presenting a potential issue, but he's also high character and high football IQ, which Shanahan also wants in his players. Would I be surprised if Lynch and Shanahan opted to take Jeudy here? No. Do I see them passing on one of the safest bets to replace Joe Staley? Also, no. TAMPA BAY: Mekhi Becton, OL There wasn't a ton to overthink here in my book - the Bucs are going to take the best T available at 14, and here it's Becton. Tampa Bay's priority is protecting Tom Brady, and Becton gives them the best chance to do that. In a dream world, they get someone a little more polished and ready to play tomorrow (especially given the likely shortened offseason) but Becton is incredibly mobile for someone his size, able to quickly recover, and strong enough to still get ends outside. He'll need to improve his hands and get better in true dropback pass protection given Brady's tendencies, but he can potentially be a huge piece for a team that needs to re-tool its offensive line. CLEVELAND: Javon Kinlaw, DT Cleveland's two biggest needs are LT and FS, but if they were going to take a LT here they would have stayed at 10 and Andrew Berry comes from the Howie Roseman school where you don't pay safeties. Given his analytics background, I imagine he takes best player available, and that's easily Kinlaw. While raw, Kinlaw's talent is undeniable. He's long, strong, and has incredibly active hands. Kinlaw honestly looks like David Irving out there sometimes given his ability to manhandle 300lb offensive linemen, but the Browns wouldn't have to deal with all the off-field issues. The Browns can leave Ogunjobi in on base downs and bring in Kinlaw for 2nd and 3rd down pass rush. Getting Kinlaw also gives Berry the flexibility to make Ogunjobi, Richardson, or Billings cap casualties in future seasons if Kinlaw comes along quicker than expected. ATLANTA: K'Lavon Chaisson, EDGE If you watched Atlanta play last year you know this is going to be a defense-heavy draft. It's easy to see that Atlanta needs an outside corner, but it's also hard to justify taking one here with Okudah and Henderson off the Board. I know Fowler enters the fold this year, but I still think Chaisson provides value in his ability to both get to the QB and drop back into coverage. To be successful in the NFC South, Atlanta is going to need to get to the QB, and quickly. Chaisson has legitimate speed and power coming off the edge, making him an every down player. The CB is still there for Atlanta, but it can wait until the 2nd round. DALLAS: Jerry Jeudy, WR This is a similar message to Atlanta above. Dallas absolutely needs an outside corner, but it's just not there. Safety is also a need and the best guy is still on the Board, but the Cowboys have also not historically valued safeties in drafts, especially this high. Thirty years of Jerry tells me that he'll take best player available at 17, and while WR isn't a high priority position for the Cowboys Jeudy's value here is just too good to pass up. The defense still needs attention, but you can address that Day 2. Besides, how much do you need defense if you can put up 40+ points per game surrounding Dak with Zeke, Cooper, Jeudy, and that line? And with 40+ points per game, that's at least 5+ cuts to Jerry grinning and high-fiving in the owner's box. MIAMI: Xavier McKinney, S Brian Flores really started making a name for himself in New England as a safeties coach where the most important piece of a Super Bowl winning defense was Devin McCourty. Miami has plenty of holes, but it also has plenty of picks. The Miami system values versatility and McKinney provides just that as he can play just about anywhere in the secondary. Not only that, but he can provide value as a blitzer as well. The coincidence that this pick was the return for Minkah Fitzpatrick is not lost on me, but another top-tier S from Alabama with a longer runway on his rookie deal is not a bad thing. TRADE: NEW ENGLAND - 19 LAS VEGAS - 23, 98 Suggesting the Patriots trade up in any mock draft is a dangerous endeavor, but they also have an absurd number of picks in this year's draft. Giving Las Vegas a compensatory third to move up and get your pick of the draft's top LBs isn't too bad a price to pay. NEW ENGLAND: Patrick Queen, LB I'm not going to pretend to know what Belichick is going to do in this draft. It's equally likely that he trades out of the first round as it is he moves up, but I what I do know is the Patriots could use more help at LB. In particular, someone with speed who can blitz up the middle and off the edge. Anyone who watched the CFB Playoffs last year saw the speed Queen had off the edge as well as his ability to cover out of the backfield and underneath. He's equally comfortable dropping into zone as he is speed rushing the edge. High football IQ and athleticism screams Patriot to me and he just so happens to fit a position of need. JACKSONVILLE: Kenneth Murray, LB Jacksonville is a little hard to mock for in that they have need at just about every position. However, the defense hasn't been the same since Telvin Smith left. With Joe Schobert joining the fold as an inside linebacker and Myles Jack pushing to the weak side, Murray can work on the strong side. You can make an argument that the usage here isn't worth a first round pick or that Murray can lack football IQ at times, but he also possesses incredible speed and playmaking ability. He can get sideline to sideline and blow up plays in the backfield, and that kind of explosiveness can really help tie a defense together. PHILADELPHIA: Justin Jefferson, WR Philadelphia needs a receiver as bad as I need football right now, and after more than a month in my parents' basement I can tell you that's pretty damn bad. It got bad enough last year I thought the team was going to make an Invincible throwback and call up the guy from the viral fire video for a tryout. You can make an argument for any number of WRs, but Jefferson checks the boxes for Eagles fans: fast and with hands not made of bricks. The guy just had a way of getting open in college, and that's something Philadelphia has really missed the past few years. MINNESOTA: Yetur Gross-Matos, EDGE This is a risky pick in a mock draft. Minnesota's front office does not historically take DL early in the draft - the only one Minnesota has taken in the first 2 rounds in the last 10 years was Shariff Floyd - instead opting to fill in the line with late round players. However, Griffen's departure leaves obvious need here, and the idea of a player with Gross-Matos' intangibles is interesting for a 4-3 defense that loves to dial up blitz packages on 3rd down. His speed, length, and power are things you can't teach, and his ability to maneuver around offensive linemen is particularly impressive at his height. LAS VEGAS: Kris Fulton, DB Mayock and Gruden trade down from 19 and still grab their next favorite CB prospect along with an additional 3rd round pick. Last year, they demonstrated a desire to fill in team needs with prospects from winning programs. Unless you buy Eli Apple as the outside corner opposite Mullen, this is certainly a position of need. Last year, going after winning players meant a number of Clemson guys. This year, they grab their first National Champion in Fulton. Fulton's ability to stick with his man is why some have him graded as the number 2 CB in this year's class. He's rarely caught out of position, and despite a lack of top-end speed, he shows an incredible ability to recover. TRADE: INDIANAPOLIS - 24 NEW ORLEANS - 34, 75, 193 New Orleans really doesn't have a lot of positions of need this year, and make fun of me if you will, but I buy that Sean Payton is okay with Taysom Hill playing QB for at least a season if needbe. That isn't to say the Saints won't draft a QB, just that they won't reach on one at the end of the first and without a second round pick. The Colts on the other hand will - especially if they value Jordan Love as highly as others have speculated in the past month. Indianapolis gets to take advantage of the Saints wanting to trade down and gives up less than they'd ordinarily have to in order to get back into the first round. INDIANAPOLIS: Jordan Love, QB Not much to get into here. I don't buy for one second that Jacoby Brissett is the long-term answer in Indianapolis, and there have been a lot of experts suggesting the Colts buy the Jordan Love hype train. The upside here is prototypical size for a NFL QB, strong pocket presence, great arm strength and touch all over the field, and high athleticism. He also comes with a ton of risk, namely his inconsistency, turnovers, dangerous throws across the middle, and his regression last year. I'm not going to sit here and defend the pick too much. I tend not to like QBs who take steps back and throw almost as many interceptions as touchdowns playing in the Mountain West. However, while I personally think there's too much risk for Jordan Love to warrant a Day 1 grade, this isn't a Big Board, it's a Mock Draft, and a lot of people smarter than me have suggested Love is a top 10 caliber talent. If you believe that, then he's certainly worth trading up for and grabbing in the back end of the first round. MINNESOTA: Jaylon Johnson, DB After Henderson, it's really a toss-up who you think the next best corner is, but Jaylon Johnson should at least be in the discussion. Utah was quietly one of the best defenses in college football last year and Johnson was certainly a part of that. Johnson is highly instinctive with 4.5 speed and good enough height/length. I'm not sure how much his physicality will translate to the next level given his size, but his ability to read plays and act on them should make him a good cover corner at a minimum. If you need proof, look up his pick sixes on Eason and Huntley last year, where he recognizes the play and makes a change to his coverage and a jump on his ball before it's even thrown. Spielman and Zimmer have shown no aversion to drafting DBs in the first round, and with Rhodes and Waynes departing this off-season Johnson helps the Vikings fill an obvious position of need. MIAMI: Josh Jones, OL Miami could frankly use two tackles, but they wait until it makes sense value-wise and take Josh Jones here. Whoever they pick is going to have to be ready day 1, which makes Austin Jackson out of the question. Jones had a stellar senior year and cemented it at the Senior Bowl. Given he blocked for D'Eriq King he should be comfortable outside of traditional pass sets, which could prove useful if Miami picks Tua as this mock draft predicted. Jones has prototypical size and strength to be an NFL tackle and gets right into the shoulder pads of the defense. The Dolphins have a lot of needs, but thankfully spends its first three picks filling the most important ones. SEATTLE: Julian Okwara, EDGE Death, taxes, and the Seahawks reaching late in the first round. Even if Clowney chooses to re-sign with Seahawks, the team could use another edge rusher to challenge LJ Collier who put together a whopping two tackles his rookie season. I'm honestly surprised mock draft experts haven't been higher on Okwara. He explodes off the line and uses his length and speed to get around tackles. You need to look no further than his performance vs. Virginia, which he absolutely dominated. His bull-rush is NFL-ready and he has the build and mobility to drop off into coverage as necessary. The criticism will remain given his smaller frame, but the production was clearly there at Notre Dame. BALTIMORE: Cesar Ruiz, OL The truth is the Ravens don't have a ton of needs and the top LBs are off the Board at this point. If there's a weakness on the Ravens' offensive line it's at the center position. Ruiz gets out of his stance quickly and stays with defenders throughout the play. Criticism of his athleticism is overblown given he's a center. He's also incredibly young, so there's room for growth. TENNESSEE: A.J. Epenesa, EDGE The Titans biggest need is at corner, but given the number that have gone off the Board already the value just isn't there. Instead, Tennessee can address the hole on their defensive line created by Jurrell Casey's departure. Jeffrey Simmons has the size and athleticism to allow for flexibility in how Tennessee constructs its line, and this means Jon Robinson can approach this pick with a little more of a best player available approach. The best defensive lineman on the Board is A.J. Epenesa. GREEN BAY: Jalen Reagor, WR Nick Bosa embarrassed the entire city of Green Bay on national television and made clear the need for a new tackle, but I don't think Green Bay addresses that quite yet. Brian Gutekunst comes from the Ron Wolf school of thought about best player available, and the T position is a little drained here. Instead, I think GB chooses to find someone to put opposite Davante Adams. Jalen Reagor's fall into the second round of many mock drafts is hard for me to explain. The production was there in college and the combine only supported what we knew from the tape: Reagor is a superb athlete. I think the biggest knock is drops, which would likely only get worse in the NFL, but pairing him with Adams and Rogers could be absolutely dynamic. His double move is something to behold and he's great after the catch. Putting that next to, and allowing him to learn from, Adams is a match made in heaven. TRADE: CLEVELAND - 31, 210 SAN FRANCISCO- 41, 77 San Francisco lacks draft capital given their trades for Dee Ford and Emmanuel Sanders, but has needs. The Browns moved back earlier because Ezra Cleveland is their guy. Berry can't afford to let him go and can get back into the 1st round for a fair price given the Niners need for 2nd and 3rd round picks. CLEVELAND: Ezra Cleveland, OL Cleveland trades back into the first round and addresses its biggest position of need by getting somebody to protect Baker Mayfield. If you buy the rumors that Andrew Berry likes Ezra Cleveland, which I do, then it makes sense to grab him here before anyone else can in the early second. KANSAS CITY: A.J. Terrell, DB Brett Veach and Andy Reid have always valued cornerbacks, and despite the re-signing of Bashaud Breeland the Chiefs are still thin at the position. Given this, I think the Chiefs could go with the next best corner available in their mind. Terrell measures out well with good speed. I'm pretty sure Terrell still has nightmares about Ja'Marr Chase, but so do a lot of CBs not named Cameron Dantzler. That performance shouldn't erase years of strong tape otherwise. Round 2: CINCINNATI: Isaiah Wilson, OL NEW OLREANS: Zack Baun, LB DETROIT: Marlon Davidson, DL NY GIANTS: Josh Uche, EDGE LA CHARGERS: Austin Jackson, OL CAROLINA: Neville Gallimore, DL MIAMI: D'Andre Swift, RB TRADE: NY JETS - 40 HOUSTON - 48, 120 NY JETS: Michael Pittman Jr., WR SAN FRANCISCO: Denzel Mims, WR JACKSONVILLE: Antoine Winfield Jr., S CHICAGO: Trevon Diggs, DB INDIANAPOLIS: Tee Higgins, WR TRADE: MIAMI - 45, 173 TAMPA BAY - 56, 154, Future 4th MIAMI: Brandon Aiyuk, WR DENVER: Jeff Gladney, DB ATLANTA: Noah Igbinoghene, DB HOUSTON: Raekwon Davis, DL PITTSBURGH: Robert Hunt, OL CHICAGO: Kyle Dugger, S DALLAS: Cameron Dantzler, DB LA RAMS: J.K. Dobbins, RB PHILADELPHIA: Grant Delpit, S TRADE: CINCINNATI - 54, 167 BUFFALO - 65, 107 CINCINNATI: Willie Gay Jr., LB BALTIMORE: Laviska Shenault Jr., WR TAMPA BAY: Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB LA RAMS: Netane Muti, OL TRADE: LAS VEGAS - 58, 132 MINNESOTA - 80, 81 LAS VEGAS: Jalen Hurts, QB SEATTLE: Ross Blacklock, DL BALTIMORE: Akeem Davis-Gaither, LB TENNESSEE: Damon Arnette, DB GREEN BAY: Lucas Niang, OL KANSAS CITY: Terrell Lewis, EDGE SEATTLE: Ben Bartch, OL Round 3: BUFFALO: Curtis Weaver, EDGE WASHINGTON: Cole Kmet, TE DETROIT: John Simpson, OL NY JETS: Jonathan Greenard, EDGE CAROLINA: Shane Lemieux, OL MIAMI: Lloyd Cushenberry III, OL LA CHARGERS: KJ Hamler, WR ARIZONA: Jonathan Taylor, RB JACKSONVILLE: Bryan Edwards, WR CLEVELAND: Ashtyn Davis, S NEW ORLEANS: Cam Akers, RB TAMPA BAY: Justin Madubuike, DL SAN FRANCISCO: Jordan Elliott, DL ATLANTA: Jake Fromm, QB NY JETS: Troy Pride Jr., DB MINNESOTA: Terrell Burgess, S MINNESOTA: Donovan Peoples-Jones, WR DALLAS: Adam Trautman, TE DENVER: Prince Tega Wanogho, OL LA RAMS: Jordyn Brooks, LB DETROIT: Tyler Johnson, WR BUFFALO: Zack Moss, RB NEW ENGLAND: Hunter Bryant, TE NEW ORLEANS: Bryce Hall, DB MINNESOTA: Logan Stenberg, OL HOUSTON: Jeremy Chinn, S LAS VEGAS: Malik Harrison, LB BALTIMORE: Anfernee Jennings, EDGE TRADE: NEW ENGLAND - 93 TENNESSEE - 100, 195 NEW ENGLAND: James Morgan, QB GREEN BAY: Jacob Eason, QB DENVER: Tyler Biadasz, OL KANSAS CITY: Matt Peart, OL CLEVELAND: Logan Wilson, LB LAS VEGAS: Davon Hamilton, LB NY GIANTS: Matt Hennessy, OL TENNESSEE: Van Jefferson, WR SEATTLE: Kenny Willekes, EDGE PITTSBURGH: Leki Fotu, DL PHILADELPHIA: Troy Dye, LB LA RAMS: Amik Robertson, DB MINNESOTA: Antonio Gandy-Golden, WR BALTIMORE: K'Von Wallace, S ------- Trades: DENVER - 10 CLEVELAND - 15, 77, 118 Andrew Berry wants Ezra Cleveland, but a top 10 pick is a little rich for him. John Elway wants Henry Ruggs III, but he won't be there at 15. Berry moves back, picking up valuable draft capital to secure rookie contracts for when the bill eventually comes due on the Browns players and they can't afford to extend everyone. NEW ENGLAND - 19 LAS VEGAS - 23, 98 Suggesting the Patriots trade up in any mock draft is a dangerous endeavor, but they also have an absurd number of picks in this year's draft. Giving Las Vegas a compensatory third to move up and get your pick of the draft's top LBs isn't too bad a price to pay. INDIANAPOLIS - 24 NEW ORLEANS - 34, 75, 193 New Orleans really doesn't have a lot of positions of need this year, and make fun of me if you will, but I buy that Sean Payton is okay with Taysom Hill playing QB for at least a season if need be. That isn't to say the Saints won't draft a QB, just that they won't reach on one at the end of the first and without a second round pick. The Colts on the other hand will - especially if they value Jordan Love as highly as others have speculated in the past month. Indianapolis gets to take advantage of the Saints wanting to trade down and gives up less than they'd ordinarily have to in order to get back into the first round. CLEVELAND - 31, 210 SAN FRANCISCO- 41, 77 San Francisco lacks draft capital given their trades for Dee Ford and Emmanuel Sanders, but has needs. The Browns moved back earlier because Ezra Cleveland is their guy. Berry can't afford to let him go and can get back into the 1st round for a fair price given the Niners need for 2nd and 3rd round picks. NY JETS - 40 HOUSTON - 48, 120 WRs haven't fallen off the Board the way many have thought they would at the start of Round 2, but the Niners would be sure to start that trend, potentially with Pittman. As much as Gase likes smaller, fast receivers, the Jets desperately need a big guy who can work with Darnold. Pittman and Darnold have the USC connection already, and it makes sense to move ahead of San Francisco to get him. MIAMI - 45 TAMPA BAY - 56, 154, 173, Future 4th With WRs beginning to fly off the Board and Brandon Aiyuk still there due to injury concerns, Miami trades up to get him. Tampa Bay, lacking a ton of immediate needs having already added a T, gets extra draft capital in exchange for moving back to a point where at least one of the top four RBs should remain. CINCINNATI - 54, 167 BUFFALO - 65, 107 This is a tough one. There are a number of rumors that Cincinnati is enamored with Willie Gay Jr.'s athleticism and ball instincts. If that's true, there could be legitimate fear that the Ravens could take him at 55 or 60 given their needs. The Bills need picks given their trade for Diggs. The Bengals make the call to get ahead of an in division rival for their guy. LAS VEGAS - 58, 132 MINNESOTA - 80, 81 It's no secret that John Gruden loves his QBs and I think there's a legitimate chance the QB he likes in this draft class that's within reach for him is Jalen Hurts. Getting back into the second round allows him to be the first to take the QBs not projected to go in the first round. NEW ENGLAND - 93 TENNESSEE - 100, 195 There have been rumors that the Patriots' favorite QB prospect in this draft is James Morgan given his arm and the New England climate. Similarly, he's tied to Green Bay who just so happens to be on the clock at 94. If the rumors are true, Belichick should be willing to pull the trigger to move up and get him. By Team: ARIZONA: 1.8 - Derrick Brown 3.72 - Jonathan Taylor ATLANTA: 1.16 - K'Lavon Chaisson 2.47 - Noah Igbinoghene 3.78 - Jake Fromm BALTIMORE: 1.28 - Cesar Ruiz 2.55 - Laviska Shenault Jr. 2.60 - Akeem Davis Gaither 3.92 - Anfernee Jennings 3.106 - K'Von Wallace BUFFALO: 3.65 - Curtis Weaver 3.86 - Zack Moss CAROLINA: 1.7 - Isaiah Simmons 2.38 - Neville Gallimore 3.69 - Shane Lemieux CHICAGO: 2.43 - Trevon Diggs 2.50 - Kyle Dugger CINCINNATI: 1.1 - Joe Burrow 2.33 - Isaiah Wilson 2.54 - Willie Gay Jr. CLEVELAND: 1.15 - Javon Kinlaw 1.31 - Ezra Cleveland 3.74 - Ashtyn Davis 3.97 - Logan Wilson DALLAS: 1.17 - Jerry Jeudy 2.51 - Cameron Dantzler 3.82 - Adam Trautman DENVER: 1.10 - Henry Ruggs III 2.46 - Jeff Gladney 3.83 - Prince Tega Wanogho 3.95 - Tyler Biadasz DETROIT: 1.3 - Jeff Okudah 2.35 - Marlon Davidson 3.67 - John Simpson 3.85 - Tyler Johnson GREEN BAY: 1.30 - Jalen Reagor 2.62 - Lucas Niang 3.94 - Jacob Eason HOUSTON: 2.48 - Netane Muti 3.90 - Jeremy Chinn INDIANAPOLIS: 1.24 - Jordan Love 2.44 - Tee Higgins JACKSONVILLE: 1.9 - CJ Henderson 1.20 - Kenneth Murray 2.42 - Antoine Winfield Jr. 3.73 - Bryan Edwards KANSAS CITY: 1.32 - AJ Terrell 2.63 - Terrell Lewis 3.96 - Matt Peart LA CHARGERS: 1.6 - Justin Herbert 2.37 - Austin Jackson 3.71 - KJ Hamler LA RAMS: 2.52 - JK Dobbins 2.57 - Netane Muti 3.84 - Jordyn Brooks 3.104 - Amik Robertson LAS VEGAS: 1.12 - CeeDee Lamb 1.23 - Kris Fulton 2.58 - Jalen Hurts 3.91 - Malik Harrison 3.98 - Davon Hamilton MIAMI: 1.5 - Tua Tagovailoa 1.18 - Xavier McKinney 1.26 - Josh Jones 1.39 - D'Andre Swift 1.45 - Brandon Aiyuk 3.70 - Lloyd Cushenberry III MINNESOTA: 1.22 - Yetur Gross-Matos 1.25 - Jaylon Johnson 3.80 - Terrell Burgess 3.81 - Donovan Peoples-Jones 3.89 - Logan Stenberg 3.105 - Antonio Gandy-Golden NEW ENGLAND: 1.19 - Patrick Queen 3.87 - Hunter Bryant 3.93 - James Morgan NEW ORLEANS: 2.34 - Zack Baun 3.75 - Cam Akers 3.88 - Bryce Hall NY GIANTS: 1.4 - Tristan Wirfs 2.36 - Josh Uche 3.99 - Matt Hennessy NY JETS: 1.11 - Jedrick Wills Jr. 2.40 - Michael Pittman Jr. 3.68 - Jonathan Greenard 3.79 - Troy Pride Jr. PHILADELPHIA: 1.21 - Justin Jefferson 2.53 - Grant Delpit 3.103 - Troy Dye PITTSBURGH: 2.49 - Robert Hunt 3.102 - Leki Fotu SAN FRANCISCO: 1.13 - Andrew Thomas 2.41 - Denzel Mims 3.77 - Jordan Elliott SEATTLE: 1.27 - Julian Okwara 2.59 - Ross Blacklock 3.64 - Ben Bartch 3.109 - Kenny Willekes TAMPA BAY: 1.14 - Mekhi Becton 2.56 - Clyde Edwards-Helaire 3.76 - Justin Madubuike TENNESSEE: 1.29 - AJ Epenesa 2.61 - Damon Arnette 3.100 - Van Jefferson WASHINGTON: 1.2 - Chase Young 3.66 - Cole Kmet
Bengals - Joe Burrow QB LSU You have seen every reason as to why he should go to Cincinnati. He’s an Ohio kid, the reigning Heisman winner, and the best QB in college football this past season. It would be hard to justify taking anyone else here. Burrow is a winner, a leader, and will be the future of wherever he lands. Once he got the chance to accumulated at LSU we saw what happened. Burrow should be the number one pick. Redskins - Chase Young EDGE Ohio State I have seen plenty of film on Young. The truth is, it is very hard to find a fault in the man’s game. He probably has the highest expectations heading into the draft. For these reasons, I do not see Washington passing on him. They have drafted 3 first round D-lineman in the last 3 years and do have a plentiful of other needs including a tackle to replace Trent Williams and a corner to replace Josh Norman. Trading down a few picks to let someone take Tua here would probably be smart, but I believe they love Young too much. Lions - Derrick Brown DT Auburn This could be a trade down spot for Detroit but it seems in the recent days that QB’s may not go as high as originally thought. The Falcons may try to jump all the way up here for Simmons, but I am not sure they have the capital. The Lions have been linked a lot to Brown and reportedly fell in love with him over the recent weeks. After the atrocious defensive effort last season and letting Snacks Harrison go, and Brown will be a huge upgrade for the Lions. Giants - Jedrick Wills OT Alabama Another potential trade down spot. I think the Giants best bet is Isaiah Simmons, but reports in the recent weeks suggest they will go offensive line. Gettleman said he needs to invest in protecting his franchise QB and opening up space for the face of the team in Saquon Barkley. Wills comes from Alabama, where HC Joe Judge coached for many years. The connection is there and Wills is the most pro ready tackle in the draft to most. Dolphins - Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama Such an unpredictable pick here with so many conflicting reports, I am going with my gut. Adam Schefter reported the Dolphins were not as ‘all in on Tua’ as many thought, but I believe that is because they wanted Burrow who it doesn’t seem like they will be able to get. Maybe they trade up for an offensive lineman, or take one at five. I think they need to go with the player many thought was the best player in the draft up until his injury. Giving him a season’s rest should ensure his body is ready to go for a new and improved Miami team in 2021. Chargers - Isaiah Simmons LB Clemson The Chargers do need a QB, but not desperately. I believe they can play it smart here and wait to grab Herbert in the later half of the first round. Remember, Aaron Rodgers fell because no teams needed a QB, and who else really does after LA? Simmons can make their defense a top 5 one in the league, and the speed Simmons provides can help keep up with the speedy players in the AFC west. Panthers - Jeff Okudah CB Ohio State Okudah falls right into the lap of the Panthers at 7. They haven’t had a lock down CB since Josh Norman and Okudah is someone that can provide that stability. He is rated as the best CB in the draft and can help a rebuilding Panthers defense. Falcons - C.J. Henderson CB Florida (Trade with Arizona) Rumors have been swirling about the Falcons trading up, and I believe this the highest they can get considering where they sit at 16. Henderson is rated by some as a better corner than Okudah, and they need help after letting Trufant go to the Lions. Jaguars - Tristan Wirfs OT Iowa The Jaguars have a lot of holes. They let all of their stars go via trades and now building from the ground up. If I had to make a prediction, they could be picking in the top 5 next season. With that being said, going BPA here makes a lot of sense. Their offensive line has a lot of question marks on the edges, and Wirfs is a very versatile and strong player who can step in at guard or tackle and make a difference. Broncos - Ceedee Lamb WrR Oklahoma (Trade with Cleveland) There have been plenty of rumors about the Broncos trading up, either for tackle or WR. In my opinion, trading up in front of NYJ and LVR means they want to grade the WR they want, and that is Lamb. Adding a weapon like CeeDee can bring this offense into one of the best young offenses in 2020. Jets - Andrew Thomas OT Georgia The Jets would be thrilled if Thomas fell to them. Originally rated as the best OT, he can step in and make an immediate impact. If he doesn’t fall to them, I could see a trade down. I don’t think Douglas uses his first pick as a GM on a luxury pick like WR. Playing it safe with an OT makes more sense here. Raiders - Henry Ruggs III WR Alabama The Raiders have always been infatuated with speed. Ruggs brings that to table in his 4.27 40 time. The Raiders need help at WR where they were hurting big time last season after letting Antonio Brown go. Ruggs has a chance to make a big impact in Las Vegas. Buccaneers - Mekhi Becton OT Louisville (Trade with San Francisco) The Bucs trade up one spot to ensure they get their guy. Becton rose up draft boards after his combine performance and his combination of rare size and speed. Some scouts are skeptical of his abilities but his ceiling is the highest of all tackles on the board. 49ers - Jerry Jeudy WR Alabama (Trade with Tampa Bay) The 49ers look like geniuses after a receiver many considered the best in the draft falls in their lap at 14. A report of knee issues that made have been made to get him to slide is why he falls this far to me, and will be a huge upgrade for Jimmy G’s receiving corp. Browns - Josh Jones OT Houston (Trade with Denver) After trading down with Denver, Cleveland gets a proven lineman in Josh Jones who had a great senior bowl. He posted the highest one on one win rate of any lineman. He also earned the highest PFF grade of any draft eligible tackle during the regular season in 2019. This is a great pick for Cleveland. Cardinals - Javon Kinlaw DT South Carolina (Trade with Atlanta) If this scenario plays out, it could be the biggest steal of the night. The Cardinals trade down and get a player who many believe is a top ten talent. His combination of size and lower body strength makes him a potential menace in the middle of trenches. Him and Derrick Brown are about the same size, but Kinlaw’s leg’s are much bigger so if you saw him from the waist up you would think he was a linebacker. Cowboys - A.J. Terrell CB Clemson Terrell has been in Dallas’ eyes for weeks now according to reports. The secondary must be addressed early by Dallas in the draft, and Terrell makes sense for them here. If not, I could see them going with McKinney from Alabama. Dolphins - Xavier Mckinney S Alabama Defensive minded head coach Brian Flores would love an Alabama safety to replace his former Alabama safety, Minkah Fitzpatrick. They do that with the exact pick they acquired for him. Their secondary needs a lot of help, but with the signing of Byron Jones and picking Mckinney, they can rebound in 2020. Raiders - Kristian Fulton CB LSU The Raiders need a lot of help in the secondary. They had one of the worst sets of corners in the league in 2019. Fulton can ‘exceed in a lot of different schemes’ and was the number one corner against ‘accurate passes according to PFF, receiving a 74.5 rating. In comparison, none of the corners I have selected above him were in the top 5. With the level of passes being a lot more accurate in the NFL compared to college, I like the sound of that ranking a lot. He also has the highest career grade of any the high rated corners at 91.9 in coverage. Jaguars - Patrick Queen LB LSU Queen is seen as the second best LB in the draft by many. The Jags need a lot of help and could go corner or trade this pick, but judging off BPA Queen could be the choice here. He is quick and makes plays. He is the pro-typical linebacker of todays age. Eagles - Justin Jefferson WR LSU Jefferson performed astoundedly when it mattered the most, posting 30 catches for 448 and 5 touchdowns in the final three games of his career. He is one of the most underrated prospects in the country and can be the WR 1 in Philly for years to come. They need a lot of help at WR and may trade up, but if not Jefferson should be their guy. Chargers - Justin Herbert QB Oregon (Trade with Minnesota) The Chargers trade up and get in front of NE to grab the guy they knew would be there later in the draft. Herbert has some work to do, but he has the intangibles of a franchise QB. Letting him sit under Taylor for a year to learn what it takes to be the guy can help him greatly in the long run. His screen percentage in college scares many, but I believe he can have a successful career with the right franchise backing him. Patriots - K’Lavon Chaisson EDGE LSU The Pats would be ecstatic if he falls to them at 23. Seen as the second best edge rusher in the draft, the Pats would love to upgrade their defense that they will surely have to be riding in 2020 to go far. He is still raw, but showed flashes of greatness in 2019 after being injured all of 2018. Saints - Kenneth Murray LB Oklahoma Murray is a consensus 2 or 3 ranked linebacker in most prospect lists, and his production at Oklahoma shows he can be someone that can make an impact for New Orleans. Racking up over 100 tackles in 2019 and running a 4.5 40, Murray can stretch the field. Vikings - Jeff Gladney CB TCU Gladney was the best corner in the Big 12 this season, holding CeeDee Lamb to two catches in their matchup.Taking a shot on Gladney who was productive in all of his years at TCU including All-Big12 honors as both a junior and senior while breaking up 26 passes, grabbing 3 interceptions, and being credited with six tackles for loss, he could be an answer for the replacement of the CBs they let walk in free agency. Dolphins - Ceaser Ruiz C Michigan Rising up boards lately, Ruiz has been linked to Miami. Their Offensive line was very bad last season, and that was partly because they had no one to hand the ball off to. With that being said, they could address RB here, but Ruiz could end up being a great selection. Seahawks - Yetur Gross-Matos EDGE Penn State Seattle seems to be trying hard to address this need, signing Jadeveon Clowney (who we are not sure is staying long term) and drafting L.J. Collier in the first round last season. Even after these moves, only one team had fewer sacks than Seattle last season. A Ravens scout called him ‘an athletic marvel,’ standing at 6’5” 265 lbs and accumulating 9.5 sacks last season. Ravens - DeAndre Swift RB Georgia Ingram is aging. The Ravens will be one of the best rushing offenses for years to come and can solidify that with the pick of Swift here. He is explosive and was seeing time in a crowded backfield of Sony Michel and Nick Chubb two seasons ago, showing how good he has been for the Bulldogs. Titans - Austin Jackson OT USC After letting Jack Conklin walk in free agency, the Titans will need someone to protect their new franchise QB whom they signed to a 4 year deal. Jackson is by many experts evaluation the next best tackle on the board after Jones. He is raw, but his performance this past season earned him a potential first round grade. Packers - Brandon Aiyuk WR Arizona State Aiyuk has been flying up the boards lately. Green Bay has been making noise about trading up, so maybe they want a higher rated receiver. If they do not end up doing so, pairing Aiyuk with Adams can help to make the Packers have a stronger offense in 2020. Colts - Jordan Love QB Utah State (Trade with San Francisco) Referred to as ‘a poor man’s Mahomes’ by one NFL coach, Love has risen up draft boards due to his very high ceiling. I personally am not sold on him and see him sliding past this pick potentially. However, Rivers is on a one year deal and Brissett only has one more year as well. The best scenario is Love falling to Indy or them potentially trading for a guy like Josh Rosen to develop, because Rivers and Brissett are not the long term answer for a team with value young pieces. Chiefs - A.J. Epenesa EDGE Iowa If Epenesa falls this far, I do not see the Chiefs passing up on the opportunity to draft him. As their defensive line continues to improve, adding a player with the production caliber of Epenesa can help get the ball in Pat Mahomes hands that much quicker. Epenesa totaled 22 sacks in his final two seasons and while he isn’t the sexiest prospect (his combine performance has caused him to fall), if you watch his film at Iowa you will see him in the back field as a disruptor more often than not.
A big project here that has been underway for a bit, with some tweaking as needed. I only made trades in the first round. Any trades you see are reflective of first round deals. There's usually a handful of them, so I tried to really push for trades, rather than a take a less realistic approach to it and be super conservative about. Additionally, I added a few 3rd round compensatory picks, based on the projections from over the cap.
1.1 - Cincinnati Bengals - QB Joe Burrow (LSU). Don't need too much explanation here. Burrow is the best QB in this draft, perhaps even the best player, given how Chase Young was a bit quiet against Michigan & Clemson. Bringing him back to Ohio is too good. 1.2 - Washington Redskins - EDGE Chase Young (Ohio State). Another very easy pick, as Young has the potential to step into the NFL as a game changer from the first snap. Explosive, smart, and incredible hands, he has franchise changing potential. 1.3 - TRADE: Los Angeles Chargers - QB Tua Tagavailoa (Alabama). Miami could perhaps outbid the Chargers, but I don't see Miami wanting to give up too much of their stockpile for one player, especially given how many needs the Dolphins have. Thus, their #6 pick, a 3rd, and a 2021 1st round pick to Detroit for LAC to get a QB who could get them back to the playoffs immediately. 1.4 - New York Giants - OT Andrew Thomas (Georgia). This feels like such a good fit. Thomas is incredibly powerful, and fits the MO of the Giants well, building a powerful run game behind Saquon Barkley. 1.5 - Miami Dolphins - QB Justin Herbert (Oregon). According to reports, the Dolphins have done the most work on Herbert, and with the Chargers jumping up for Tua, the Dolphins choose to tap Herbert as their new starting QB, and hopefully fill out the rest of their needs with their massive stockpile of picks. 1.6 TRADE: Detroit Lions - DT Derrick Brown (Auburn). The Lions move back and still have their pick of Brown or Okudah, the two most popular names here. Ultimately, I went with Brown, as Brown can solve both their struggles stopping the run, and provide an interior pass rush. 1.7 Carolina Panthers - CB Jeff Okudah (Ohio State). The Panthers are probably hoping to get Brown, as his explosiveness is unreal, but Okudah could be an excellent piece to Matt Rhule's new defense, with his lockdown coverage ability. 1.8 TRADE: New York Jets - OT Tristan Wirfs (Iowa). As the Cardinals debate OL vs. WR, the Jets ensure they land a top OT by offering them their 3rd round pick and a future 6th round pick. The Cardinals accept, and the Jets get Sam Darnold some much needed protection. 1.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - WR Jerry Jeudy (Alabama). A great spot for the Jaguars, as Jeudy is arguably the best player left on the board, and also fills a big need for an offensive playmaker. Whether Nick Foles or Gardner Minshew starts for the Jags next season, Jeudy will make their lives easier. 1.10 Cleveland Browns - OT Jedrick Wills (Alabama). With Cleveland a sure bet to take a tackle, the Jets hopped them to get their choice. The Browns still take Wills, who has the athleticism to play either side, but either way is a big upgrade for Cleveland, as they attempt to rebuild their offensive line. 1.11 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - WR CeeDee Lamb (Oklahoma). With their decision now made for them, the Cardinals take perhaps the biggest playmaker on the board. Lamb is an exceptional fit for Kingsbury's passing attack, and he should give them a replacement for Larry Fitzgerald, whenever he chooses to retire. 1.12 Las Vegas Raiders - LB/S Isaiah Simmons (Clemson). With a big need to improve the speed of their LB spot, the Raiders take Simmons, which also fits nicely with Mayhew's affinity for Clemson players. Simmons' versatility is perhaps the best among any player in this draft. 1.13 TRADE: Philadelphia Eagles - CB Kristian Fulton (LSU). With teams like Dallas, Jacksonville, and Miami ahead of them, the Eagles act promptly to get the cornerback of their choosing. Sending their 2nd round pick and a 2021 day three pick to Indy, the Eagles land an elite cover corner in Fulton. 1.14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Javon Kinlaw (South Carolina). With the top 3 quarterbacks gone, the Bucs opt to do the smart thing, and take the disruptive DT from South Carolina. If they retain Barrett, this could be quite the deadly pass rush next season. 1.15 Denver Broncos - WR Henry Ruggs III (Alabama). The Broncos could use some speed to compliment Courtland Sutton at WR. Pairing the two of them should give second-year QB Drew Lock a promising group of pass catchers, as he attempts to bring the Broncos back to the playoffs. 1.16 Atlanta Falcons - EDGE A.J. Epenesa (Iowa). Almost too good to be true for the Falcons, as they get the second best pass rusher at 16 without having to move up. Thankfully the board falls well to them, and Epenesa gives them a powerful pass rushing presence to boost their DL. 1.17 Dallas Cowboys - S Grant Delpit (LSU). This pick seems almost too trendy, but that's because it's just a fantastic fit. Delpit's stock dropped a bit due to some poor tackling, but his ability to make plays all around the field is still unmatched at the safety position. A great fit in Dallas. 1.18 Miami Dolphins (via PIT) - OT Mekhi Becton (Louisville). The next tackle off the board comes to Miami, as the Dolphins need to rebuild this unit in a massive way. And what better way than to add a massive pass protector like Becton, who can keep Herbert clean for years to come. 1.19 Las Vegas Raiders (via CHI) - WR Tee Higgins. Wouldn't it be nice to grab a QB here Bears fans? Instead, the Raiders add a weapon on the outside in Higgins, whose elite body control allows him to come down with some insane catches. He gives the Raiders the outside weapon they're searching for. 1.20 Jacksonville Jaguars (via LAR) - CB Trevon Diggs (Alabama). The Jaguars could use a corner to play across from Bouye, and Diggs has elite size, and the ability to be a stud for them. 1.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - EDGE Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State). I'd love to see the Colts target Arik Armstead in free agency to improve their pass rush, but if they don't, grabbing a high potential pass rusher like YGM would be an excellent move, especially after trading back for more picks. 1.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Laviska Shenault (Colorado). Shenault can make plays in so many different ways. He'd give OC Brian Daboll and QB Josh Allen a major boost with his play making. 1.23 New England Patriots - EDGE K'Lavon Chaisson (LSU). The Patriots would be best not using this on a tight end, as they are slow developers in their first seasons. Instead, go sign Hunter Henry, and then draft a pass rusher like Chaisson to help your defense continue to disrupt opposing offenses. 1.24 New Orleans Saints - LB Kenneth Murray (Oklahoma). The Saints could use some help in the middle of their defense, and Murray can make plays from sideline to sideline, a very well-rounded player. 1.25 Minnesota Vikings - CB C.J. Henderson (Florida). Death, taxes, Vikings drafting 1st round corners. Though this time, the need for one is very clear, given the potential exodus of corners they could have in free agency. Henderson has the ability to be a lockdown corner in Mike Zimmer's defense. 1.26 Miami Dolphins (via HOU) - RB D'Andre Swift (Georgia). Fans usually hate running backs in the first round, but the value of Swift here, compared to reaching on a pass rusher or guard here, is fantastic. He's a dynamic back, with play making ability both as a runner and as a pass catcher. 1.27 TRADE: Tennessee Titans - EDGE Curtis Weaver (Boise State) - The Titans hop ahead of the Ravens, landing the pass rushing OLB of their choice in Weaver. A strong pass rusher with plenty of moves, he and Harold Landry would form a scary good young duo in Tennessee. 1.28 Baltimore Ravens - WR Justin Jefferson (LSU) - Rather than reach for an edge rusher, the Ravens add Jefferson, whose electrifying season was a big part of why LSU are the national champions. He can help Lamar Jackson in a lot of ways, and is a pretty willing blocker in the run game. 1.29 TRADE: Seattle Seahawks - OT Lucas Niang (TCU) - Picking up a 2021 3rd round pick to swap with the Titans, the Seahawks use this pick to grab Niang, and give Russell Wilson some more protection, an upgrade over Ifedi in Seattle. 1.30 Green Bay Packers - WR Jalen Reagor (TCU) - Back to back Horned Frogs at the end of the first round, as the Packers add a big time weapon to their offense. Reagor's ability to take the top off of defenses would be a huge boost for Rodgers. 1.31 Kansas City Chiefs - RB Travis Etienne (Clemson) - Wanted to give the Chiefs some defensive help, but nothing stood out as a great fit. Instead, the Chiefs take the best player left on the board in Etienne, and continue to add elite weapons to an already dangerous offense. 1.32 TRADE: Carolina Panthers - QB Jordan Love (Utah State). The 49ers are low on picks in this draft, so a trade back to replenish their ammo would be great. And the Panthers land themselves Love, who can develop under Rhule and new Panthers OC Joe Brady, sending a 4th and a 7th round pick to the 49ers in return.
2.1 Cincinnati Bengals - OT Josh Jones (Houston). Now that they have their franchise QB, they need to protect their franchise QB. With Jonah Williams added in last year, the Bengals add a long, athletic pass protector in Jones. 2.2 Indianapolis Colts (via WAS) - WR K.J. Hamler (Penn State). The Colts used their first pick to add defensive help, and now this pick turns into the speedy Hamler to help the offense. 2.3 Detroit Lions - CB A.J. Terrell (Clemson). After taking a DT in the first round, the Lions land a great fit in Terrell to give them some needed cornerback help. 2.4 New York Giants - EDGE Zack Baun (Wisconsin). Continuing to build the team from the inside out, the Giants add an excellent pass rusher in Baun, who has risen immensely since last season. 2.5 Los Angeles Chargers - OT Austin Jackson (USC). Like the Bengals, the Chargers need to find protection for their new signal caller, and this comes in the local product out of USC. 2.6 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - CB Jeff Gladney (TCU). After moving out of the first round, the 49ers add extra picks and now select a cornerback to boost their outstanding defense. 2.7 Miami Dolphins - G Soloman Kindley (Georgia). Miami needs to take multiple offensive linemen in the first two days of the draft, and they so here with a strong interior guard in Kindley. 2.8 Arizona Cardinals - DT Raekwon Davis (Alabama). After adding CeeDee Lamb in the first, the Cardinals add a long, powerful DT to give a boost to their defense, rather than reach on OL here. 2.9 Cleveland Browns - S Xavier McKinney (Alabama). The Browns should have plenty of opportunities to fill their biggest needs with elite prospects, and they do exactly that by adding McKinney here. 2.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - RB Jonathan Taylor (Wisconsin). The theme here is continuing to add weapons to this offense, and Taylor can be a big boost either in tangent with Fournette, or as a pass catcher out of the backfield. 2.11 Chicago Bears (via LVR) - G/C Tyler Biadasz (Wisconsin). Back to back Badgers, as the Bears add some much needed help on the OL in Biadasz, who can easily slide to guard alongside Daniels. 2.12 Indianapolis Colts - QB Jacob Eason (Washington). The Colts may have waited a bit, but they do add a QB with immense potential in the strong armed-Eason. A season behind Brissett could do him wonders. 2.13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers - OT Prince Tega Wanogho (Auburn). The Bucs find themselves a pass protector, and PTW may have the highest ceiling out of all these guys due to his immense athleticism. 2.14 Denver Broncos - OT Isaiah Wilson (Georgia). The Broncos too need to find some help at OT, and they get that with Wilson, another incredibly athletic SEC pass protector. 2.15 Atlanta Falcons - DT Neville Gallimore (Oklahoma). Didn't like a fit for any corners here, so the Falcons take Gallimore and provide a boost to their defensive line. 2.16 New York Jets - EDGE Terrell Lewis (Alabama). In need of pass rushers as well, the Jets take a chance on Lewis, who has immense potential, but has dealt with some injuries. 2.17 Pittsburgh Steelers - EDGE Julian Okwara (Notre Dame). The Steelers enter the draft, and they pick Notre Dame's top edge rusher, a crafty and surprisingly strong pass rusher. 2.18 Chicago Bears - TE Cole Kmet (Notre Dame). The first tight end off the board is Kmet, who will provide Trubisky another weapon in hopes that he can get things figured out. 2.19 Dallas Cowboys - DT Justin Madibuike (Texas A&M). The Cowboys first two picks gives them two impact defenders to help straighten out their defense. 2.20 Los Angeles Rams - OT Trey Adams (Washington). If the Rams want another run at the Super Bowl, heck, even the playoffs, they need to upgrade their OL, and they do that with the massive product out of Washington. 2.21 TRADE: Indianapolis Colts - TE Hunter Bryant (Washington) Picking this up from the Eagles, the Colts reunite Bryant and Eason, giving them a natural replacement for Ebron as a pass catching TE. 2.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Jabari Zuniga (Florida). The Bills add a pass rusher here, as Zuniga's excellent play earns him a spot in the second round. 2.23 Atlanta Falcons (via NE) - CB Jaylon Johnson (Utah) - The Falcons add a corner with the pick they received in the Sanu trade. Johnson was a major asset for the tough Utah defense. 2.24 Miami Dolphins (via NO) - EDGE Jonathan Greenard (Florida). Just two picks behind a fellow Gator's pass rusher, Greenard fits Flores scheme quite well, and provides some pass rush help. 2.25 Houston Texans - RB Cam Akers (Florida State). Akers may be the most underrated back in this draft, as he managed to put up excellent footage in Tallahassee, despite playing behind that garbage OL. 2.26 Minnesota Vikings - T/G Calvin Throckmorten (Oregon). The Vikings run came to end as the 49ers obliterated their OL. They address that with the RT out of Oregon. 2.27 Seattle Seahawks - EDGE Darrell Taylor (Tennessee). The Seahawks will likely re-sign Jadeveon Clowney as a powerful SDE, but adding an edge rusher who gets after the QB a bit more would be great. 2.28 Baltimore Ravens - ILB Troy Dye (Oregon). Filling the void left by C.J. Mosley, Dye steps into to a Ravens defense, and could be a bit component for them going forward. 2.29 Tennessee Titans - RB J.K. Dobbins (Ohio State). This would change if the Titans re-sign Derrick Henry, however, with a very good offensive line, the Titans could likely continue rushing success without Henry. 2.30 Green Bay Packers - DT Ross Blacklock (TCU). Perhaps one of my favorite "sleepers" of the draft, Blacklock has a fantastic blend of size and quickness to him. 2.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Cameron Dantzler (Mississippi St.). A big, physical corner, Dantzler should step in and contribute for the Chiefs fairly quickly, given their needs at corner. 2.32 Seattle Seahawks - WR Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.). A big play waiting to happen every time the ball heads his direction, Aiyuk would give Russell Wilson an electric weapon.
3.1 Cincinnati Bengals - C Nick Harris (Washington) 3.2 Washington Redskins - WR Donovan Peoples-Jones (Michigan) 3.3 Detroit Lions - EDGE Bradlee Anae (Utah) 3.4 TRADE: Arizona Cardinals - G John Simpson (Clemson) - from trade w/ NYJ (via NYG). 3.5 Carolina Panthers - DT Rashard Lawrence (LSU) 3.6 Miami Dolphins - G Shane Lemiuex (Oregon) 3.7 TRADE: Detroit Lions - WR Michael Pittman Jr. (USC) - from trade w/ LAC. 3.8 Arizona Cardinals - OT Yasir Durant (Missouri) 3.9 Jacksonville Jaguars - S Ashtyn Davis (California) 3.10 Cleveland Browns - G Ben Bredeson (Michigan) 3.11 Indianapolis Colts - DL Marlon Davidson (Auburn) 3.12 Tampa Bay Bucs - CB Deommodore Lenoir (Oregon) 3.13 Denver Broncos - CB Lamar Jackson (Nebraska) 3.14 Atlanta Falcons - WR Bryan Edwards (South Carolina) 3.15 New York Jets - S Antoine Winfield Jr. (Minnesota) 3.16 Las Vegas Raiders - CB/S Shyheim Carter (Alabama) 3.17 Las Vegas Raiders - LB Jacob Phillips (LSU) 3.18 Dallas Cowboys - WR Tyler Johnson (Minnesota) 3.19 Denver Broncos (via PIT) - OT Robert Hunt (UL-Lafayette) 3.20 Los Angeles Rams - DT Leki Fotu (Utah) 3.21 Philadelphia Eagles - S Kyle Dugger (Lenoir-Rhyne) 3.22 Buffalo Bills - EDGE Anfernee Jennings (Alabama) 3.23 New England Patriots - QB Jake Fromm (Georgia) 3.24 New Orleans Saints - QB Jalen Hurts (Oklahoma) 3.25 Minnesota Vikings - DL Nick Coe (Auburn) 3.26 Cleveland Browns (via HOU) - LB Malik Harrison (Ohio State) 3.27 Las Vegas Raiders (via SEA) - WR Devin Duvernay (Texas) 3.28 Baltimore Ravens - EDGE Khalid Kareem (Notre Dame) 3.29 Tennessee Titans - DT Jordan Elliott (Missouri) 3.30 Green Bay Packers - LB Jordan Mack (Virginia) 3.31 Kansas City Chiefs - LB Jordyn Brooks (Texas Tech) 3.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - OT Scott Franz (Kansas State) Compensatory Picks (as predicted by OverTheCap) 3.33 New England Patriots - OT Ezra Cleveland (Boise State) 3.34 New York Giants - WR Gabriel Davis (UCF) 3.35 New England Patriots - TE Adam Trautman (Dayton) 3.36 Seattle Seahawks - S Hamsah Nasirildeen (Florida State) 3.37 Houston Texans - EDGE Josh Uche (Michigan) 3.38 Pittsburgh Steelers - TE Colby Parkinson (Stanford) 3.39 Philadelphia Eagles - CB Thomas Graham (Oregon)
4.1 Cincinnati Bengals - WR Antonio Gandy-Golden (Liberty) 4.2 Washington Redskins - CB Amik Robertson (Louisiana Tech) 4.3 Detroit Lions - RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire (LSU) 4.4 New York Giants - CB Damon Arnette (Ohio State) 4.5 Houston Texans (via MIA) - C/G Netane Muti (Fresno State) 4.6 Los Angeles Chargers - C Matt Hennessy (Temple) 4.7 TRADE: San Francisco 49ers - C Jake Hanson (Oregon) 4.8 Arizona Cardinals - RB Chuba Hubbard (Oklahoma St.) 4.9 Cleveland Browns - OT Jack Driscoll (Auburn) 4.10 Jacksonville Jaguars - LB Akeem Davis-Gaither (Appalachian St.) 4.11 Tampa Bay Bucs - RB Eno Benjamin (Arizona St.) 4.12 Denver Broncos - DT Raequan Williams (Michigan St.) 4.13 Atlanta Falcons - CB Darnay Holmes (UCLA) 4.14 New York Jets - EDGE Kenny Willekes (Michigan St.) 4.15 Las Vegas Raiders - QB Anthony Gordon (Washington St.) 4.16 Indianapolis Colts - RB Kylin Hill (Mississippi St.) 4.17 Dallas Cowboys - WR Isaiah Hodgins (Oregon St.) 4.18 Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Ben Bartch (St. John's) 4.19 New England Patriots (via CHI) - LB Logan Wilson (Wyoming) 4.20 Los Angeles Rams - WR Chase Claypool (Notre Dame) 4.21 Philadelphia Eagles - WR Denzel Mims (Baylor) 4.22 Buffalo Bills - WR Jauan Jennings (Tennessee) 4.23 Baltimore Ravens - RB A.J. Dillon (Boston College 4.24 New Orleans Saints - CB Bryce Hall (Virginia) 4.25 Houston Texans - TE Brycen Hopkins (Purdue) 4.26 Minnesota Vikings - WR Lynn Bowden (Kentucky) 4.27 Seattle Seahawks - G Logan Stenberg (Kentucky) 4.28 Baltimore Ravens - Cesar Ruiz (Michigan) 4.29 Pittsburgh Steelers (via TEN) - OT Justin Herron (Wake Forrest) 4.30 Green Bay Packers - OT Matt Peart (UCONN) 4.31 Kansas City Chiefs - CB Kindle Vildor (Georgia Southern) 4.32 Denver Broncos (via SF) - LB Cameron Brown (Penn State) Anyways. That's my shot at one. Tell me why you hate it...
Welcome back to your official /NFL Power Rankings! 8 years ago, when /NFL was just a baby, these rankings began and as the sub has grown, we have been proud to remain one of it's most popular fixtures. Although many things of changed, our mission remains the same: to provide /NFL with rankings and analysis created by the users for the users. <3 31/32 rankers reporting An introduction for those new to this: Our system is simple, we have a fan from each team (somewhat randomly chosen over the years), and everyone ranks all 32 teams, and writes their team's blurb. We combine those rankings (tossing out the highest and lowest for each team to remove outliers), and that's the final rankings. How each ranker votes is in the link above, and that will be posted each week. Today, we're posting at 8pm Eastern to get the peak crowd, but these will typically be posted around 2pm Eastern on Tuesdays. If we screwed something up, feel free to let us know and we'll try to fix it. If you disagree, start a conversation about why we're wrong. Most of all, have fun, since that's the entire point of this wonderful game! Also please welcome Kijafa, JohnMacArthur, and (at least temporarily) Trapline as our newest rankers!
The defending Super Bowl champions will start the season with Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles at QB. While the preseason raised more questions than it answered, if the Eagles intend to repeat, then Foles will need to shine until Carson Wentz is cleared to take back the reins.
"Each year is a new year, and each year has its own challenges. Again, each year we all have to regain our — to the best we can — our ability to perform our jobs. That's what I'm trying to do. I think that's what all of the players, all of the coaches, we're all trying to do that." - Bill Belichick.
Last year the Vikings had two top-ten-graded WRs, two top-ten-graded TEs, a surprisingly decent O-line that ranked 17th in pass blocking grade and 13th in run blocking grade, and the #1 defense in the NFL. They followed that up this off-season by upgrading at QB, signing a pro bowl DT (making it six total pro bowlers on the defense), and got Dalvin Cook back. Last time they looked this good (in 2010), everyone died, the team went 6-10 and our stadium collapsed. So fans are all pretty excited to find out how they're gonna lose their seventh-straight NFC Championship Game.
The Saints come into the 2018 season with high expectations. Answering the defensive questions alongside the explosion of one of fantasy football's favorite new weapons caused a big stir in 2017 and had them a play away from a title game. On paper the only limitation to them is a Drew Brees regression, which they appear to have built contingencies for. They lose Mark Ingram to start the season, but have a pretty favorable schedule in those 4 weeks.
News of the Rams' big name signings and extensions were among the top NFL headlines this off-season, as massive improvements on both sides of the ball gives fans tremendous hope for this season. Still, an embarrassing early exit in the playoffs last year leaves them appropriately skeptical if this team can execute on their talent when needed. While it is nice to have a floor of 8-8, instead of a ceiling of 8-8 (Fisher scars remain), the goal is to play football in February.
Straight to the point: Le'Veon Bell is betting on himself. He's betting that the Steelers will be lost without him. The Steelers are betting they won't be. The problem is that if the Steelers are right and James Conner is good enough to help the team win, saying "See, we told you so" doesn't build any good feelings with Bell and his camp. When you're starting a season, is this the kind of tension and drama you want?
The time for the Jaguars being the off-season darlings is over. It's time for them to put up or shut up. Duval vs. all y'all.
A middling Atlanta off-season included not much more than signing depth players and retaining current talent. If Jaguargator9's preseason curse doesn't come to fruition, Sarkisian can prove he belongs in the NFL as a play caller, and Matt Ryan can stop throwing butt interceptions, the sky another disappointing loss in another Super Bowl is the limit.
With a significantly overhauled roster and a new defensive coordinator, it's an interesting time for the Packers. The Bears come to Lambeau with the highest paid defensive player in the league to face the highest paid offensive player. Predictions that the NFCN will be a bloodbath this year will be tested immediately.
The Cal State Dominguez Hills Chargers FC find themselves in a familiar place when it comes to expectations for the 2018 season. Fans can get excited about the return of future HoFer Antonio Gates, but will he and the Chargers finally put the pieces together for a playoff run?
The Panthers are one of the biggest question marks among the early season contenders. What will Norv Turner's new offense produce as Cam Newton works with DJ Moore and Torrey Smith? And how will the defense fair against the offenses of the NFC South?
There are a lot of question marks going into the season for the Chiefs. How will second year starter Patrick Mahomes play? Will the secondary be as bad as advertised? Can they survive their early season brutal schedule? What in the world is wrong with Eric Berry? Hopefully after Week 1 some questions will be answered, for good or for bad.
The Titans made a bold move by firing their coach after winning a playoff game at the end of last year. The main question is going to be how quickly the players can mesh with the new defensive and offensive schemes. The biggest area of concern seems to be the learning curve for Marcus Mariota with Matt LaFleur's offense, which can take some time to master.
Texans fans finally have the chance to attend the Electric Circus this year, as it looks like Watt and Clowney may actually be uninjured and on the same field at the same time. And thankfully it seems our long-running QB drought has ended as fans (and coaches) expect that Watson will definitely Be Someone this season, but with only a few games under his belt since his injury, it's too early to crown him the People's Champ because, as everyone knows, it takes grinding to be a king (even for first round draft picks). Will the Texans finally sip the sweet syrup of victory, or will it be another season of double-cupping disappointment? Only time can tell.
The Lions caught an early wave of hype after the signing of new HC Matt Patricia in February, but most have cooled significantly on them since then. Less than outstanding preseason performances and roster moves by division rivals have certainly overshadowed Detroit. It's important to remember the Lions did aggressively address their biggest weakness this off-season, however, and if there is significant improvement in the run game, it could change everything for this team.
The biggest story entering the preseason was how first round rookie Lamar Jackson would do. But while he was having rookie growing pains, Joe Flacco had an excellent 16 attempts, and Robert Griffin III earned himself a roster spot as the backup. This high level of preseason play has become customary for the Ravens, with their 5-0 preseason following a couple of 4-0 ones, and increasing their preseason win streak to 13 games.
Its rare that a 6-10 team enters the season with such high expectations, but that is the result of the season-altering trade for Jimmy Garoppolo. From 1-10 to 5-0, 2017 was a tale of two seasons. All the questions around the Niners boil down to one basic question: Which team will show up in 2018?
The makeover of the Cowboys over the past two seasons has been disturbingly drastic. Now boasting the youngest roster in the NFC, casual fans will probably struggle to name more than a handful of starters from a roster full of question marks. Committed to building through the draft, this year will serve as first indicator as to whether or not this will be a repeat of the 1989 rebuild, which looks superficially similar.
The Bears took advantage of their financial flexibility to make a huge splash by trading for Khalil Mack and promptly making him rich. While the Bears are far from in "win now" mode, it's clear Pace thinks the young core of this team is good enough to be in serious contention over the next few seasons. With new head coach Matt Nagy at the helm, the Bears could be in store for a surprising, exciting season, even in a stacked NFC North.
Seattle's certainly going through a changing-of-the-guard, and not just on the offensive line. No one can act like it's no big deal that the defense lost four (maybe five?) superstars over the last 12 months, but the Seahawks have previously shown that superstars can be made out of underrated late draft picks. On one hand, veterans bring stability and knowledge. On the other hand...
The Redskins go into 2018 with a lot of uncertainty. Nobody quite knows what to expect from Alex Smith and the rest of the offense. Preseason injuries have already quelled what little enthusiasm the fan base had and there still exists a lot of ill will over the mismanagement of talent during the off-season. Simply put, this team needs to win or they may be back to the same old revolving door of coaches and QB's who came to Washington and failed.
The Bengals, once again, retained Marvin Lewis in the off-season, a move that reinforces Mike Brown's love for the status quo. The Bengals may he slightly improved from last season, but likely not enough to be taken seriously as playoff contenders. Vegas has the win oveunder at 6.5.
With a new quarterback, a revamped backfield, and a defense exchanging one criminal for another, the Denver Broncos look to improve off of their disastrous 5-11 campaign. Bronco Killers Alex Smith and Khalil Mack have gone East—where they can't hurt the Broncos anymore—creating a wide-open AFC West. Can the Broncos get back to the playoffs with Case? Or will the hopes of the mountain rest on $wag? Only time can tell.
New GM Dave Gettleman won the adoration of fans when he signed Odell Beckham Jr. to a long-term deal in the summer. That adoration, though, will quickly wear off if the Giants get off to a bad start in what's shaping up to be a brutal early season stretch of games. Time will tell if the moves done to address the OL were enough, and if the decision to keep Eli Apple in the starting lineup was a defensible one.
It is only fitting that the writer of this blurb is over 30 and was picked up off the street last minute. The players are saying the right things after the departure of Khalil Mack, but fans are going into week one feeling a bit like they've just been broken up with. A week one win would do a lot to raise the spirits and restore faith in the new regime.
Many are counting the Cardinals out before the season begins, and Vegas has them tied for least wins with the Browns, Bills, and Jets. A coaching change, QB change, scheme change, and one of the league's toughest schedules makes some of that understandable, but nearly all the same pieces that made the team 8-8 last year are still intact. An opening home game against Washington should be a good indication of how the season may go.
After an off-season full of turnover as Colts GM Chris Ballard continues to remake the roster, projections and expectations are a mixed bag for the 2018 Colts. Pending Andrew Luck's continued health and a massive improvement in the coaching department, a 12-4 record and division title could be the ceiling of this young and talented squad. But question marks at WR, RB, and along each level of the defense could mean another top 10 draft pick come season's end.
It's easy to knock the team that spends the off-season tossing aside 3 Pro-Bowlers and bringing in some old war equipment and a receiver that only plays well during the part of the season that the Dolphins tend to watch from home, but the Dolphins are trying something that teams don't usually do, except for the Patriots: Building a team on players that want to work to win and put in the time during the week and during the off-season to win. Nobody that hasn't been to the Dolphins camp thinks they have a chance, but oddly, everyone that visits says they have something special. We'll see.
The good news is that the Buccaneers exited the NFL preseason with as many ACLs as they had when they started. The bad news is that they're facing a brutal schedule and starting the season without their top quarterback.
After a brief 17 year misstep, the Buffalo Bills returned to their standard of excellence last year with a playoff berth in Sean McDermott’s first year as HC. The defense looks to be substantially improved, with the team retaining its elite secondary talent while adding several front seven players this off-season, so the fate of the season now lies in the hands of sophomore QB Nathan Peterman as well as the ability of newcomers at offensive line to step up and perform. A failure at either of these could very well spell disaster, but improvement from last year’s 9-7 record is highly doable if things go well for the Bills in these areas.
On this week's episode of Hey Darnold!, Helga Pa-Mac-i left no doubt that the future is now by naming Sam Darnold the week 1 starting QB and sending Teddy Two-Gloves to New Orleans for a 3rd-round pick. What does the season hold? It's all on Sam now.
Can we make it all sixteen games with the same quarterback? Can we manage at least four wins? Can we make it all year with our head coach? History says no, but history is stupid. As the saying goes "those who do not study history are totally OK and things work out great". Buckle up Browns fans, its 2018!
Edit: Slight changes due to last minute ranker showing up.
Hello and welcome all you crazy football fans! Another year, another set of prediction threads coming your way. At the start of this season, we'll be seeing four division games, as well as some pretty interesting matchups. Be advised, most of my reasoning contains no reason. It's just random thoughts I have cobbled together to sound vaguely coherent. Let's get to it!
Despite the offseason drama with both teams, I need to hearken back to the Divisional Round last season to when these two teams last played each other. And although Philly has lost a lot of key players, they still maintain a great coaching staff which I think will help them get a home opener win.
I'm tempering my expectations on how good this Browns team could be. My gut is warning me about this pick, but my brain is telling me that Big Ben will put on a show, even if Bell doesn't make it to Week 1.
I think Cincinnati will barely lose this one to the Colts. Having Luck back for a home opener will have the whole place rocking and they'll have just enough firepower to squeak out a win. This one really depends on Luck's performance.
Will Mariota outperform Tannehill? I think just barely. I literally took out a coin on this one. Both teams have been pretty quiet during this offseason, so I think this first game will tell us a lot about which way either team is going this year.
I think Garoppolo has better talent than Cousins. But the Vikings have a better overall team. They didn't lose too much since last season, and I think they'll be able to pick up where they left off.
Unless you're an AFC East rival, you're going to pick Brady and the Pats by default in Week 1. It doesn't matter who they lost or gained in free agency, Belichick will find a way. That being said, I'm super excited to see Watson back on the field, and you can never count out how explosive Watt and Clowney are.
Home opener in the Dome, you can bet Brees is going to have fun on Sunday. Winston will begin the season serving a 3-game suspension, so it's Fitz-magic in this matchup. On the other side, Ingram will also be suspended. But you'll have the 2017 OROY Kamara taking most of the running snaps, with a good backfield to accompany him.
Picking up from the 2017 season, the Jags are the team to beat in the AFC South. With OBJ back, Eli will have his go-to receiver again, but I think won't be enough to beat this very good Jacksonville defense.
The Ravens are going to be angry in this matchup. Buffalo played a major part in making them sit out in January last season. And Buffalo doesn't seem nearly ready, considering their QB situation still isn't very good (Peterman and a still raw Josh Allen is probably the worst QB duo in football.) Meanwhile, Flacco came off of the preseason on fire and the Ravens are hungry to get revenge.
Most likely, unless the Raiders go apeshit, whoever wins this game will probably win the AFC West. It’s been since 2013 since the Chargers have beaten the Chiefs, so I'm sticking with what I know. This will be a good game to watch, and I think a close one. But I'm picking KC on this one.
The Legion of Boom is no more. I don't think Seattle is going to go all the way up to Mile High and coming out with a win this week. Keenum will shine with his new team and bring Denver some wins, starting with this one.
Hey, it's two teams Adrian Peterson has played for in the last year! This looks a lot like the opener last year with the Saints and Vikings. I wonder if we'll see the same result. Speaking of former Vikings, I think Sam Bradford will have a great showing this week.
This should be a great matchup. Prescott will have Elliott back and we should see some great plays from both of them. But even with that, it'll be hard to beat that Carolina defense, and Cam (love him or hate him) is basically a QB/RB combo on his own. I think Carolina barely wins this one.
Rodgers got his payday, and he's going to play like it too. I think Trubisky will do well this season, but starting off against the Packers in Lambeau is not a good way of telling that.
Many folks were betting on Bridgewater to guide the Jets to a lot of wins. But now he's a Saint, studying under Drew Brees, so Darnold is the starter. I think Stafford will pull out a close victory in this matchup.
This one will be a great game to watch. I'm very intrigued to see how good (or bad) the Raiders will do under Gruden. He came at a high cost, and I think they'll be exceptional this season, but not seeing him in action leans me towards the Rams on this matchup, given their performance last season.
Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck! Handsack135's Prediction Form Update: I went 10-6, not bad for a starting week.
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Offseason Review Series: Day 13: The Washington Redskins
Division: NFC East
ILB Coach: Kirk Olivadotti departed, replaced by Rob Ryan
Special Teams Coordinator: Ben Kotwica departed, replaced by Nate Kaczor
Defensive Backs Coach: Torrian Gray departed, replaced by Ray Horton
New York Jets
Green Bay Packers
Zach Brown: Brown's departure won't have too negative of an impact, at least in terms of pass defense. Brown's repeated inability to cover Tight Ends- often resulting in huge chunk plays being given up to opposing offenses resulting in far too many extended drives- ultimately lead to Brown becoming one of the highest-paid backups in the league by the end of the season. He could very well bounce back in the Eagles' defense, which features far more talent than that of the Redskins and thus is more equipped to mask Brown's substantial deficiencies, but this was a necessary move and shouldn't lead to any further struggles despite the lack of depth at the position. Decision Grade: B
Stacy McGee: McGee's departure won't be noticeable, as he was little more than a rotational player and didn't make that big of an impact overall. Decision Grade: A
Jamison Crowder: This one will ignite some debate amongst the burgundy and gold faithful, but in my opinion, there is no chance Crowder should've been brought back, especially not for the money that the Jets eventually paid for his services. His play and efficiency dropped markedly over the last couple seasons and although his presence in the locker room will certainly be missed, allowing him to walk makes sense. Decision Grade: B+
Ty Nsekhe: This is the lone departure that will hurt the team entering the 2019-2020 season. Nsekhe was a supremely valuable asset, as he was able to fill in either Tackle position and perform respectably. The mere thought of Ereck Flowers having to replace Trent Williams, as opposed to Nsekhe, makes me feel nauseous. The Redskins will likely regret not bringing Nsekhe back. Decision Grade: D
Preston Smith: Preston Smith was a reliable player health-wise during his tenure with the Redskins and he flashed brilliance at times, but his Dr. Jekyl and Mr. Hyde style of play (some weeks he looks like a pro bowler, while others it's hard to even find his name in the box score) made the decision of whether or not to bring him back a fairly simple one for the team. The Packers gave him a gigantic contract, meaning he likely would've been priced out of the Redskins' range even if they had wanted to re-sign him. Letting him walk was a relative no brainer. Decision Grade: A+
HaHa Clinton-Dix: Clinton-Dix never really panned out as planned in his 1/2 season or so as a Redskin. Initially, it looked like the Redskins knocked it out of the park when they traded for him just before the deadline last year, but for whatever reason, his ability never seemed to translate into Manusky's scheme. Injury certainly played a factor, but even when he was healthy Clinton-Dix Struggled to make an impact. Chalk this one up as a failed experiment. Decision Grade: C+
New York Giants
Landon Collins: Collins signed a massive deal (potentially worth $84 million, though it's worth noting only $44.5 million of that deal is fully guaranteed) with the Redskins shortly after the Free Agency signing period began. By his own account, Collins idolized Sean Taylor since he began playing football and wore #21 for the duration of his professional career in honor of ST. That is not where the comparisons end between Taylor and Collins, however. Much like the "Meast" used to do back in the day, Landon Collins is an absolute head buster. He is an extremely physical presence, both in run defense as well as in pass coverage. He is typecasted as an exclusively "in-the-box" type safety, however, if you look deeper into his stats, last season was the only time he struggled noticeably in pass defense. Not like he was all-world or anything in other years, but he was at least above average in pass coverage. By many accounts, Collins will bring something the Redskins are in dire need of: leadership. He was a vocal leader within the Giants' locker room, and if there's something the Redskins could truly benefit from, it's having more vocal leaders on and off the field. I was thrilled with this signing, admittedly more than most fans whom I read reactions from. I think he will prove to be worth every penny of the large contract he was given, however; as a Redskins fan, I fully understand the reality that he may never pan out and just become another bust to add to the collection. Overall Grade: A-
Case Keenum: Keenum was acquired via trade with the Denver Broncos, with Denver and Washington swapping late-round picks in exchange for the journeyman QB. In addition, Denver agreed to eat a large portion of Keenum's contract. Essentially, the Redskins wound up getting Keenum for free. This acquisition was savvy, and Keenum does technically fit Gruden's scheme, but so does just about any QB with a pulse. Overall Grade: B-
Ereck Flowers: He's terrible, and has been for his entire career. So far this offseason, all the stories regarding Flowers involve him getting absolutely worked by undrafted rookies during mini-camp and OTAs. Yuck. We're in big trouble if he has to play. Overall Grade: F
Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie: This signing reminded me a lot of the Orlando Scandrick experiment from the last offseason. Low-risk signing for a possible nickel or dime back who at one time was among the league's elite. He definitely is not capable of playing up to the previous level he displayed with the Giants, but he could potentially find his way into a beleaguered backfield, especially if (God forbid) somebody goes down during training camp. Overall Grade: C+
Adrian Peterson: One of the few bright spots on our offense last season. Just an absolute freak of nature. He showed shocking burst and vision and had a knack for making something out of absolutely nothing, I'm glad to have him back for another year. Particularly since Guice will be limping into training camp. Overall Grade: A
Draft Results & Pick Analysis:
Dwayne Haskins: Superb steal of a pick here. Absolutely loved it. Dwayne Haskins checks all the boxes for what you want in a franchise QB in the NFL: smart, hard-working, able to manipulate defenses with his eyes, above-average arm strength, decent enough footwork. He'll push to be the day 1 starter, and frankly, I think he's the most talented and deserving QB outside of Alex Smith currently on the roster. Some believed this pick to have been forced on the front office by Snyder and co. in an effort to sell jerseys and put butts in the stands. If that's the case, I drank the Kool-Aid. I could care less if this was Snyder's doing or not. I could very well be wrong, but I think this kid will be a stud and I absolutely love the fact that they stayed at 15 and still got their man. Overall Grade: A+
Montez Sweat: Just as the excitement of drafting our franchise QB without trading up started to wear off, up pops the Redskins' name again trading up into Indianapolis' 26th overall spot. Who's name does Goodell call? None other than Montez Sweat. Bye Preston Smith, we just drafted a more athletic and explosive version of you. The thought of pairing Kerrigan with Sweat on the outside with Jon Allen and Payne on the inside is tantalizing. Sweat is as explosive as any OLB/DE you'll ever see. His combine numbers were ridiculous enough, but the craziest part is that when you look at the game film, his on-field production was every bit as impressive as his 4.41 (!!!) 40 time. The guy was a sack machine at Mississippi State, and he certainly projects as a day 1 starter. Overall Grade: A+
Terry McLaurin: Another pick I absolutely loved. "Scary Terry" should see the field early and often, and if Haskins does as well it won't shock anyone if they develop a rapport very early on. McLaurin has speed, above average height and flashed some pretty decent hands in college playing with Dwayne Haskins at Ohio State. He also adds value as a potential returner. Overall Grade: A
Bryce Love: This one was a bit of a head-scratcher to me at first, but after thinking about it, who cares if we have plenty of bodies at running back? This guy ran for over 2,000 yards in the season before last. He definitely has some red flags, namely the fact that he's still recovering from surgery from an injury he suffered at the end of last season. But if he can come back healthy for any part of training camp, he might turn some heads out there. He was a home run hitter and three-down back in college, and he should be able to become a productive player in the NFL assuming he heals up properly. Overall Grade: B-
Wes Martin: I had never heard of the guy, but listening to Cooley after the draft definitely got me hyped on him. He put up strong numbers during the combine bench press, and from the limited highlights I was able to watch of him, he was a physical presence at Indiana. Sort of reminds me of a poor man's Brandon Scherff, and you could make the case for him to push for a day 1 starting job, but that's more of an indictment of the current state of our line more than a compliment to Martin. Still, a solid run blocker with the potential to develop into a starter. Nothing to whine about there, even if it was a bit of a reach. Overall Grade: C+
Ross Pierschbacher: This one felt like a bit of a reach, as well, much like the Wes Martin selection. A lot of boards I looked at had him undrafted. But he was a part of a very physical (discounting the national championship game, of course) offensive line at Alabama. With the lack of elite talent at the position, I'd expect Pierschbacher to push for playing time a few years down the road. Yet again, you can have too many offensive linemen, however, so I can't knock the pick too much. Overall Grade: C
Cole Holcomb: Ran a sub-4.5, solid number of tackles during his three years as a starter at UNC after walking on, this pick will get overshadowed by the sexier names the Redskins selected during the draft, but watch out for Holcomb. Another great value at a position with paper-thin depth. He's athletic enough to cover in space, and that athleticism should translate well to Special Teams. I'd be surprised if he's on the field much as a rookie, but I would not be surprised if he develops into a reliable starter one day. Solid pick. Overall Grade: B
Kelvin Harmon: One of my favorite picks in this draft. Harmon is big, physical and has great hands. How he lasted all the way until the 6th round is beyond me. Not the fastest guy in the world, but he checks all the other boxes for what you'd like to see in an NFL WR prospect. He'll have a shot to push for early playing time, and should present whomever the starting QB winds up being with a great jump-ball target in the red zone. Overall Grade: A
Jimmy Moreland: A local prospect out of James Madison University, Moreland has already flashed his ability during off-season training. He was a pest during OTAs, and managed to pick off a half dozen or so passes throughout. He should make the team, but there is a steep learning curve at the position, especially for a smaller school prospect. Overall Grade: A
Jordan Brailford: He's a project, no doubt, and struggled to stay healthy during college, but he had a very productive season during his junior year at Oklahoma State and he's got decent enough measurables. Brailford will likely be a bubble 53-man/practice squad guy, but he could develop into a rotational player if he's able to stay healthy. Overall Grade: C
Other Offseason Notes:
Fairly quiet outside of the Collins splash signing and the stellar draft, but there's some looming danger because Trent Williams, arguably the top talent on the team let alone its best offensive lineman, is threatening to never play for the team again (*allegedly*). It's all very murky, but apparently, it's a result of the team's mishandling of a non-cancerous tumor on Williams' head. Hopefully, it all blows over and he reports to camp, but a situation worth monitoring. Another buzzkill came when news broke that Reuben Foster tore an ACL on one of the first plays of mini-camp, leaving us back at square one in terms of starting ILB.
Projected Starting Lineup:
QB1: Dwayne Haskins QB2: Case Keenum QB3: Colt McCoy Injured: Alex Smith
This may go against conventional wisdom, but as I stated in the draft re-cap, I have a lot of faith in Haskins to come out and win the job. His physical skill set is vastly superior to either Keenum or McCoy, so the lone roadblock standing in his way is the learning curve. However, Haskins has a strong reputation for putting in extra hours in the film room, as well as for being the first one in and the last one out at the practice facility. Keenum is a very experienced veteran, though, so I wouldn't be too shocked to see him beat Haskins out for the starting job (at least for the first few weeks of the season). This battle is definitely worth monitoring as Training Camp goes along. I don't think Colt McCoy will outshine either Keenum or Haskins despite his immense knowledge of Gruden's playbook. He'll definitely make the team, but I'd be shocked if he came out on top of the QB depth chart by the time it's all said and done, especially since he's still working his way back from additional ankle surgeries that were not made public until fairly recently.
RB1: Derrius Guice
Guice has the potential to be the shining star in this offense. He teased us with his talents during the last pre-season before suffering a heartbreaking ACL injury that wound up costing him the entire 2018-19 season. Although he recently tweaked his hamstring, that doesn't sound like anything major and all indications are that he should be good to go midway through training camp. The sky is the limit for this potential stud. One thing is for certain, though: the fanbase will definitely be pulling for him. Few players in team history have been more actively engaged with fans than Guice has during his short stint with the team thus far.
RB2: Adrian Peterson
In the event that Guice cannot stay healthy, fear not! Adrian Peterson, the ageless wonder, is waiting in the wings to take over as the starter. Even if Guice is healthy, there's definitely going to be a heavy split in carries between these two. And that's a good problem to have if you're the Redskins. Peterson defied all expectations last season and ended up being one of the few bright spots on an otherwise listless offense. No matter which guard the team had to sign off the street and insert into the lineup as a last-minute injury replacement, Peterson made it work. He showed the vision and patience he's been known for his entire career, but the most surprising thing was that he showed the burst and physicality he's historically been known for, as well.
RB3/Utility: Chris Thompson
It's almost unfair to list Thompson as the 3rd running back, since he's such a focal part of the offense as long as he's healthy. He's the prototypical receiving back, and he's primed to flourish in a featured role yet again. Gruden utilizes Thompson's abilities fantastically, drawing up creative plays to get the speedy scatback in 1-on-1 matchups with linebackers or safeties and that's where Thompson really shines. He was dinged up coming into last season, but he showed he's still got it multiple times last year nonetheless. He will be a nice luxury to have no matter who starts at quarterback, but particularly if Haskins wins the job coming out of camp.
WR1: Josh Doctson
Do or die time for this former first-rounder. Doctson has shown glimpses of becoming a consistent starter, and his route running ability definitely improved as the season progressed last year. But he has a long ways to go, and if he doesn't finally break out and develop into the weapon the team had envisioned when they invested a high draft pick into him, he'll be taking his talents elsewhere next season. I have him slotted as the starter by default, but it's worth noting, on most teams, he'd be a WR3. At Best.
WR2: Paul Richardson
Richardson was signed to fill in as an explosive playmaker, but injuries and the constant turnover at the QB position prevented us from seeing what Richardson is truly capable of last year. He's got a lot to prove if he ever wants to live up to the gargantuan contract he was given, though. He'll be worth keeping an eye on during camp to see how he meshes with the quarterbacks.
WR3: Terry McLaurin
Much like with Haskins, I'm very confident in McLaurin's chances to take advantage of the opportunity and work himself into a starting role in this offense. His speed will be a welcomed addition, and as long as he's able to use that to his advantage like he was able to do at Ohio State, he may well be one of the early surprises for the offense.
TE1: Jordan Reed
Another oft-injured star, Reed will need to prove that last season was simply a fluke and that he's ready to get back to his dominant ways at Tight End. He'll be a crucial piece in determining how successful Haskins will be if he's the starter. Hopefully, he develops a better rapport with whoever is under center this year than he did with Alex Smith. That was a big reason why he struggled mightily last year.
TE2: Vernon Davis
Much like the Guice and Peterson situation, Vernon Davis presents a nice alternative in the event that Jordan Reed struggles again this year. Davis is still a potent receiving threat, and accounted for some of the team's biggest plays last year. Don't expect anything different this year.
LT: Trent Williams
Perrenial pro-bowler, mauler, leader, and the heart and soul of the offense if not the team altogether, Trent Williams is vital to the Redskins. Despite holding out for the moment, most insiders believe he'll be back Week 1 even if he holds out for the duration of Training Camp. If he decides to sit for any portion of the regular season, it will prove difficult for the Redskins to have any chance of success.
LG: Tony Bergstrom
Yeah, I don't really know much about him, either. He's the starter by default, and the only reason this is a good thing is because his name is not Ereck Flowers.
C: Chase Roullier
One of the quietest solid performers on this team. Roullier is solid, but not spectacular. He's proven capable at Center, though, and there's certainly something to be said for that.
RG: Brandon Scherff
This is a baaad man. Despite a suffering a torn pec last year, Scherff has otherwise been healthy and consistent since the Redskins spent a top 5 pick on him. Since then, he's been an absolute monster on the line and is definitely the second most talented lineman trailing only Trent Williams. He's fun to watch when he's healthy, as he has such a massive nasty streak in him and always finishes blocks with authority.
RT: Morgan Moses
Rarely does Moses get the appreciation he deserves, but he's definitely been a blessing to have at Right Tackle. Most weeks you'll hardly notice he's there, and that's a good thing, since it typically means he's keeping his assignment at bay. He's a huge asset for the team, and one of the few linemen we've got who is able to stay on the field week in and week out.
LDE: Jonathan Allen
Jon Allen has lived up to the hype and then some after falling to the Redskins in the draft two years ago. Since then, he's gotten better each and every week and has been an absolute terror for opposing teams to block. Allen is one of the key pieces in the strongest position group on the team. If he, Da'Ron Payne and Matt Ionnidis are all able to stay on the field together, they'll be fun to watch this season.
NT: Da'Ron Payne
Finally, the massive presence the Redskins have been searching for since transitioning to a 3-4 defense under Mike Shanahan back in 2010. Payne was a nightmare at times during last season, and his otherworldly strength helped prevent the Redskins from giving up the huge run plays as frequently as they had in seasons prior. Payne added an unexpected element to the pass rush last season, as well, finishing with 5 sacks on the year. Payne is one of several emerging stars that the Redskins have on their defensive line, and it should prove to be one of the strongest position groups on the team.
RDE: Matt Ionnidis
As mentioned previously, the defensive line is one of the most promising position groups that the Redskins have, and Matt Ionnidis is one of the most promising members of that unit. When he was drafted out of Temple, expectations were not very high for Ionnidis. He put up a solid number of bench reps at the combine, but his other measurables were mediocre at best. Luckily, the Redskins' scouting staff did their homework and obviously saw something in his game that made them overlook his pedestrian combine because ever since he joined the team, Ionnidis has steadily improved and may very well be the most formidable lineman that the Redskins have. If you haven't paid specific attention to him before, make a point to do so next time you watch a Redskins game. You'll surely be able to see why the Redskins decided to sign him to an extension this offseason.
ROLB: Montez Sweat
What an acquisition for the Redskins. They traded up with the Indianapolis Colts to take Sweat with the 26th overall pick, and according to several reports, they were thrilled to have the opportunity to do so, as several members of the staff were pushing to draft Montez Sweat with the 15th overall pick. Sweat will step in and start day 1, barring an unforeseen improvement from projected backup Ryan Anderson. Jay Gruden has been singing Sweat's praises early and often ever since he was drafted, and he should prove to be a Defensive Rookie of the Year candidate if all goes according to plan.
ILB: Mason Foster
Foster is a decent Inside Linebacker, but he can be a liability at times. He struggles to cover opposing tight ends without help, and his lack of strength and explosiveness hurt his effectiveness in the run game as well. He is definitely a borderline starter, and on most teams, he would more than likely be a backup. However, due to Reuben Foster's season-ending injury during one of the first plays of OTA's, Foster will return for another season as the Redskins' starting interior linebacker.
ILB: Shaun Dion Hamilton
SDH is a bit of a wild card selection to start at ILB alongside Mason Foster, but I give him the edge to win the job based on the fact that he was given the opportunity to start towards the end of last season. He's very raw, but he showed some promise last season and he at least has the range to cover receivers in space, but that will require him to develop the instincts needed to be an effective pass defender. He could wind up becoming a nice surprise, but he's got a long ways to go in order to get there. Due to the lack of depth at inside linebacker, though, Hamilton should get a lot of first-team reps in camp, so it will be apparent very early on whether or not he's up to the task of being a starter. If he's not, the Redskins will struggle yet again to get off the field on 3rd downs.
LOLB: Ryan Kerrigan
Where to even begin with Kerrigan? He's got it all, and he's been at the top of his game for a number of years now. He's hands down the best player on this defense, and he's very quietly turned into one of the most formidable pass rushers in the entire league. He has a plethora of pass rush moves, and he uses all of his moves phenomenally. He's also one of the most reliable players on the team year in and year out, and has done a great job at staying healthy up to this point. Kerrigan should continue to produce at a Pro Bowl or All-Pro level, especially now that he's paired with a formidable pass rusher in Montez Sweat on the other side.
CB1: Josh Norman
Norman is a big personality and certainly a capable player, but he's never really lived up to the massive contract he was given following his exile from Carolina. Still, he's a highly talented cornerback capable of shutting down an opponent's top receiver on his good days. That's the problem, though. He's great on his good days, but he can be aggravating to watch on his bad days. He definitely played well more consistently last year than he had in years prior, and he'll have to continue to play consistently if the Redskins are going to be a competitive team in 2019-20. They need him to find the form he had with Carolina, because there is no other shutdown-caliber talent on the roster as it currently stands.
CB2: Quinton Dunbar
Quinton Dunbar was one of the biggest disappointments of last season. He entered as one of the most unexpected surprises in recent memory, working his way up from being an undrafted wide receiver in 2015 all the way to becoming the unquestioned starting cornerback alongside Josh Norman a few seasons later. His struggles last season could have certainly been the result of a nagging nerve injury, though, and according to the team he's since recovered from the lingering injury and is primed to come back this year fully healthy. If he's right, Dunbar is a good corner who can be great at times. He's 6'2" with long arms, making him an imposing physical presence, especially when matched up against smaller receivers. He's a solid bump and run type guy and he's proven capable of holding his own in one on one matchups on the outside.
CB3: Greg Stroman:
Stroman got a trial by fire last season, as the former seventh-round pick was forced into significant playing time due to several injuries in the Redskins' defensive backfield. He performed about like you'd expect a rookie would when forced into a prominent role early on, and he had his fair share of hiccoughs. But his game began to rapidly improve towards the end of the season, and he ended up ranking fifth among all rookie DBs according to Pro Football Focus. He might get picked on a bit until he proves himself some more, but as long as he continues to develop like he did last season he should be fine.
SS: Landon Collins
Landon Collins adds an element to the Redskins' defense that they have been severely lacking for a long, long time. He's by far the highest caliber safety they've had since Sean Taylor. He's not perfect, however, as he struggles at times in pass defense, but Collins should improve the Redskins' defensive unit overall nonetheless. He's extremely physical and imposing and does not hesitate to initiate violent contact with opposing players.
FS: Deshazor Everett
Everett is okay, and that's being pretty generous. The Redskins desperately need to address the Free Safety position sometime very soon, though, or there will be consequences. Everett can lay the lumber, but he's average at best in basically every other aspect of the position.
K: Dustin Hopkins
Kicks the ball into the endzone on kickoffs, and makes most of his Field Goal attempts. What else do you need from a kicker?
P: Tress Way
Perrenial Pro Bowl snub, and a legitimate stud. Also gets a lot of practice thanks to a lackluster offense that never seems to be able to drive into scoring range.
KR: Greg Stroman
Decent, but replaceable.
PR: Greg Stroman
Yet again, decent, but replaceable.
Position Group Strengths and Weaknesses
Pass Rushers: The Redskins' pass rush is loaded with first-round picks, and their investment in improving the pass rush is starting to really evolve into something special. This year should be no different, with Kerrigan and Sweat on the outside and Jon Allen, Da'Ron Payne and Matt Ionnidis starting on the inside. This group will be exciting, and will need to be in order for the Redskins to finish the year with a respectable record.
Backfield: The Redskins already had a pretty solid trio going with Derrius Guice, Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson and they just added Bryce Love, who is one year removed from a ridiculous 2,000 yard rushing season at Stanford, to the mix. As long as the line can stay healthy (unlike last year), this group should be very effective. They'll have to be, too, because there isn't much talent anywhere else on the offense.
Pass Catchers: The Redskins are paper-thin at wide receiver. The fact that Josh Doctson is being viewed as their #1 receiver gives me heartburn to even think about. There has been a void at receiver ever since DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garcon left. This group needs help, and it's unclear if they found anyone able to help during this offseason.
Quarterback: Haskins is exciting, but he's still a rookie and expectations must be adjusted accordingly.
Week 1: Washington @ Philadelphia Not an ideal way to begin the season. The Redskins will be heavy underdogs coming into this game, and for good reason. Never say never, but it'll definitely take a herculean effort to come out of this matchup victorious. I simply don't see it happening. Philly takes this one, and probably with ease. Projected Outcome: Loss (0-1) Week 2: Dallas @ Washington Luckily the Redskins catch a break after they had to face a division rival on the road in Week 1, right? Guess not... This is a brutal way to open the season, and much like the week prior, everything will have to align perfectly for the Redskins to have a chance to emerge victoriously. They will have to play mistake-free football to knock off the Cowboys in the 2019-20 home opener, and I just don't see that happening. I'd love to be wrong, but for now, I see the Cowboys taking this one in ugly fashion. Projected Outcome: Loss (0-2) Week 3: Chicago @ Washington Is this some sort of sick joke, Goodell? As if back to back division games weren't bad enough, the Redskins have to face the extremely formidable Chicago Bears. Khalil Mack probably has this game highlighted on his calendar already, because he very well might just break the single-game sack record. The Bears are a matchup nightmare for the Redskins, and I'd be shocked if the 'Skins weren't double-digit home underdogs coming into this game. I don't see any way the Redskins pull off the upset here. Projected Outcome: Loss (0-3) Week 4: Washington @ New York Giants Cool, as if the first three weren't brutal enough, why not add in another division road game in Week 4?! The Redskins have historically struggled in New York, but I have a sneaky feeling they'll right the ship and eek out a win thanks to Eli Manning throwing 4 picks or so and gifting the Redskins their first victory on the year. Projected Outcome: Win (1-3) Week 5: New England @ Washington Oh boy... this is truly a merciless way to start a season. However, they pulled it once upon a time when New England came to town. So I'm going to go against all logic here, and instead of following my brain which tells me New England will make this one look like a spring practice and crush the Skins' soul, I'm going to listen to my gut that is telling me crazier things have happened and predict that the Redskins win this one. I'll reiterate, though, this is based on no logic. But miracles do happen. Projected Outcome: Win (2-3) Week 6: Washington @ Miami Naturally, since I'm predicting the Redskins pull off a gargantuan upset in their week 5 matchup with New England, they'll inevitably follow that up with a mind-boggling loss against Miami. It's the Redskins way- take one step forward and four steps back. This would be a perfect opportunity for the Redskins to crush any and all momentum they'd built by beating the Patriots, and I'd bet my life's savings that they'd embrace the opportunity to let everyone down by actually losing. Projected Outcome: Loss (2-4) Week 7: San Francisco @ Washington Ew, what a terrible matchup. I'm frankly shocked this one isn't being played in London it's such a lackluster matchup. Anyways, back on task, this game will definitely be low scoring and ugly. Since San Francisco is traveling to FedEx instead of the other way around, I'll take Washington in this one. The only certainty, however, is that this game will be painful to watch. Projected Outcome: Win (3-4) Week 8: Washington @ Minnesota The Redskins will yet again be heavy underdogs coming into this one, but I am not intimidated by the Vikings at all. The key to this game will be coming into it with an above .500 record, though, since Kirk Cousins is physically incapable of succeeding against an above-.500 team. Since I'm projecting the Redskins to enter this matchup at 3-4, I have to go with the Vikings here. Jokes aside, the Vikings are loaded at the skill positions as well as along their defensive front seven, and I just don't see how the Redskins will be able to overcome the numerous mismatches they'll have against the Vikings. Even with Kirk Cousins' self-righteous, turnover-prone-self playing quarterback for Minnesota, they still come out on top in this one. Projected Outcome: Loss (3-5) Week 9: Washington @ Buffalo The Redskins aren't more talented on paper than many teams in the league, but one of the teams you could make the case for having less talent than Washington would be Buffalo. The Redskins should win this one, but it'll definitely be close. Still, the Redskins should win a one-possession game here. Projected Outcome: Win (4-5) Week 10: BYE Week 11: New York Jets @ Washington Coming off the bye week, the Redskins should be able to play well against an up and coming Jets team. It's for that very reason that I'm confident they'll come out totally flat, and sleepwalk their way into an ugly loss. Projected Outcome: Loss (4-6) Week 12: Detroit @ Washington After an inexplicable home loss to the Jets in the previous week, the Redskins should bounce back nicely against the Lions. Definitely not a sure thing, but I'm thinking the Redskins pick up their most convincing victory of the season in this game. They've got enough talent to rattle Stafford, and if Stafford isn't allowed to get in a groove early, he is prone to meltdowns. That's exactly what I see happening. Projected Outcome: Win (5-6) Week 13: Washington @ Carolina The Redskins played extremely well against Carolina last season, but I don't see that happening again. Cam goes off, and the Panthers beat the Redskins handily. Projected Outcome: Loss (5-7) Week 14: Washington @ Green Bay Yet another one of the Redskins' most impressive games from last season was against Green Bay, but that was early in the season and at home. December in Green Bay, however? That's a tough draw. It'll be close, but Aaron Rodgers avenges last year's defeat and leads the Packers to a win late. Projected Outcome: Loss (5-8) Week 15: Philadelphia @ Washington More than likely, the Redskins will be out of contention and the Eagles will be very much in contention by the time this game rolls around. We saw what happened last year under those circumstances: a total takeover of FedEx Field by Philly fans. Odds are, the same thing will happen this year. Philly takes care of business, and Washington's tailspin continues. Projected Outcome: Loss (5-9) Week 16: New York Giants @ Washington After three straight losses, the Redskins find a way to beat a Giants team now being lead by the astonishingly mediocre Daniel Jones. And for once, they beat a team they are better than by a large margin. Projected Outcome: Win (6-9) Week 17: Washington @ Dallas Somehow or another, I think the Redskins scrap out a win here, as well, ending the season on a high note. Or just high enough of a note to keep us fans clinging on to the belief that the Redskins are still worth paying attention to. Even if Dallas is playing all of their starters, I still see the Redskins going toe to toe with them and ending the year positively. Projected Outcome: Win (7-9) Season Outcome: 7-9, 3rd place in the NFC East, 13th overall draft pick
Training Camp Battles to Watch
Quarterback: This will be a hotly contested position battle, especially in the early days of training camp. Most likely, Keenum, Haskins and McCoy will start out splitting first team reps until somebody emerges. I'm of the opinion that Haskins will beat out the veterans and become the unquestioned starter by the end of camp, but there's definitely potential for a different outcome.
Cornerback: Norman will definitely be the #1 on the team, but all the other spots are wide open. With plenty of young talent and hungry players on the roster, this should be exciting to watch. My money is on Quinton Dunbar to come out as the #2 with Stroman beating out Moreau for the #3 spot.
Wide Receiver: Sure, it's not the most talented position on the team. But there are some enticing players that have the chance to emerge. Cam Sims is often overlooked, but he really showed a lot of promise during camp last year and he may be able to turn enough heads again this year to win a more prominent spot with the team. What I'm really curious to see is whether or not one of the rookie draft picks will be able to push Josh Doctson and Paul Richardson for the starting spots. Richardson proves himself, I think, but Doctson? That could be very intriguing to see if he's able to definitively prove himself over either Harmon or McLaurin.
Also in the news, Adrian Peterson complains about RB pay, Dez Bryant reacts to Cam Newton's signing, and forecasting the Cowboys' WR4. Cowboys News: Looking ahead to free agency 2021, predictions The Cowboys are currently listed as 11-point favorites at home with an over/under of 44.5 points. Click here to check out a full list of the Week 17 NFL betting odds. Cowboys vs Redskins Vegas Preview & Game Predictions. Throughout their late-season collapse, the Cowboys remained in control of their own destiny inside the NFC East. Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds 12/29/2019 The spread for this NFC game is placed at 11 points in favor of Dallas. The Redskins are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while Cowboys vs. Redskins odds, line: 2019 NFL picks, Week 17 predictions from advanced computer model SportsLine's advanced computer simulated Sunday's Redskins vs. Cowboys game 10,000 times. The Cowboys’ playoff hopes now hinge on their ability to beat the Redskins — and the Eagles losing to the Giants. A loss to Washington means the season is over for Dallas. With the stakes in mind, our experts preview this matchup and make their pick.
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Redskins NFL Pick and Prediction 12/29/19 Week 17 NFL Betting Tips
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