Updated Seahawks vs. Packers Betting Odds: Spread, Line

Will the Green Bay Packers win OVER/UNDER 9 games? By University Stats Prof!

1. Introduction

Matt LaFleur’s first season as Green Bay’s head coach has to be considered a success. He led the team to a 13-3 record, which secured the NFC North title.

The Packers held off the Seahawks to a 28-23 home win in the first round of the playoffs, but were ousted by the Niners in a brutal 37-20 thumping (a game in which the Packers dugged themselves into an early 27-0 hole).

2. Offensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

2.1 Quarterbacks (QBs)

Aaron Rodgers will be entering his 16th NFL season. He had another excellent year with a 26-to-4 TD-to-INT ratio and over 4,000 passing yards. He finished as the 7th-best QB in the league according to PFF ratings.

At 36 years old, he is likely to have a few good years left. After all, Drew Brees and Tom Brady posted nice statistics in their late thirties.

Rodgers has been very durable throughout his career, but he’s not invincible either. Tim Boyle was the backup plan last year, and the team needed to upgrade the position while starting to think about the post-Rodgers era.

Still, drafting Jordan Love was the most questionable and talked-about pick in this year’s draft. People expected the Packers to go with a veteran backup QB. Rodgers has mentioned several times he wants to play in his forties; he can still offer a good five years of solid play in the frozen tundra.

Love has possesses great size, throws with velocity and he’s very mobile. The main knock on him is the decision-making and inconsistency.

As a sophomore, he threw 32 TD passes versus 6 interceptions. He regressed a lot last year by posting a mediocre 20:17 TD:INT mark. Granted, his surrounding cast was very weak and he had to go through a coaching change.

Love can throw from many different arm angles; he reminds people of Patrick Mahomes in this regard. He can throw a fastball or a soft touch pass.

Quick note: he almost quit football when he was 14 years old after his dad committed suicide. However, he knew his dad would want him to keep playing, so he did just that.

2.2 Running Backs (RBs)

Aaron Jones is a top running back in this league. Along with Jamaal Williams, they form a lethal duo.

Including the playoffs, Jones ended up scoring 23 touchdowns in 18 games. His 19 regular season scores were the second most in Packers history. His numbers have increased in each of his first three years as a pro. He is also excellent as a pass catcher.

Despite playing in the shadow of Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams still finished as the 17th-best RB based on PFF rankings. He does not seem like a lead back, but he’s a perfect change-of-pace guy. Much like Jones, he can do some damage as a receiver as well.

Williams has been a steady performer thus far in his career. He has rushed for 450-550 yards in each of his three seasons, while catching a minimum of 25 balls. He has 15 total TDs over this three-year span.

If you thought GM Brian Gutekunst made a strange move by drafting QB Jordan Love in the first round, he doubled down with another head scratcher in the 2nd round when he took A.J. Dillon.

Message to Mr. Gutekunst: Aaron Rodgers needed pass catchers, not a third running back! I really don’t get this pick either. I’m not saying Dillon won’t be good in the NFL; only time will tell. However, it clearly wasn’t a position of need for the Packers.

Dillon is a power back who rarely breaks off huge runs. He racked up big numbers in three seasons in Boston College. He’s unlikely to become a three-down starter, especially since he’s not a good pass catcher. He will likely be used sporadically as a rookie.

2.3 Wide Receivers (WRs)

Davante Adams is one of the best at his position. He had a streak of three straight seasons with at least 10 TD receptions snapped last year, but he still caught 83 passes for 997 yards in 12 games (he missed four games because of a toe injury).

Outside of Adams, all pass catchers appeared lost on the field. None of them developed a good chemistry with Rodgers.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling was a huge disappointment last year. He showed promise as a rookie with over 500 receiving yards. Here’s a jaw-dropping statistic: after Week #7, MVS did not get more than 19 receiving yards in any meeting. That’s awful.

One of the guys benefiting from Valdes-Scantling’s poor play was Jake Kumerow. He got more playing time than expected, but still only caught 12 passes. He is closing in on 30 years of age and is limited as an athlete, so he’s not a long-term answer for sure.

Allen Lazard was also thrown into action far more than expected. He finished second in terms of receiving yards for Green Bay, but let’s face the reality: the undrafted guy remains more of a #3 or #4 WR for any team.

Geronimo Allison was another bust last year. His top performance over the last 12 games (including the playoffs) was a meager 33 receiving yards. He left for another NFC North team, the Detroit Lions.

In other words, the #2 role is wide open. The team hopes newly acquired Devin Funchess can step into that role. The former second rounder had his best season in 2017 with the Panthers with a 63-840-8 stat line. He signed with the Colts last year, but played just one game before breaking a collarbone. He will be 26 years old this season and provides an interesting prospect for the Packers.

2.4 Tight Ends (TEs)

We’re not done talking about 2019 busts. Jimmy Graham was one of them. He clearly looks washed. He received the lowest grades of his 10-year career, and deservedly so. The Packers released him and he signed a few days later with the Bears (a horrible mind-boggling two-year, $16 million contract).

Marcedes Lewis received surprisingly good marks from PFF. If you look into the numbers, the good grade occurred mainly because of efficient run and pass blocking. He’s not much of a pass catcher and he will be 36 years old when the season begins.

Robert Tonyan will also be in the mix, but the guy that has the best chance to break out as a receiver in 2020 only caught three passes last year (all in the playoffs): Jace Sternberger. Taken in the third round of the 2019 draft, Sternberger was a threat at Texas A&M in college. He missed most of the regular season because of injuries, but the door is wide open with Graham’s departure.

We might also see third-round rookie Josiah Deguara. He has a great motor and plays extremely hard. He’s undersized as a tight end, though.

2.5 Offensive Line (OL)

The Packers had a pretty solid offensive line in 2019. All five starters managed to play at least 84% of the offensive snaps. And they all finished above-average according to PFF ratings!

The bad news, however, is the Bryan Bulaga left for the Chargers. Despite turning over 30 years old, he still played at a high level.

The Packers decided to replace him by signing Rick Wagner, formerly of the Lions. Wagner’s PFF grades from 2016 to 2018 were as follows: 74.0, 75.2 and 71.4. Last year, his play deteriorated a lot and he was tagged with a 59.0 grade. He finished as the #61 tackle among 81 guys.

I like the fact that the team is returning four out of five guys, but replacing Bulaga with Wagner has to be viewed as a downgrade.

2020 VS 2019 OFFENSE

The Packers offense finished in the middle of the pack in points scored per game. Barring major injuries, I expect about the same production in 2020.

The QB and RB situations remain the same.

Adding Funchess is not a huge move, but it won’t hurt. The team clearly needs someone to step up opposite of Davante Adams. At tight end, losing Jimmy Graham means close to nothing since he was so ineffective. Sternberger might bring a nice contribution, but we can hardly expect him to be a game-breaker.

Finally, the OL will take a dip with the loss of Bulaga. I don’t believe Rick Wagner can do better than him.

All in all, I view the additions/departures as a slight negative for Green Bay, but having so many starters returning to the lineup for a second straight season is always a good thing in the NFL. For these reasons, I expect a similar output as 2019 from this unit.

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Stable

3. Defensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

3.1 Defensive Linemen (DLs)

Kenny Clark had a fantastic season! He is one of the best interior rushers in the NFL. He recorded six sacks for the second straight year, and PFF ranked him as the 13th-best interior linemen out of 114 qualifiers.

The same nice comments cannot be made about Dean Lowry. He had the worst season of his four-year career as a pro. He did not post a single sack and wasn’t great against the run either.

Reserve Tyler Lancaster is only there to provide some depth. He isn’t particularly good in any aspect of the game.

The team did not make any move regarding this position during the offseason.

3.2 Defensive Ends (DEs) / Edge Rushers (ED)

During the last offseason, the Packers acquired two Smiths: Za’Darius and Preston. They burst onto the scene and got 13.5 and 12 sacks, respectively.

Obviously, both received high marks for their pass rushing abilities, but Preston finished as an average linebacker overall because of mediocre run defense and poor coverage.

Kyler Fackrell was a huge disappointment in 2019. After racking up 10.5 sacks in 2018, he only got one in 2019! He signed a one-year deal with the Giants.

First-round pick Rashan Gary wasn’t necessarily impressive during his rookie season. He played 23% of the snaps, while obtaining two sacks but very pedestrian marks from PFF (an overall 55.8 grade, which is near the bottom among edge defenders).

3.3 Linebackers (LBs)

Green Bay lost its leader in tackles from the past three years, Blake Martinez. After starting 61 of the last 64 Packers games, Martinez decided to join the New York Giants. He had the second-most tackles in the league last year, but don’t be misled by that number. Martinez still finished slight below-average (52nd out of 89 LBs) because of poor play against the run.

The Packers also lost some depth at the position when B.J. Goodson left for Cleveland.

Green Bay picked up a linebacker from the Browns roster: Christian Kirksey. He was picked in the 3rd round of the 2014 before being involved in all 16 games from his first four seasons in the NFL. However, he has been plagued with injuries over the most recent two years; he played 7 games in 2018 and only 2 games in 2019.

He is also capable of racking up tackles, as shown by his 2016 and 2017 seasons where he obtained 146 and 138. His PFF grades during his first four seasons varied between 61.9 and 69.3. Just to give you a rough idea, a 65.0 rating would have been good for 29th place out of 89 LBs.

3.4 Cornerbacks (CBs)

Jaire Alexander has done the job as the #1 corner. He has obtained 72.4 and 71.2 marks from PFF during his first two seasons, which is well-above average. He’s so-so defending the run, but his coverage skills are very good.

The number two corner, Kevin King had five interceptions last year after getting just one over his first two years as a pro. He did show some improvement after two rocky years. He finished 2019 as a middle-of-the-pack corner.

Tramon Williams played 74% of the snaps and had a surprisingly good season despite his age. He will be 37 when the 2020 season begins. He is currently a free agent and it remains to be seen if the Packers bring him back or not.

In summary, Alexander and King are both pretty young and could still be improving, but Tramon Williams provided quality play and it’s uncertain if someone else can pick up the slack.

3.5 Safeties (S)

Adrian Amos and Darnell Savage were the top two guys here.

Along with Za’Darius and Preston Smith, the Adrian Amos was another excellent signing by the Packers during the 2019 offseason. Amos had been a reliable guy in Chicago for four seasons, and he continued to excel in the frozen tundra.

After being selected as the #21 overall pick in the 2019 draft, Darnell Savage did show some flashes as a rookie last year. He finished as the #47 safety among 87 qualifiers, which is very satisfying for a rookie. He earned nice marks in coverage (77.4), but horrible ones against the run (37.7).

Will Redmond will be back as the number three safety. He’s not starter material for sure.

2020 VS 2019 DEFENSE

Most of the starters are returning in 2020. That’s the good news.

The team lost their leader in tackles, Blake Martinez, as well as pass rusher Kyler Fackrell and CB Tramon Williams.

The only acquisition worth of note is Christian Kirksey. Him not having played very much during the last two seasons brings some question marks.

The Packers defense struggled against the run last year, and there’s no reason to believe that will change in 2020. Green Bay still finished 9th in points allowed, which was a very acceptable result.

Unfortunately, a decrease in effectiveness is expected and I predict this unit will end 2020 as a middle-of-pack defense (12th – 19th in points allowed).

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Small downgrade

4. Regular Season Wins

According to sportsbooks, the Green Bay Packers are expected to win 9 games this season. Should we bet the “over” or the “under”?

Here is the methodology I used in order to answer this vital question:

Here are the results (excluding the simulated years where the Pack won exactly 9 games, since in those cases your bet would have tied):

Estimated Probability Sportsbook Odds ROI
OVER 9 WINS 51.4% bwin +115 +10.5%
UNDER 9 WINS 48.6% Heritage Sports +100 -2.8%
Tip: Bet OVER 9 wins
Return On Investment (ROI): +10.5%
Rank: 25th-highest ROI out of 32 teams
Minimum odds required to bet (i.e. ROI = 0%): -106

Here are BetOnline’s point spreads for the Packers’ 16 regular season games:
HOME: -6 vs ATL, -10 vs CAR, -4.5 vs CHI, -6.5 vs DET, -11.5 vs JAX, -3 vs MIN, -2.5 vs PHI, -3.5 vs TEN.
ROAD: 0 @ CHI, -2 @ DET, 0 @ HOU, +2.5 @ IND, +3 @ MIN, +5.5 @ NO, +6.5 @ SF, +2.5 @ TB.

Note: The “Best odds” from the table above were obtained after looking at 13 well-known online sportsbooks on May 18th, 2020.

TOMORROW: I'll talk about the team whose ROI is the 24th-highest in the league, the Pittsburgh Steelers!

Did you like this write-up? If so, comment below! I'd like to know YOUR opinion on what to expect from the Packers' 2020 season!

Professor MJ
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Will the Chicago Bears win OVER/UNDER 8.5 games? By University Stats Prof!

1. Introduction

It was a roller-coaster ride for the Bears last year. They started with a 3-1 record before losing five of their next six meetings. They concluded the season by winning four of the last six games, but it wasn’t enough to qualify for the playoffs.

After a NFC North title in 2018, Da Bears ended with a disappointing 8-8 record last season.

The offense was often criticized (deservedly so), and changes needed to be made.

2. Offensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

2.1 Quarterbacks (QBs)

Mitchell Trubisky has had an uncharacteristic journey in the NFL thus far. After being selected as the number two overall pick, he had a rookie season where he threw 7 TD passes versus 7 picks. He took a nice leap in his sophomore year with 24 TDs and 12 interceptions, while leading the team to its first division title since 2010.

QBs showing such a nice growth from year 1 to year 2 rarely crash down the following season, but that pretty much describes Trubisky’s third year in the league. He graded as the 30th-best QB in the NFL out of 37 qualifiers based on PFF rankings.

This situation was inexplicable. It’s not like the team had lost many key pieces on offense. What happened to Trubisky?

GM Ryan Pace has set up nicely a good QB battle in camp between Trubisky and newly acquired Nick Foles.

What’s interesting is Foles himself has had ups-and-downs in his career. He was outstanding in 2013 by throwing 27 TDs versus just 2 interceptions! He also led the Eagles to a Super Bowl in the 2017 season, after Carson Wentz went down to an injury. Foles also performed well in 2018.

However, he wasn’t so good in 2014, 2015 and more recently 2019. What type of quarterback will he be in the windy city? Who’s going to get the starting nod?

My own guess is Foles win the job early on. He is already familiar with the head coach, the QB coach and the offensive coordinator. Learning the playbook won’t be as difficult as if these guys had never worked together in the past.

Backup QB Chase Daniel left for a division rival: the Detroit Lions.

Overall, adding Foles over Daniel is clearly an upgrade over 2019, while also keeping in mind the fact that Trubisky may return to his previous form (which is not impossible for a young guy like him).

2.2 Running Backs (RBs)

What the heck happened to Tarik Cohen? I have always liked small and fast guys. For this reason, he had become one of my favorite guys to watch. Watching him last year (and the entire offense) was sad.

His yards per rush average went from 4.5 to 3.3. His yards per catch average went from 10.2 to 5.8. He couldn’t get going all season long.

In 2017 and 2018, Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen were a great version of the thunder-and-lightning combo. Despite losing Howard, the production wasn’t supposed to drop significantly because of the acquisition of David Montgomery through the draft.

That’s not how things played out. The team went from 11th to 27th place in terms of rushing yards per game (from 2018 to 2019). Montgomery finished the year with a disappointing 3.7 yards per carry average.

Both Montgomery and Cohen will be back in 2020. Perhaps they’ll do better this year, but I don’t expect a huge upgrade either.

2.3 Wide Receivers (WRs)

Finally a guy that has produced consistent results in this offense: Allen Robinson!

Catching 98 balls for 1,147 yards and 7 TDs despite such bad QB play was phenomenal! You can count on him to generate good numbers again, especially in a contract year.

A former second-round pick, Anthony Miller caught 52 passes last season after catching 33 the year before. The only blemish was the number of TD receptions, which went from 7 to 2.

Miller started the year slowly following an offseason injury that made him miss some time in camp. His role could be increased after the departure of Taylor Gabriel.

The Bears pulled the plug on the Taylor Gabriel experiment. After showing some flashes with the Falcons, he never lived up to expectations in Chicago.

Again, the production from this group may be steady in 2020.

2.4 Tight Ends (TEs)

I’m sorry Bears fans, but one of the worst free agent acquisitions, in my humble opinion, was Jimmy Graham for two years and $16 million. The price paid versus the production doesn’t make sense at all.

If you look at his numbers, you can see a clear decline. His first seven seasons were a success; his lowest mark according to PFF during that time span was 74.7. Then, he received a 66.0 grade in 2017. And then 59.6 in 2018, followed by 58.0 last year. To make matters worse, remember that the last two years were with the Packers, who happen to have a quarterback named Aaron Rodgers (have you heard of him?).

Trey Burton was another huge disappointment last year. After catching 54 passes a couple of years ago, he only caught 14 in eight games. He was released and picked up by the Colts.

The team drafted Cole Kmet in the second round in this year’s draft. He’s a classic tight end who can do a little bit of everything. He provides good run blocking, albeit sometimes a bit inconsistent. He doesn’t have that much experience as a pass catcher since he only started racking up decent stats last year, but he has a big catch radius. He will likely need time to develop into a solid starter.

The Bears also have Adam Shaheen in their roster, a 2nd round pick from the 2017 draft. He has bust written all over him.

As if they didn’t have enough tight ends, Chicago went on to sign Demetrius Harris, formerly of the Browns. He graded as the 66th-best tight end out of 66 qualifiers. Enough said.

This group did very little last year. A bunch of six guys combined for 46 catches. Despite the questionable moves, I expect a small upgrade. Perhaps Graham can magically rejuvenate his career?

2.5 Offensive Line (OL)

Four out of five starters are returning: Cody Whitehair, James Daniels, Charles Leno and Bobby Massie. Only Daniels graded as above-average; the others finished in the middle of the pack (or even lower).

Kyle Long announced his retirement, while semi-starter Cornelius Lucas left for Washington. The new starter on the OL will be Germain Ifedi, who made at least 13 starts in each of his first four seasons in the league (all with the Seahawks).

In summary, we have a not-so great starter being replace by a not-so great player. Therefore, we can expect similar results to 2019, which was average play.

2020 VS 2019 OFFENSE

Inconsistency is a recurring theme for many players from this unit: Trubisky, Foles and Cohen.

My final conclusion is a small upgrade over 2019, mainly because of the QB position. The chances are fairly good that either Foles provides a spark, or Trubisky regains his 2018 form. However, don’t expect a MVP-type of season for any one of them.

The rest of the offense should expect similar output. Acquiring Jimmy Graham and Germain Ifedi is nothing to write home about, just as losing Taylor Gabriel isn’t a big loss either.

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Small upgrade

3. Defensive Position-by-Position Breakdown

3.1 Defensive Linemen (DLs)

The interior defenders did a fairly good job. Roy Robertson-Harris, Nick Williams and Eddie Goldman all graded as above-average DLs in 2019. Only Bilal Nichols received poor grades, but he played less often.

Nick Williams left for Detroit, but the Bears expect to get Akiem Hicks in 2020. He suited up for just five games last year. He’s been a dominating force for them the previous three years. His return on the field will make a big difference.

So, despite Williams’ departure, this group should do better in 2020 than the year before, mainly because of Hicks’ return.

3.2 Defensive Ends (DEs) / Edge Rushers (ED)

Khalil Mack’s sack production went down in 2019 with “only” 8.5. He had recorded 12.5, 10.5, 11 and 15 in its previous four campaigns. Still, Mack finished as the #14 edge defender out of 107 guys. He is constantly disrupting plays from opposing offenses.

The Bears lost Leonard Floyd who went to the Rams, but they quick found a replacement with Robert Quinn, coming over from Dallas. Floyd is two years younger and averaged 4.6 sacks per season, while Quinn has gotten 8.9 sacks per year over his nine-year career. Quinn is a better pass rusher, while Floyd plays the run better.

All in all, I expect similar results as 2019 from this unit.

3.3 Linebackers (LBs)

One more guy who saw a dip in productivity was Roquan Smith. After receiving a 67.0 grade in his rookie season, he only got 52.4 last year. He played the run well, but his coverage and pass rushing weren’t nearly as good in 2019. I do believe the former #8 pick overall can come back very strong in 2020.

Danny Trevathan missed six games because of an injury, but he played pretty well when he was on the field. I am not worried about him.

Backups Nick Kwiatkoski and Kevin Pierre-Louis both left in free agency. Both played very well while filling in for injured starters. Their losses take a blow to Chicago’s linebacker depth.

3.4 Cornerbacks (CBs)

Kyle Fuller and Prince Amukamara were the clear starters in 2019. Despite finishing as PFF’s number 41 CB out of 112 qualifiers, Amukamara was released by the Bears for cap reasons.

Still, the team needs to replace him. Can Buster Skrine or Kevin Toliver assume that #2 role? I’m not so sure about that…

Chicago hopes to fill the void via the selection of Jaylon Johnson in the 2nd round last April. The number one concern about him is health; he has undergone through three shoulder surgeries over the years.

Johnson’s speed and explosiveness are below average, but he makes up for it with great competitiveness and smart-play.

3.5 Safeties (S)

We are rounding the defensive side of the ball with the safeties. Things were pretty simple in 2019, as both Ha Ha Clinton-Dix and Eddie Jackson played 99% of the defensive snaps. They ranked 19th and 46th out of 87 safeties, respectively, according to PFF.

The problem is Clinton-Dix is gone to Dallas. Last year the Bears vacated the vacancy created at the safety position when Adrian Amos left for Green Bay by acquiring Clinton-Dix, but now that he’s also gone they have a glaring hole at the position.

2020 VS 2019 DEFENSE

The Bears allowed the fourth-fewest points in the league last season. Can we expect a similary good 2020 season? I doubt it.

First, the good news. Akiem Hicks is back from an injury that made him miss 11 games and the team acquired steady sack producer Robert Quinn from Dallas.

The bad news? Losing DL Nick Williams, DE Leonard Floyd, LBs Nick Kwiatkoski and Kevin Pierre-Louis, CB Prince Amukamara and S Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix. That’s a lot of bodies that need to be replaced. We’re talking about at least 4 new starters and some key depth.

Overall, my guess is it takes a moderate blow to the Bears’ defense. Their front seven is likely to remain very good, but the secondaries worry me. I wouldn’t fall off my chair if the team went from 4th-best in points allowed to the 10th-12th range.

Final call (2020 vs 2019): Moderate downgrade

4. Regular Season Wins

According to sportsbooks, the Chicago Bears are expected to win 8.5 games this season. Should we bet the “over” or the “under”?

Here is the methodology I used in order to answer this vital question:

Here are the results:

Estimated Probability Sportsbook Odds ROI
OVER 8.5 WINS 38% Pinnacle +148 -5.8%
UNDER 8.5 WINS 62% MyBookie.ag -130 +9.7%

Here are BetOnline’s point spreads for the Bears’ 16 regular season games:

Note: The “Best odds” from the table above were obtained after looking at 13 well-known online sportsbooks on May 18th, 2020.

TOMORROW: I'll talk about the team whose ROI is the 25th-highest in the league, the Green Bay Packers!

I hope you found this article insightful, thanks for reading!

Professor MJ
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Top 10 Worst Browns Losses by Decade (2010's Version)

As promised....
10. 2019, Week 5 @ SF: 49ers 31, Browns 3
9. 2018, Week 7 @ TB: Buccaneers 26, Browns 23 (OT)
8. 2018, Week 2 @ NO: Saints 21, Browns 18
7. 2014, Week 14 vs. IND: Colts 25, Browns 24
6. 2013, Week 14 @ NE: Patriots 27, Browns 26
5. 2017, Week 17 @ PIT: Steelers 28, Browns 24
4. 2017, Week 14 vs. GB: Packers 27, Browns 21
3. 2015, Week 12 vs. BAL: Ravens 33, Browns 27
2. 2019, Week 6 vs. SEA: Seahawks 32, Browns 28
1. 2018, Week 4 @ OAK: Raiders 45, Browns 42 (OT)
Don't kill me plz.
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George Kittle and the Looming TE Salary Explosion

In a games of inches in a league where all teams share a hard cap, achieving an edge not only through coaching and schemes but in creating salary cap value. Players outperforming their deals does not only apply to Quarterbacks. Successful teams exploit market inefficiencies. In today’s NFL no position other than QBs on rookie deals is more under-compensated than the Elite TE, rookie deal or not.
With a PFF rating of 95.0 and a pair of the best seasons ever enjoyed by a TE, George Kittle has the potential to be the sui generis of the next generation of Tight Ends. He is a cornerstone of the league’s #2 rushing attack while averaging over 1100yds receiving the previous two seasons. Simply put, the man is a game-breaker.
**Historical Market*\*
InJune 2014 NFL Arbitrator Stephen Graham made the historical decision to deny Jimmy Graham’s petition to be labeled as a Wide Receiver - a decision that meant he would miss out on $5m as the Franchise Tag value for TEs was around 7mil compared to the ~12 million WR tag. 5 years later and Jimmy Graham is the NFL’s highest paid TE with a 10m APY contract after his 2017 Free Agent deal with the Packers.
Under the current CBA there has been no ‘shake-up’ in the market value of a Tight End. Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz signed 5-yr extensions for ~7.7m APY in 2016. Interestingly, in terms of APY these deals were for less than Aaron Hernandez’s 2012 extension of 5yrs/40m. The Packers’ 2017 deal for Jimmy as a 32yr-old free agent came after a torn patella and three years of above-average production with the Seahawks. George Kittle is not Jimmy Graham.
Rob Gronkowski, the gold standard for the position during his time in the NFL, signed a 6 year extension with the Patriots after his second NFL season - giving the club 8 years of player control. This contract would be reworked add incentives over the course of its life, but he never provided a measuring stick for the game’s other elite players to leverage. “He bought into the Patriot Way.”
Bottom line - no tight end has really pushed the market. Even worse they have been signing long extensions where they are not compensated at the same rate the cap rises. **They all suffer for it.*\*
**Today’s Baseline*\*
Players, fans, and front offices alike know the value and extra dimension an elite Tight End brings to an offense. Joe Buck or whatever commentator is on each week, ”They can block in the run game, they can block in the passing game, and they catch in the passing game! They’re too big for DBs and too fast for LBs!” Their partner will add “(He) really puts the defense in a bind.”
With Jimmy Graham’s contract at 10m APY the equivalent value by salary cap % would put a baseline for the 2020 season (200m project cap) at $11.3m/yr for a TE. The league’s highest paid center, the least valuable OL position, makes $11.3m APY.
*note: the following is based on projections and doesn’t account for a new CBA, TV deals, or other things that could make the cap explode or change the overall salary cap pool for player compensation.*
**49ers’ GM John Lynch’s Leverage and Philosophy*\*
The 49ers theoretically have 3 years of cap control on George Kittle. 2020 would be the final year of his contract where he would be set to make 735k, with an overall cap hit of 810k. 2020’s TE franchise tag for TE is projected around 11m. If this stays roughly stable, and accounting for the 120% boost for a second tag, the 49ers could pay Kittle 810k in 2020, 11m in 2021, and 13.2m in 2022 - about 25m. With inflation and other factors let's increase that to 27m for 9m/yr. This approach, aka the ‘milk for all it’s worth” traditionally isolates and angers the player. Then it stirs drama, invites holdouts, dominates local and/or national headlines (see: LeVeon Bell), and has other players constantly barraged with inquiries about the situation. It also means the player will choose to take their talents elsewhere when the dust settles.
Frankly, this won’t happen. Everyone should doubt it happens. Why? Amongst other things, organizations tend to keep a player when he is arguably the best in the NFL at their position. Especially when the player lacks drama, off-the-field issues, and is a leader. If you are one of the better teams in the NFL, you also try to avoid inviting those kinds of distractions. But it’s a negotiating piece to where the organization is not immediately looking at paying the next Julio Jones, Aaron Donald, or Todd Gurley.
From a philosophical perspective Lynch has been willing to pay team leaders eg) Joe Staley, Richard Sherman, and Jimmy G. Division rivals in Los Angeles and Seattle have both also been willing to set top-of-market deals for core players. Kittle fits that mold. Prudence would see the deal completed before Kittle plays the final year for some cap hit mitigation.
**Kittle’s Leverage*\*
Top-of-the-market contracts are exploding. CJ Mosely got $18m APY when the LB franchise tag was 12.8m the year prior. Safeties went from making 10m APY to 14m. Even RBs made a substantial jump. In the last two years the top contracts by APY have been significantly reset for DT’s, DE’s, LB’s, Safeties, RBs, and RBs. Even RTs are making over 16m APY. It’s time for TE’s to get their due.
From an impact perspective, the 49ers had arguably the most potent rushing attack in the league this season at 144 rushing YPG. (Yes, the Ravens were better, but an incomparable comparison for Kittle given the dimension Lamar brings to that offense). In the two games where Kittle did not play the 49ers averaged 60 yds/game on the ground. Jimmy G’s passer rating in games with Kittle was 104.8, which is in the neighborhood of Patrick Mahomes and Russell Wilson. In games without Kittle, the 49ers went 1-1 and Garappolo’s passer rating dropped to 90.5 - against the #31 and #26 overall passing defenses. Marcus Mariota lost his job this season with a passer rating of 92.3. He is the player that makes the 49ers offense click.
I won’t speculate on Kittle’s desire for a new deal or the compensation he thinks he deserves. Nor his willingness to bet on himself vs ensuring his financial security after suffering from the wrath of Uncle Sam, CA State Taxes, and Bay Area cost of living. However, it would not be unreasonable for him to think the 49ers are not in the Super Bowl without him, especially if they win it all. Through the air his receiving numbers by total yards and yards/catch are akin to a top 15 receiver. At the very minimum he should see himself at least as valuable as an elite guard where the top salaries are in the 14m+ range. How much he wants to throw his weight around in contract negotiations is up to him. However the NFLPA and his agent may push him to play hard ball.
**The Deal*\*
Before the start of the 2020 season George Kittle signs a record 4y60m extension with the 49ers with $20m guaranteed. The 12.25m/yr cap hit for the 49ers is manageable for their offensive lynchpin. The APY resets the TE market and aligns it to that of an elite RB and/or 1B WR. More valuable than any guard or center, but not as valuable as a WR, QB, or Tackle. The 20m in guarantees is the highest ever for a TE, trumping the total 1st round pick TJ Hockenson received in his 100% guaranteed rookie deal. Soon after Travis Kelce and Zach Ertz see their deals reworked with added incentives to keep them happy.

references:
Thank you to overthecap.com, nfl.com, espn.com, and PFF for the stats, numbers and figures.
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[OC] The 2011 Chiefs had one of the weirdest seasons in recent memory (long-ish writeup)

So I spent some time on pro-football-reference.com, and stumbled across one of the most unusual seasons I've ever seen. In this writeup, I'll be discussing several things that really stood out, including the betting lines, the depth charts/quarterback carousel (due to injuries), potential playoff/historical ramifications, Tim Tebow (this was his year) etc.
 
I probably wasn’t very efficient in how I wrote this writeup, but you win some, you lose some. Hope you enjoy!

Part 0: Some Quick Definitions for Those Unfamiliar with Sports Betting

I'll use terms like point spread, favorite, underdog, oveunder, how all of these are determined by the house, and how all of these apply towards actually placing a bet.
If you are unfamiliar with any of these terms/concepts, I wrote a little writeup here.
Without further ado, let's get started!

Part 1- The Betting Lines

The 2011 Chiefs went 0-4 in games they were considered favorites. Computer simulations were run to determine who was expected to win, the Chiefs were favorites 4 times, and they lost all of them. Maybe it'd be a fluke if all of these games were in the beginning of the season (i.e. models didn't have enough data to work with, teams were still just starting out, etc.), but these games occurred in weeks 1, 8, 9, and 16.
 
Initially, there's really not much special here- excluding the 2011 Chiefs, here are all of the other teams that lost all of their games as favorites:
There are 10 such teams. 8 of them finished with 2-4 wins. The other 2 went 5-11. What makes the 2011 Chiefs notable? They went 7-9.
 
Interesting. There were no pick'em's, so they went 7-5 in games they were underdogs, and 0-4 in games they were favorites. At the surface, that seems a little... off. They lost all of the games they should have won, and had a winning record in games they shouldn't have won.
 
So I decided to dig a little deeper.
 

Part 2- The Betting Lines- Digging Deeper

When they were favorites (4 times), they lost by 34, 28, 7, and 3. They lost by an average of 18 points (3 scores) when they were favorites. All of these were at home.
 
The Chiefs had 7 matchups in which they were underdogs by more than a touchdown, none of these being less than 9 points. The following are not coincidences:
 
Naturally, we might expect them to get wrecked in these matchups. But, somehow, they actually did better: They lost by an average of 14 points (2 scores) when they were underdogs by at least 9 points. They even won a couple of these games, going 2-5. They lost by 45, 31, 27, 4, and 3. They won by 5 and 7.
 
So they did better against teams they were underdogs by at least 9 points, than they did against teams they were favorites against. They even won 2 of the games in which they were underdogs by at least 9 points. But it gets even stranger: These were 2 of the more unlikely wins in recent memory, and that's not even including the betting lines. There's a lot to unpack here, so I'll be giving some more background information:
 

Part 3: Matt Cassel's Injury, Tyler Palko, and Foxborough

So, the Chiefs primary QB in 2011 was Matt Cassel. He had just come off of a Pro Bowl season in 2010 and led the Chiefs to a division title for the first time since 2003. While he wasn't playing at that level in 2011, peak Matt Cassel is better than some Matt Cassel.
 
But at this time of the season for the 2011 Chiefs, some Matt Cassel was probably better than no Matt Cassel.
 
The latter is exactly what the 4-5 Chiefs were faced with in week 10, when Cassel suffered a hand injury in week 9 that ultimately ended his season. His replacement was 2007 UDFA Tyler Palko, who had only thrown 13 career passes entering that week 10 game.
 
Going to Foxborough (home of the Patriots, who finished 13-3) probably isn't the best place for Palko.
 
And he got wrecked. The Chiefs, normally averaging almost 16 points per game, lost 3-34. Tyler Palko had an 0:3 TD-INT ratio. And the Chiefs were at home for next week, thankfully, but they had to face an eventual 12-4 Steelers team.
 
The 4-6 Chiefs, still only 2 games out of first place in the AFC West, needed QB help to magically fall right out of the sky in order to save their season, or at least bring it back to respectability- and it came.

Part 4: Kyle Orton

2011 was Tim Tebow's famous season. The Broncos were 1-4 with Kyle Orton, their initial starter and 4-1 with Tebow, who wasn't the best QB, but kept magically finding ways to win games. I still remember all the boos the Broncos fans brought because they wanted Tebow, and it sure paid off for the team.
The day after the Chiefs got slaughtered by the Patriots, the Broncos placed Orton on waivers, and the Chiefs instantly pounced.
 
So now they have a guy they know is definitively a starting-caliber QB and a massive upgrade on Palko, but he doesn't know the playbook. He has to learn it as quickly as possible, and mind you it's week 11 at this point.
 
So the Chiefs have to stick with Tyler Palko for a little while longer. And things still didn't get better the next week- they lost 9-13 to the Steelers. Palko turned the ball over 4 more times (3 INT, 1 fumble), and still didn't throw a touchdown.
 
All of this accumulates to...

Part 5: The Road Win Against the 7-4 Bears, who were favorites by 9 points

The Bears entered this game at home at 7-4, and were well in contention to secure a wild card berth (the undefeated Packers had the division virtually wrapped up). They entered facing a team that, over the last 2 weeks, averaged 6 points and gave up 22. The Bears, heavily favored in this game, came in averaging 26.
 
Their starting QB, Jay Cutler, was also knocked out for the season in week 10, but their offense at least showed signs of life the week before, with backup QB Caleb Hanie against a 6-4 Raiders team. Enough to have that much of an advantage (on paper) against the Palko-led Chiefs. When healthy, they actually looked like a productive enough team that it was probably safe to bet on them despite a new QB.
 
Instead, they faceplanted.
 
They didn't pick Palko off once, and Hanie was the one who ended up throwing 3 picks. They had their chances- reaching the Chiefs 40 yard line 5 times, and these were the results: turnover on downs, FG, punt, missed FG, INT.
 
That's not to say the Chiefs offense was particularly productive, either. They made it to the Bears 40 yard line twice. One of them ended in a 21 yard field goal; the other ended in this Hail Mary touchdown to conclude the first half. This was one of only 2 TD's Tyler Palko ever threw in the NFL. He was out of the league after the 2011 season.
 
The Chiefs actually benched Palko in favor of Orton to start the second quarter, with the score tied 0-0. Orton got hurt the very first play, and had to leave the game.
 
And miraculously, the 5-7 Chiefs are still in it. They proceeded to lose 10-37 to the Jets the next week and fired their head coach Todd Haley and named Romeo Crennel their interim coach.
 
It's now week 15, the 5-8 Chiefs are now 3 games out. They trail the 8-5 Broncos, 7-6 Raiders, and 6-7 Chargers in the AFC West. It would be a miracle if they made the playoffs, but it's not impossible. But they were likely about to face mathematical elimination, as they were facing a 13-0 Packers team that eventually finished 15-1.
 
But then...

Part 6: The Win Against the 13-0 (eventually 15-1) Packers, who were favorites by 11.5

I'm still not quite sure how this one happened. This was the Packers' only loss of the regular season.
 
To a team that started a new QB and had a new head coach in their first games of the season. It's week 15.
 
The Chiefs, who struggled mightily to score points week after week, made it to Green Bay's 30 yard line in 6 of their first 8 full drives. To their 15 in 5 of them. To their 3 in 4 of them. And scored 19 points. From weeks 8-13, the Chiefs didn't put up more than 10 points in a single game.
 
The Packers, on the other hand, had one of the top offenses in the NFL. They didn't score less than 24 all season, and consistently put up scores in the 30's and 40's. They finished the year averaging 35 points per game. When there were only 5 minutes left in the game, the Packers only put up 7 points, eventually losing 19-14.
 
The Chiefs got blown out the week before, had several embarrassing blowouts a few weeks prior (which we'll talk about), and came out of nowhere to shut down a top-3 offense in the NFL, while fielding a new coach and starting QB (who was only there for 3.5 weeks) in their first game for the team. Amazing.
 
But remember, not all of their season was good...

Part 7: Two of the Embarrassing Losses as Favorites

In week 1, they were favorites by 3.5 against the Bills and starting QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, who eventually finished 6-10. They lost 7-41. Never underestimate the power of the Fitzmagic.
 
In week 8, they were 4-3, and facing the 0-7 Dolphins at home, who also had a backup QB (this time, because starting QB Chad Henne dislocated his shoulder). The Chiefs were favorites by 4. They lost 3-31. (The Dolphins finished 6-10)
 
Both of these were with a healthy Matt Cassel, by the way. They were a healthy team, and got embarrassed at home by two mediocre teams (at best). They eventually played 2 new QB's (and eventually, a new head coach), and pulled off two of the biggest upsets of the season, one on the road. They gave up only 14 points to the undefeated Packers, and 31 and 41 to the Dolphins and Bills. How ridiculous is that.
 
How ridiculous is any of this.
 

Part 8: Barely Missing the Playoffs

To think this team finished only one game out of the playoffs.
 
It's week 16, and the AFC West is as follows: Broncos 8-6, Raiders 7-7, Chiefs 6-8, Chargers 6-8. The Chiefs are playing the Raiders.
 
The score is 13-13 with 5 seconds left, and Chiefs K Ryan Succop has the game winning field goal blocked. It goes to OT, where Carson Palmer immediately connects with Darrius Heyward-Bey for a 53 yard completion. The Raiders kick the game winning field goal (back then, the Chiefs weren't allowed a chance to possess the ball), and the Chiefs are done. Here are the highlights from that game.
 
But if Succop makes that kick, the 7-8 Chiefs play the 8-7 Broncos in a winner-takes-all match for the AFC West.
 
I have full reason to believe the Chiefs would have won that game with these stakes.
 
One missed kick could have stopped Tim Tebow from throwing this famous game-winning TD on the first play of OT against the Steelers in wild card weekend that year.
 
Also: that game Matt Cassel got hurt was against the Tebow-led Broncos. Tim Tebow literally completed 2 passes that game- including this long TD to seal the game. That has only happened 2 other times since 1982, including once in 2000 where the Bengals ran for almost 400 yards. Shoutout to everyone that had Corey Dillon (22 carries, 278 yards, 2 touchdowns) in fantasy that day... surprisingly enough (to me, at least), fantasy football did exist on a mainstream level in 2000. CBS launched their fantasy league website in 1997. Within 3 years, most major sports websites had them. (I read that from here.) But, I digress.
 
That Tebow TD was on 3rd and 10. If that (and a first down) doesn't happen, the Chiefs get the ball down 3 with 6 minutes left. If they were to somehow beat Tebow, the God of late-game heroics, then that game could have also helped the Chiefs' case.
 

Part 9: Other Playoff Ramifications- NFC Playoffs

The Chiefs could have messed up the AFC playoff standings. They could have also messed with the NFC playoff standings. This one's definitely a stretch, but let's have some fun:
 
That Bears, who lost to the Tyler Palko-led Chiefs, missed the playoffs by 2 games, and finished as the 7 seed. This isn't exactly notable, until you consider that the 6 seed was the Detroit Lions, and both were in the NFC North. As such, with the way the scheduling works out, the Lions also played the Chiefs. The Lions were also favorites by 9 against the Chiefs at home, but ended up smoking them, 48-3.
 
Outside of their games against Kansas City, the Lions were 9-6, and the Bears were 8-7. The Chiefs only pulled the upset against the Bears; what happens if that upset comes against the Lions instead (and the Bears win)? It's a little complicated, but the Bears actually make the playoffs instead. Both teams finish 9-7, and the Bears own the tiebreaker. (I can post the full tiebreaker scenarios if anyone wants)
 
The Bears would play the Saints in the Dome in the playoffs. We'd get treated to the enticing matchup of Drew Brees vs. Josh McCown, whom the Bears signed on the same day the Chiefs signed Kyle Orton.
 
So far, the Chiefs have screwed the Bears over by beating them and not beating the Lions. But there's one final way they screwed them over: The Bears put in a waiver claim to get Kyle Orton when the Broncos waived him, but the Chiefs had higher waiver order, so they got him. The Bears probably called McCown immediately after hearing that they couldn't bring Orton back to Chicago. Instead of McCown, they could have had Kyle Orton, who was likely a massive upgrade over both McCown and Caleb Hanie.
The Cowboys were the only other team to put in a claim (despite Romo playing all 16 games), but I have no idea who would have gotten Orton if Kansas City hadn't claimed him.
 
All I know is, the Chiefs had a chance to mess up both conferences' playoff pictures in a way that puts 2 very unlikely teams into the playoffs. They instead messed with neither. But we did get the magic of Tim Tebow in that season, so I'm okay with it. Skip Bayless is too. God I miss DJ Steve Porter...

Part 10: Conclusion

The 2011 Chiefs didn't win a single game as favorites. They had 4. Of all of the teams that did this with at least 3 games as favorites, only the Chiefs finished better than 5-11. They went 7-9, meaning that they went 7-5 in games they were underdogs.
 
They fared better against teams in which they were 9+ point underdogs, than teams in which they were favorites.
 
They even won 2 out of 7 as 9+ point underdogs. One of those wins was on the road against a 7-4 team with a backup QB, and needed a literal Hail Mary touchdown to win. The other was against a 13-0 (eventual) 15-1 team that scored 35 points per game; they were held to just 14 points, and 7 in the first 56 minutes. In this game, they used a 3rd string QB, who was only on their roster for 3.5 weeks, and they also used a backup coach.
 
A healthy Chiefs team with their starting QB and coach got slaughtered at home by an 0-7 team with a backup QB. They lost to an eventual 6-10 Bills team at home. On that same home turf, they shut down the 13-0 (eventually 15-1) Packers with an interim coach and a 3rd string QB. Only once did they ever win by more than a touchdown- a 28-0 shutout against the Raiders in Oakland.
 
Even with their starting QB, from weeks 8-13, they didn't put up more than 10 points in a single game. They won 1 of them, in part due to a miraculous Hail Mary touchdown.
 
12 of their 16 games went under the oveunder. 7 of these 12 didn't even come close to the oveunder; they had games that missed it by 13, 13.5, 14, 15.5, 18.5, 22, and 27.5. They went 2-5 in these games. And these weren't even particularly large oveunders- 35, 37.5, 40.5, 41.5, 42.5, 43, 46.
 
In only 1 of the 4 games that went over the oveunder, the Chiefs had a shot, and they won by 4. They lost the other 3 by an average of 35 points- 5 touchdowns.
 
They were 5-8 and last place in the AFCW, 3 games out of first place, and on a new QB and a new coach. Their season was saved by a shocking win against the undefeated Packers. They fell one game out of the playoffs, possibly off a blocked field goal. Maybe not as crazy as that time the 4-8 Chargers took the division away from the 8-4 Broncos, but still.
 
We were one game away from Kyle Orton potentially knocking Tim Tebow out of the playoffs. The same Kyle Orton that the Broncos benched for Tim Tebow that same season. He did get his revenge in week 17 by beating the Broncos, though.
 
I would like to submit the argument that this is one of the weirdest seasons the league has seen in recent memory.

Other Sources

One Other Thing I wanted to Include

The Chiefs have had some crazy playoff scenarios around this time period. Lest we forget the highly improbable way they made the playoffs in week 17 of 2006.

Thank You

For reading this long writeup despite me probably being a little all over the place. Have a great day! :-)
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2019 r/NFL Top 100 Players (of the 2018 Season) - #40 thru 31

Hello everyone and welcome to this installment of players for this year’s NFL Top 100.
Today we bring you the players whose average rank placed them from 40 thru 31, with write-ups for each player from some of this year’s rankers.
We say it in every post, every year, and this year it is truer than ever: these rankings are for the 2018 season, so all players are listed with their 2018 team and all performances are based on 2018 performances.
And a reminder, don’t miss out on the Thursday posts this year, as they will contain all of the polls, the rankings for kickers and punters as well as a write up from one of our rankers each week, laying out their strategy for ranking the players in their list.
Now, with all of that out of the way, here are the sixth group of names on the 2019 NFL Top 100 Players (of the 2018 Season).

#40 – Alvin Kamara – RB – New Orleans Saints

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
--- --- --- --- --- 36
Player Profile Card
Written By: Lazy_Street
Alvin Kamara wrapped up his 2nd season in the league with his 2nd Probowl appearance, coincendentally he also finished 2nd in overall TDs. Everyone knew it would be hard to replicate his OROY season where he rushed at an unsustainable 6.1 YPC. Still he managed to top 1500 yards from scrimmage and increase his total TDs from 14 (rushing and receiving and returning) to 18 in 2018. Having arguable the leagues best tackle combination in Ramczyk and Armstead does make his job easier but his balance and anticipation is still tops in the league.
Unfortunately, he was overshadowed by even more spectacular RB play from players like CMC, Barkley, Zeke. and Gurley. Part of this is due to the Saints offense functioning different than those players offenses but also Kamara was much methodical in his yardage this year, only having one run that went for over 20 yards. This was the lowesst amount of "explosive" run plays by far in the leagues top 25 rushing, and I think it demonstrates in a single stat how Kamara was overlooked despite his gaudy TD numbers. That's not to say he was dominant or dangerous, because he absolutely was in 2018, it just happened in a much more measured clip..
With all that being said, I would still rank Kamara within the top 5 in the league and Top 3 out of the backfield as a receiver and has an otherworldly ability to make people miss in space or just straight up absorb contact and still keep his feet and is also absolutely filthy at running routes.
Kamara figures to have another special season in 2019 and he will continue to climb higher on this list and others.

#39 – Dee Ford – EDGE – Kansas City Chiefs

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
--- --- N/R N/R N/R N/R
Player Profile Card
Written By: Tdeath21
Depending on who you ask, Dee Ford either had a break out season in 2018 and is poised to be a superstar or he performed well in a contract year and that’ll be that. Regardless of what you personally believe, he was spectacular this past season. The Chiefs offense often did their part and allowed the Chiefs defense to focus on their pass rush. Ford feasted on this opportunity and elevated himself to that top edge level in 2018.
The most impactful thing a defensive player can do is to cause a turnover. Ford did his part there with 7 forced fumbles, tying him for the league lead. The second most impactful thing you can do is to cause the offense to lose yardage. His 13 sacks tied him for 8th in the NFL. So I think it’s pretty safe to say that Dee Ford was a big time impact player for the 2018 season.
Let’s take a peek at how he did it. Mostly, we can attribute it to his incredible speed and explosiveness. This allowed him to do things like line up inside and blow by the guard with ease. Poor guy had no chance. Nearly all of his sacks, however, were something similar to this one, where he just blows by the tackle on the outside with his speed and finesse. Playing in Arrowhead meant that speed rush around the outside was extremely tough to stop for the opposing tackle. And struggle they did. Those 7 forced fumbles he had were mostly strip sacks such as this one at the expense of Derek Carr. He mastered the art of swiping at the ball as the QB exposed it to make the pass. Of course he was an amazing pass rusher. We know that by the basic stat line. But let’s not overlook the fact that he was more than capable of using his athleticism to shut down the running game as well. Here we see him use his strength to close down the hole the run was designed to go through and force the running back to bounce it outside. He then uses his speed to contain the outside, get over to the sideline, and make the run stop. That's not a play every edge guy in the NFL can make, and Ford made it look fairly easy here.
No question about it. Ford was an incredible player in 2018 and was a top guy at the edge position, one which many consider to be the second most important position in all of football. His incredible explosiveness, speed, and athleticism allowed him to be one of the top playmakers in the NFL this past season. For his efforts, we have placed him at a well deserved 39 here on our list.

#38 – Cameron Jordan – EDGE – New Orleans Saints

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
N/R 70 N/R 67 39 13
Player Profile Card
Written By: Lazy_Street
Cameron Jordan was signed to a much deserved three year extension after another fantastic season. He was dominant throughout the entire season playing the run and pass equall well, Cam is one of the strongest EDGE players in the game right now. He pairs that with great technique and very sharp football mind.
He plays with great awareness, being able to avoid blocks and shed. When that fails he will straight up stonewall someone like he did against Todd Gurly and his TE.
Really I can show you at least 2-3 plays a game where Cam gets doubled and still manages to affect the passer or stop a run. He has been adding more skills to his arsenal, as he has dabbled in standing up off the line and it has been really effective in certain packages
But still one of my favorite aspects of Cam's play is his underrated athleticism. He was able to chase down Lamar Jackson on an option play in what was one of the best defensive games in the league last season.
I think he is slightly underrated checking in a 38 on this list but it's not as egregious as it could be, I hope to see him even higher on the list next year.

#37 – Andrew Luck – Quarterback – Indianapolis Colts

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
N/R N/R 33 N/R 35 N/R
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Written By: jaysrule24
Rejoice, for He is Risen! After an astonishing 616 days between games, many thought Andrew Luck would never be the same again. And after five weeks, some of those may have felt that they were right. While Luck boasted a career high 66% completion rate, and a respectable 12:5 TD:INT ratio, he also had a paltry 6.09 Y/A, prompting questions of whether his arm strength would ever return. Questions which were amplified in week 3, when backup QB Jacoby Brissett was brought in for the final play, to (over)throw a hail mary in less than ideal weather conditions.
But then, after the ugly Thursday night game in New England in which the Colts failed to dress a full 45 men, and lost more over the course of that game, Luck and the Colts started to turn things around. After one more tough game against the Jets, where the Colts were still getting healthy, Luck entered a stretch of 5 consecutive games with a passer rating over 100. A stretch where he threw for 16 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions and nearly 9 yards per attempt in which the Colts won each game by an average of 16 points.
The Colts' noble neckbearded leader cooled back off a bit over the final five weeks of the season, but still finished the season on a ten game stretch with 23 TDs to just 7 INTs, nearly 8 Y/A, a passer rating of 106.8, while the Colts went 9-1 to roar back from a 1-5 start to make the playoffs and win a game in the wild card round.

#36 – Mitchell Schwartz – Offensive Tackle – Kansas City Chiefs

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2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
N/R N/R N/R N/R N/R N/R
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Written By: TDeath21
Raise your hand if you’ve heard the following sentence: “The best and most elite tackles will always play the left side so they can protect the QB’s blind side.” If I could see you all, I’d bet that all your hands would be raised. That rule of thumb is not so true anymore, as the top tier pass rushers will often switch around to exploit the weaker tackle. Some will even almost exclusively line up on the offense’s right side. In today’s NFL, the right tackle position is just as important, and Mitchell Schwartz had that position on lock down for the Chiefs in 2018.
Are you a PFF fan? Some are and some aren’t. If you are a fan of them, his pass blocking efficiency was 98.1, good for fourth among qualifying tackles. His run blocking grade was 71.2, good for 8th among qualifying tackles. What about Football Outsiders? Do you like them? According to them, the Chiefs, when running behind the right tackle, gained an average of 5.64 adjusted line yards, FO’s statistic which attempts to separate the offensive line from the running back with regards to yards gained. This was good for 2nd in the league. I’d say it’s pretty safe to say that Schwartz was elite in both phases of the game. How about durability? He didn’t miss a single snap all season. Those ahead of him in PFF’s pass blocking efficiency missed at least one game and some missed a few more. Schwartz provided stability, durability, and elite play in both phases of the game at the right tackle position.
Alright. That’s the stat sheet. Let’s see him in action shall we? I admittedly didn't watch every single snap from him this season on the coach's film. What I did do though is focus on the big match up of the season. Denver. A guy named Von Miller (maybe you’ve heard of him?) went head to head with Mitchell Schwartz for two games, and this was a matchup worth watching every snap from on the coach’s film. I came away even more impressed with Schwartz. I calculated up how many times Miller was chipped by a tight end or a running back and also how many times Schwartz was responsible for a pressure or a sack when going against Miller.
The results? In week 4, 1 pressure. That's it. No sacks. And that's according to PFF’s game grades. It’s honestly one I have to dispute. The only one I found all game that they could have possibly charged Schwartz with was THIS one. The now famous Mahomes left handed throw. What's he supposed to do here? It's an overload blitz and it's one on three. He chooses the inside guy, allowing Miller and one other one to go free. That's Miller's one pressure he had against Schwartz. I guess they charged Schwartz with this one, but I'm not sure how. Like I said, it's the only one all game that I felt PFF could have possibly charged Schwartz with a pressure. Throughout the game, Miller threw everything at him and it didn't work. Bull rush? Check. Outside speed rush? Check. In the second half, Denver just quit trying to get Miller to the QB one on one. They implemented a few stunts to try to free him up. They realized not even Miller was getting there one on one vs Schwartz. How did Schwartz do on those stunts you ask? If you guessed chip Miller, pass off the stunt perfectly, then proceed to be an elite pass blocker, you were right. In the week 8 game, it was more of the same. Schwartz dominating one on one. Miller did, however, get his in this one. A sack. Happens. Especially with Miller. This was also the only pressure of any kind in week 8. Miller made it count.
Oh yeah. About that one on one stuff I've been saying. I've been saying that because in all the snaps of both games Schwartz pass blocked against Miller, he received a chip or a double team from a RB, TE, or OG 3 times. 3. 3 times in I don't know how many snaps between the two games. The Chiefs 100% trusted Schwartz to lock down the best edge rusher in the NFL in two separate games, and he did it in all but one play. Due to his incredible pass blocking displayed throughout the season, his great run blocking, and his insane durability, he lands here on our list at number 36.

#35 – Zack Martin – Offensive Guard – Dallas Cowboys

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
--- --- 59 41 24 17
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Written By: readonlypdf
Zack Martin was one of the anchors of a strong Dallas Offensive Line. Despite playing 877 Snaps, split about 65/35 Pass/Run, he only allowed 3 Sacks, 4 Hits, and 12 Hurries for a total of 19 pressures allowed across the 14 games he played in. That is solid production from the Guard Position. (All plays in gif form from Twitter) Some great examples include This Play against the Giants, These plays against the Jags, This Play against the Seahawks, and This block on a Swing Pass to Zeke.
These plays are just a sample of how well he played in 2018. He is a big reason why the Cowboys made the playoffs.

#34 – Antonio Brown – Wide Receiver – Pittsburgh Steelers

Previous Ranks
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
N/R 43 3 3 10 3
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Written By: Letsgomountaineers5
What more can be said about Antonio Brown that hasn’t already been said in his many iterations on this list? Once again, AB continued to prove why he is the best pound for pound WR to ever play the game. With a propensity for big plays, AB continued producing in the most crucial moments. Never one to shy away from the spotlight, AB added another walk off TD to his resume.
What is it that makes AB so great, despite his average build and speed? Is it his elite footwork and stems off the line of scrimmage? Is it his uncanny ability to change directions without even breaking his stride, all while waiting until the very last possible millisecond to make a play on the ball (fooling his defenders)? Is it his ridiculous footwork, hand eye coordination, and grip strength that allows him to make plays like this (I know it’s from last year but come on!) or this ? Is it his uncoachable knowledge of field positioning, allowing him to almost always find the soft spots when he’s doubled or bracketed, or in this case, triple teamed?
In reality, it’s these traits and many more that make Brown a lock for the Hall of Fame one day, and in the discussion for greatest WR talent of all time (I said discussion, guys…). Even in a “down year” for his standards, it’s why he’s found himself so high up on this list. While his 62% catch rate might not scream “ELITE” consider that of his 164 targets, only 105 were “catchable.” Of those 105, he caught 104. Also consider that he faced a murder’s row of corners by the likes of Ward, Humphrey, Trufant, Ramsey, Bouye, CHJ, Hayward, Gilmore, and Lattimore. Even while facing coverage predominantly by this corners, he still received TRUE double teams 8.5% of the time. That’s assigning two men or more to shadow AB, not just safety help. Hell, Belichick had the best corner in football shadow AB all while doubling him at the highest rate he saw.
Antonio Brown was an incredible player this year, and his very deserving of his ranking. His greatness is outlined even more when comparing him to his Steelers, counterpart, Juju. Juju was incredible, but he benefited heavily from AB being AB. Antonio Brown faced press 30% more of the time than Juju, man coverage in general 70% to Juju’s 55%, played 76% of his snaps outside and on the line (Juju played 44% of his snaps outside and only 40% on the line), and was doubled at one of the highest rates in the league (Juju was doubled 5 times all year). I felt it’s necessary to illustrate just how much attention Brown received, even with one of the 15 best WRs lining up across or inside of him. I will greatly miss his football contributions next season.

#33 – Davante Adams – Wide Receiver – Green Bay Packers

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Written By: packmanwiscy
Let’s play a game. Can you name all the Packers pass catchers that played more than ten games in 2018? You’ve read the title, so you already know Davante Adams is here. But who else? Jordy Nelson? Nope, he was in Oakland. Randall Cobb? Geronimo Allison maybe? Wrong again, both were injured all year. Jimmy Graham? Ah yes, the decaying corpse of a 32 year old former All-Pro did technically play all 16 games, congratulations. Times up! Did you get Marquez Valdez-Scantling, Equanimeous St. Brown, J’Mon Moore, Lance Kendricks, Mercedes Lewis, and Robert Tonyan? Maybe you did, maybe you didn’t. But all three wideouts listed were third day rookie draftees, and the three other tight ends caught less than 300 yards of passes combined.
In short, the Packers receiving corps was very talent deprived. Adams was the only guy that caught passes that wasn’t a rookie or a lumbering husk of a tight end. Did that mean that Adams saw a disproportionate amount of passes flying his way? Maybe. But opposing defenses also knew that he was the only real playmaker running routes and game planned accordingly. Still, in 15 games this year, Adams caught 111 balls (T6 in the league) for 1386 yards (7th, T4 if we’re going by YPG) and 13 touchdowns (T2).
The first thing that comes to mind about Adams is his route running. Tae is one of, if not the best route runner in the league, and an absolute master at creating separation. According to PFF, Adams had 1,242 receiving yards with a step or more of separation, which is the most in the league. He’s a master of releasing well off the line and using his footwork to get open.
If you want some examples, there’s plenty. See up top how Adams uses a stutter step to get by Prince Amukamara. Look at this single cut on Darius Slay in the slot to create separation. How about a textbook slant to get open? Here’s a great out route that catches Xavier Rhodes flat footed and creates enough space to dive into the end zone.
If you’ve had enough of Adams cooking divisional rivals, just watch him blow by Tre White on a slant, create enough separation to slip by the Niners D and get out of bounds to set up a game winning field goal, use another stutter step on Marcus Peters for a big gain, then do the same on Tre Flowers, and so on and so forth.
These skills also help him in the RAC game. Just watch how Adams cooks the Bears for a TD here. Tae also has great body control, as demonstrated by his touchdown grab against the Cardinals and another great grab in the same game here
Davante Adams is no doubt a Top 5 wide receiver in the league and is very deserving of his spot on the list. He’s a fantastic all around WR that excels in route running, great after the catch, and fantastic body control when needed. The fact that he can do all this despite the fact that opponents knew all last year he was the only receiver on the Packers that Rodgers had trust in shows how great of a player Tae is. With the Packers getting a new head coach and a new offensive scheme that isn’t as reliant on receivers running their way open, along with the other receivers growing older and better, Tae’s production may drop next year. But let this be a reminder on how talented Adams is.

#32 – Danielle Hunter – EDGE – Minnesota Vikings

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Written By: uggsandstarbux
Danielle Hunter (pronounced duh-NEEL) was by far the best player on a loaded Vikings front 7 this season. He was everything any team would want in a starting DE. Not only was he an elite pass rusher (4th in sacks with 14.5), he was one of the best defenders against the run (4th among EDGE players in defensive stops with 44). His career high sack numbers now have Hunter holding the franchise record for sacks in a player's first 4 seasons ahead of Hall of Famer Alan Page. He was a versatile player that played the 4th most snaps among DL (1023) and played those snaps from both DE positions as well as on special teams. What's scary is that he was equally as effective in both DE positions. Hunter was 1st among EDGE players in tackles for loss (21) and 3rd among EDGE players in hurries (49). He was also voted to his first Pro Bowl and was a 2nd team All Pro in 2018.
Want to look at more than just numbers? Hunter's film supports his skills as well. (Detroit fans might want to look away). His hand technique has developed quite nicely since being a 3rd round SPARQed out rookie. His hands compliment a great side step that helps him get the edge against elite pass protectors like Jason Peters and Ricky Wagner. But Hunter is more than just one move. He can beat you inside. He can beat you on stunts. He can beat you with his power. He can swim past you like his last name is Phelps. He can even beat you when you double team him, as shown by this GB GB (Green Bay Gang Bang). Heck, most of the time he's just better than you, and there's no need to overthink it.
He's not just a brainless monster either. Hunter's intelligence shows on the field. He doesn't bite on play action and can sniff out the ballcarrier with ease. Just take this excellent read against Taysom Hill. He switches from pass rush to run defense gracefully as well. Look at this play where he manhandles the TE in pass protection and then identifies Stafford with the attempt to escape the pocket.
But among all of that, none is my favorite thing about Hunter. No, my favorite thing about Hunter is his heart. Hunter gives maximum effort on every down and plays through the whistle all the time. Take this play, where he goes from bull rushing the OG against Arizona to turning his momentum around and chasing down David Johnson (who has 4.5 speed) 20 yards downfield. Or maybe this one, where he works through Gronk twice and another Patriots blocker to get outside the numbers and stop James White behind the LOS. Or maybe this play, where he continues to pursue Stafford on the QB scramble, leading to perfect positioning for his 2nd career TD.
Needless to say, Hunter is no longer just an athletic project for Mike Zimmer to tinker with. He's a bona fide, gap protecting, edge rushing, QB hunting monster. And he's only 24. Just wait to see what more he can do.

#31 – Derwin James – Strong Safety – Los Angeles Chargers

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Written By: milkchococurry
When I first covered the Derwin James acquisition in last season’s offseason review, I likened it to Melvin Ingram falling to the Chargers in the middle of the first round back in the 2012 NFL Draft. Then-GM AJ Smith called Ingram a “bonus pick” since Ingram was the kind of talent that shouldn’t have been available when he was. Derwin James was also a serious talent that fell farther than he should have. Unlike Ingram, though, James made an immediate and significant impact in his rookie season.
As far as the raw stats are concerned, James led the Chargers in total tackles last season (105), netted 3.5 sacks and picked off 3 passes. All of these are solid numbers that earned him a Pro Bowl nod and first-team AP All Pro at safety. But what really solidified his status as a serious up and comer at safety was the way he got those numbers. James became the Swiss Army Knife of the Chargers defense. He used all of his 6’2”, 215 lb frame to get in the way of passes and take down opposing ballcarriers. It didn’t seem to matter if the ballcarrier was bigger, already ahead of James, or even if it was a clear 1v1 matchup, there was a good chance James would be in on and make the play. He was in on seemingly every play, for that matter. James lined up in the box and played coverage, and no matter where he played, he usually played well. Did James have his rookie moments? Absolutely. But if you see the body of work from his rookie season, you couldn’t tell me he wasn’t up there as one of the best players on the Chargers defense.
Entering Season 2 in 2019, Derwin James now has more responsibility to learn and grow as a player and teammate. There are several seasoned vets in the defensive backs group, so James should not be in any rush to become the leader of the group. This doesn’t mean he shouldn’t spend 2019 grooming himself for that role though, as he has the highest ceiling out of all the DBs on the team. Combined with his youth, he will become a team leader soon enough. If James builds on and learns from his rookie campaign and continues to play his game with the same fervor that he showed in his rookie season, he may end his career as one of the all-time greats.

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[OC] JaguarGator9's Weird Stat Thread- Eurovision 2018 Edition

The Eurovision Song Contest might be the strangest phenomenon that I love watching. Imagine American Idol, but each country sends one act to perform, ranging from really good to really bad to this song which almost won. To give you an idea of how weird Eurovision is, this song sent by Lithuania in 2006 was a complete joke song… yet, that didn’t even come close to the strangest song of the night, which might be my favorite Eurovision performance of all time and ended up winning the thing.
So what does all of this have to do with the NFL? For the past few years, whenever I’ve posted weird stats, I like to make a Eurovision connection. As it turns out, you can make a lot of accurate predictions on how the season will go just based on what happens in this competition. Last year, I did a thread like this in the offseason; however, because I made the thread before the competition, a lot of the things that I said could not be true. I had stats about Turkey finishing last in the competition, even though they weren’t even in the competition that year. This year, I’m doing it after the competition with things that have actually happened. Everything that I’m writing down took place at Eurovision in 2018, and everything has a sample size of at least 4 (which is good for Bengals’ fans; last year, I made a post with Israel winning Eurovision three times, and the Bengals finishing with the worst record in the AFC all three times). With that being said, how will the 2018 Eurovision Song Contest impact this year’s season?
Year Albania Song Language Colts Placement Colts Week 17 Browns Placement
2006 Zjarr e ftohte Albanian Won Super Bowl XLI Defeated Miami 27-22 4-12, 4th in AFC North
2008 Zemren e lame peng Albanian Lost wild card round Defeated Tennessee 23-0 4-12, 4th in AFC North
2012 Suus Albanian Lost wild card round Defeated Houston 28-16 5-11, 4th in AFC North
2013 Identitet Albanian Lost divisional round Defeated Jacksonville 30-10 4-12, 4th in AFC North
This year, Albania sent their best song in years, sending “Mall” to the competition by Eugent Bushpepa. In Albanian, the word “mall” means “yearning.” It was just the fifth time that Albania sent a song in their native language. Bodes well for the Colts, and like most things, not so well for the Browns.
Year Belarus Song Words in Title Seahawks in the Playoffs
2006 Mum 1 Won wild card round against the Cowboys
2010 Butterflies 1 Won wild card round against the Saints
2013 Solayoh 1 Won Super Bowl XLVIII
2014 Cheesecake 1 Won 2 playoff games and made it to Super Bowl XLIX
2015 Time 1 Won wild card round against the Vikings
This year, though it didn’t qualify for the finals, Belarus sent the song “Forever,” which has one word in its title. After not making the playoffs last season, this is a really good sign for Seattle this year
Year Belgium Artist Browns Final Home Game Browns Second-to-Last Game Postseason Result
1972 Serge & Christine Ghisoland Defeated Buffalo 27-10 Defeated Cincinnati 27-24 Lost wild card round
1982 Stella Defeated Pittsburgh 10-9 Defeated Houston 20-14 Lost wild card round
1986 Sandra Kim Defeated San Diego 47-17 Defeated Cincinnati 34-3 Lost AFC Championship
2002 Sergio & The Ladies Defeated Atlanta 24-16 Defeated Baltimore 14-13 Lost wild card round
Keep this in mind with the Browns. Since 1972, in years where Belgium sends an artist starting with the letter “S”, they have made the playoffs 4 times in 4 years. In that same stretch, in years where Belgium does not send an artist starting with the letter “S”, they have made the playoffs 6 times in 39 years. This year, Belgium sent the artist named Sennek with the song “A Matter of Time,” which was a poor man’s James Bond theme. It didn’t qualify for the finals (so if the Browns don’t make the playoffs, we can easily change the stat to “years where Belgium sends an artist starting with the letter ‘S’ and makes it to the finals”), but this is promising for the Browns. Only problem is that you have the Albanian stat working against the Browns, so one of these will come to an end in 2018.
Year Croatia Song Language Divisional Round Drama
2001 Strings of My Heart English Patriots defeated the Raiders in OT on a game-winning field goal by Adam Vinatieri (final play of the game)
2002 Everything I Want English Titans defeated the Steelers in OT on a game-winning field goal by Joe Nedney (final play of the game)
2004 You Are The Only One English Steelers defeated the Jets in OT on a game-winning field goal by Jeff Reed (final play of the game)
2011 Celebrate English 49ers defeated the Saints on a game-winning TD pass by Alex Smith to Vernon Davis (9 seconds left; second-to-last play of the game from scrimmage)
2016 Lighthouse English Packers defeated the Cowboys on a game-winning field goal by Mason Crosby (final play of the game)
2017 My Friend English & Italian Vikings defeated the Saints on a game-winning TD pass by Case Keenum to Stefon Diggs in the Minneapolis Miracle (final play of the game)
This year, Croatia sent the song “Crazy” by Franka, which was only in English, and featured no Croatian language. What does this mean? Expect some drama in one of the divisional round games this year; based on recent memory, expect the Saints to be on the wrong end of history.
Year Cyprus Song Cyprus Placement Jets Record Postseason Result
1981 Monika 6th 10-5-1 Lost wild card round
1982 Mono i agapi 5th 6-3 (strike-shortened season) Lost AFC Championship
1997 Mana mou 5th 9-7 N/A*
2002 Gimme 6th 9-7 Lost divisional round
2004 Stronger Every Minute 5th 10-6 Lost divisional round
*- remember that I said that they had a record good enough to make the playoffs. That year, the Jets finished with a 9-7 record, which was the same record that the Miami Dolphins had. However, the Dolphins won the tiebreaker. Either way, the Jets are going to be good this year if that holds up, because Cyprus’ entry this year, “Fuego,” finished second in the competition (and arguably should’ve won). This was Cyprus’ highest finish ever at the competition.
Year Czech Republic Song Language Browns Result
2008 Have Some Fun English 4-12, 4th in AFC North
2015 Hope Never Dies English 3-13, 4th in AFC North
2016 I Stand English 1-15, 4th in AFC North
2017 My Turn English 0-16, 4th in AFC North
The song for Czech Republic this year was a combination of Ed Sheeran and Jason Derulo that actually worked really well. The song, “Lie to Me,” finished sixth, and had some really good staging, resulting in Czech Republic’s highest ever finish. Unfortunately for Cleveland, their song was in English only, so that’s not good. In fact, if the song has any English in it at all, the Browns finish last in the division; in 2009, the song “Aven Romale” featured both English and Romani elements, and the Browns went 5-11, finishing last in the AFC North.
As for the second component regarding the Super Bowl, the AFC team had, at some point before, had won back-to-back Super Bowls in franchise history. The NFC team, meanwhile, had never won the Super Bowl before that game.
Year Czech Republic Song Language AFC Team Back-to-Back Champions? NFC Team Super Bowl Wins Prior to Game
2008 Have Some Fun English Pittsburgh Yes (IX and X, XIII and XIV) Arizona 0
2015 Hope Never Dies English Denver Yes (XXXII and XXXIII) Carolina 0
2016 I Stand English New England Yes (XXXVIII and XXXIX) Atlanta 0
2017 My Turn English New England Yes (XXXVIII and XXXIX) Philadelphia 0
As mentioned before, “Lie to Me” was the song this year for Czech Republic. This narrows the Super Bowl down to four teams in the AFC (New England, Denver, Pittsburgh, Miami), and five teams in the NFC (Carolina, Atlanta, Minnesota, Arizona, Detroit). In fact, we can even expand this stat a bit further; if we include any Czech Republic song to feature English and include all championships in the equation (which adds 2009 with “Aven Romale”), then the criteria still fits. The Colts went back-to-back in 1958 and 1959 (pre-Super Bowl era), and faced off against the Saints, a team that had never won the Super Bowl prior to that game.
Year Estonia Artist Estonia Song Placement Broncos Result Giants Result Cardinals Result
1997 Maarja-Liis Ilus Keelatud maa 8th 12-4 10-5-1 4-12, 5th in NFC East (out of 5)
2000 Ines Once in a Lifetime 4th 11-5 12-4 3-13, 5th in NFC East (out of 5)
2002 Sahlene Runaway 3rd 9-7 10-6 5-11, 4th in NFC West (out of 4)
2012 Ott Lepland Kuula 6th 13-3 9-7 5-11, 4th in NFC West (out of 4)
This year, Estonia sent an operatic solo artist by the name of Elina Nechayeva to the competition. Her performance of “La forza” finished 8th, which is good news for the Broncos and Giants, and bad news for the Cardinals
Year | Finland Artist | Dallas Cowboys- NFC East | Dallas Cowboys- Postseason Result --- | --- | --- 1978 | Seija Simola | 12-4, 1st in NFC East | Lost Super Bowl XIII 1985 | Sonja Lumme | 10-6, 1st in NFC East | Lost divisional round 2014 | Softengine | 12-4, 1st in NFC East | Lost divisional round 2016 | Sandhja | 13-3, 1st in NFC East | Lost divisional round
This year, Finland sent Saara Aalto with the song “Monsters,” which surprisingly qualified for the final (largely due to good staging; I can’t tell you a thing about the song itself because it’s quite forgettable). However, seeing as her name starts with the letter “S”, the Dallas Cowboys will win the NFC East and make it to the divisional round. As it turns out, you can predict the entire divisional round on the NFC side of the bracket purely by Eurovision results. You’ll see what I mean as we get further along in this post
Year Finland Song Vikings Home Game vs. Lions Result
1963 Muistojeni laulu Vikings defeat Lions 34-31
1972 Muistathan Vikings defeat Lions 16-14
2008 Missa miehet ratsastaa Vikings defeat Lions 12-10
2013 Marry Me Vikings defeat Lions 14-13
This year, as mentioned before, “Monsters” was the song sent by the Finnish. In week 9, pick the Vikings straight up, but if the spread is anything more than 3, take the Lions. You can do that now, no matter what part of the country you live in. It’s perfectly legal.
Year France Artist Sporting News MVP
1956 Dany Dauberson Frank Gifford
1973 Martine Clemenceau OJ Simpson (AFC)
1977 Marie Myriam Walter Payton (NFC)
1998 Marie Line Terrell Davis
Note that for a period in the 1970s, the MVP was split up by conference into AFC and MVP, so two MVP awards were given out in a year (similar to how MLB does it). I didn’t use AP for this one, since the Associated Press MVP did not become a thing until 1957. However, since sent Madame Monsieur to the competition this year, this looks like a year where a halfback will go off and get MVP consideration, even getting named MVP from one publication.
Year Georgia Result Cleveland Browns Placement
2009 Withdrew/Disqualified 5-11, 4th in AFC North
2012 14th in semifinal (failed to qualify) 5-11, 4th in AFC North
2014 15th in semifinal (failed to qualify) 7-9, 4th in AFC North
2017 11th in semifinal (failed to qualify) 0-16, 4th in AFC North
You might be wondering how a country got disqualified at a competition like Eurovision. No political messages are allowed; it hasn’t stopped artists from trying before, but basically, you can’t make it blatantly obvious. Georgia’s song submitted that year was called “We Don’t Wanna Put In”. Combine the final two words of that title into one word, and you can easily see why Eurovision didn’t allow the song to compete. This year, Georgia didn’t qualify, as their song “For You” by the Ethno-Jazz Band Iriao (easily the most boring song of the entire competition) didn’t even come close, finishing dead last in its semifinal. Not good news for the Browns.
Year Germany Song Germany Language Germany Placement Bills Placement Baltimore NFL Team Baltimore NFL Placement
1977 Telegram English 8th 3-11, 5th in AFC East (out of 5) Baltimore Colts Lost in divisional round
2010 Satellite English 1st 4-12, 4th in AFC East (out of 4) Baltimore Ravens Lost in divisional round
2011 Taken by a Stranger 10th 6-10, 4th in AFC East (out of 4) Baltimore Ravens Lost AFC Championship
2012 Standing Still 8th 6-10, 4th in AFC East (out of 4) Baltimore Ravens Won Super Bowl XLVII
This year, Germany sent an English-only song, “You Let Me Walk Alone.” It was a great turnaround for the Germans, as Germany came in dead last in 2015 and 2016, and finished 25th in 2017. However, with this song by Michael Schulte, they had the highest placement of any Big Five nation, and finished in fourth. Bad news for the Bills, and really good news for the Ravens
Year Hungary Song Hungary Placement Atlanta Falcons Postseason Result
1995 Uj nev a regi haz falan 21st Lost in wild card round
1998 A holnap mar nem lesz szomoru 23rd Lost Super Bowl XXXIII
2011 What About My Dreams? 22nd Lost in wild card round
2012 Sound of Our Hearts 24th Lost NFC Championship
This year, Hungary finished in 21st place with “Viszlat nyar.” Picture a Puddles of Mudd or Ataris song, and now picture it in Hungarian. Because of this, though, the Atlanta Falcons should be able to make it back to the postseason.
Year Israel Song Colts Placement Browns Placement Ravens Placement
2006 Together We Are One Won Super Bowl XLI 4-12, 4th in AFC North Lost in divisional round
2008 The Fire In Your Eyes Lost in wild card round 4-12, 4th in AFC North Lost AFC Championship
2009 There Must Be Another Way Lost Super Bowl XLIV 5-11, 4th in AFC North Lost in divisional round
2012 Time Lost in wild card round 5-11, 4th in AFC North Won Super Bowl XLVII
This year, Israel sent “Toy,” which ended up winning the whole thing. That’s good for the Colts, once again good for the Ravens, and really bad for the Browns. If you’re betting against the Ravens after back-to-back stats saying they’ll make it to the divisional round, then you’re stupid just like your smartphone (yes, that’s an actual line from the song).
Year Israel Song Israel Placement Cowboys in the Playoffs
1978 A-Ba-Ni-Bi 1st Lost Super Bowl XIII
1979 Hallelujah 1st Lost in divisional round
1982 Hora 2nd Lost NFC Championship
1983 Hi 2nd Lost in wild card round
1991 Kan 3rd Lost in divisional round
1998 Diva 1st Lost in wild card round
Additionally, Israel has finished inside the top 10 of the competition eight times with a song that has one word in the title. Aside from the aforementioned six songs, Israel finished 7th with “Halayla” in 1981, and finished 8th with “Amen” in 1995. The Cowboys made the playoffs in 1981 (lost NFC Championship) and in 1995 (won Super Bowl XXX), so anytime Israel does well with a one-word title, it’s a good sign. And “Toy” won the competition this year, so the Cowboys have a lot of positive history on their side. When this season is done, their fans could be dancing on the motha-bucka beat (yes, another actual line from the song; remember that this was the winner).
Year Italian Song Italy Language Green Bay Packers Record
1958 Nel blu, dipinto di blu Italian 1-10-1
1964 Non ho l’eta Italian 8-5-1
1967 Non andare piu lontano Italian 9-4-1
1980 Non so che darei Italian 5-10-1
This year, Italy sent the purely Italian song “Non mi avete fatto niente,” which means the Packers will tie a game this season if history holds up. Who will that tie come against? This next stat involving Italy might help.
Year Italian Song Italian Placement Detroit Lions Record
1961 Al di la 5th 8-5-1
1965 Se piangi, se ridi 5th 6-7-1
1971 L’amore e un attimo 5th 7-6-1
1984 I trendi di Tozeur 5th 4-11-1
This year, by sending “Non mi avete fatto niente,” Italy finished in fifth place. If both the Lions and Packers have to tie a game this year under this rule, then if you’re going to pick a tied game this year, it’ll be Packers/Lions.
Year Malta Artist Featured Super Bowl Participant
1998 Chiara Atlanta Falcons
2000 Claudette Pace Baltimore Ravens
2005 Chiara Seattle Seahawks
2009 Chiara New Orleans Saints
2017 Claudia Faniello Philadelphia Eagles
Neither of those five teams had won a Super Bowl prior to playing in that game. This year, Malta once again sent an artist starting with the letter “C,” sending Christabelle with the song “Taboo” to the competition. Though she didn’t qualify for the final, the stat holds up regardless of qualification results, which means that a potential first-time champion will be in the game.
Year Portugal Artist Broncos the Year Before Broncos the Year After
1968 Carlos Mendes 3-11 (1967) 5-9 (1968)
1972 Carlos Mendes 4-9-1 (1971) 5-9 (1972)
1976 Carlos do Cormo 6-8 (1975) 9-5 (1976)
1981 Carlos Paiao 8-8 (1980) 10-6 (1981)
1997 Celia Lawson Lost in divisional round (1996) Won Super Bowl XXXII (1997)
This year, Portugal pulled a first-to-worst. Salvador Sobral won the competition in 2017 with the beautiful “Amar pelos dois,” which not only gave Portugal its first win ever, but meant that Portugal automatically qualified for the final and hosted the competition. Claudia Pascoal finished in dead last this year with “O jardim.” Her name starts with the letter “C,” which is good for Denver, as they should improve on their 5-11 performance from 2017. I don’t think that was in doubt anyways, but if you wanted another reason to believe in Denver to turn things around, here you go.
Year Spain Artist San Francisco 49ers Postseason Result Pittsburgh Steelers Division Result
1990 Azucar Moreno Lost NFC Championship 9-7, 3rd in AFC North*
1994 Alejandro Abad Won Super Bowl XXIX 12-4, 1st in AFC North
1995 Anabel Conde Lost in divisional round 11-5, 1st in AFC North
1996 Antonio Carbonell Lost in divisional round 10-6, 1st in AFC North
*- I said that they finished tied for the division lead, which is true. That year, the Steelers missed the playoffs at 9-7, and although they finished third, the two teams ahead of them were both 9-7. Cincinnati won the division with a 9-7 record, and the Houston Oilers finished second at 9-7.
This year, Spain sent Amaid y Alfred, and they didn’t do too well, as “Tu cancion” finished 23rd in the final. That’s now four straight years that Spain has finished outside the top 20 (unfairly deserved in 2016 with “Say Yay!”, and completely deserved in 2017 with The Lazy Song “Do It for Your Lover”). That’s pretty good for both San Francisco (as if people needed another reason to hop on the Jimmy G hype train) and Pittsburgh.
Year Sweden Artist AP MVP Team Postseason Result
1959 Brita Borg Johnny Unitas & Charlie Conerly Colts/Giants Both teams competed in the 1959 NFL Championship
1978 Bjorn Skifs Terry Bradshaw Steelers Won Super Bowl XIII
1981 Bjorn Skifs Ken Anderson Bengals Lost Super Bowl XVI
1997 Blond Brett Favre Packers Lost Super Bowl XXXII
This year, Sweden sent Benjamin Ingrosso to compete, as he finished in seventh place with “Dance You Off.” Sweden is like the Alabama of Eurovision; they’ve finished inside the top five in six of the past eight competitions, and have won the competition six times. The winner of the AP MVP will be a QB who goes to the Super Bowl, and the winner of the Sporting News MVP will be a halfback, if these stats hold up.
Year Ukraine Artist Atlanta Falcons Postseason Result
2004 Ruslana Lost NFC Championship
2010 Alyosha Lost in divisional round
2012 Gaitana Lost NFC Championship
2016 Jamala Lost Super Bowl LI
This year, Ukraine sent Melovin to the competition, who is an artist that goes by one game. The Hungary stat already showed that the Falcons would make it to the playoffs, but this is showing that the Falcons will go pretty far. And just like that, you can predict the entire NFC divisional round off of Eurovision
Year Winning Song Cardinals Result Chiefs Result
1960 Tom Pillibi 4th in NFL Eastern (6-5-1) 8 wins, 6 losses (8-6)
1973 Tu te reconnaitras 4th in NFC East (4-9-1) 7 wins, 5 losses (7-5-1)
1996 The Voice 4th in NFC East (7-9) 9 wins, 7 losses (9-7)
1999 Take Me to Your Heaven 4th in NFC East (6-10) 9 wins, 7 losses (9-7)
As mentioned a few times, “Toy” won the competition this year, so that means that the Cardinals will finish last in the NFC West and the Chiefs will finish with a 9-7 record
What Does This Mean?
It can be tough to keep track of all of that, so what do all of these stats mean when put together? Let’s go division by division.
AFC East: Jets will finish with a winning record, while the Bills will finish in last
AFC South: Colts will make the playoffs and beat the Titans in week 17
AFC North: Steelers will have at least a tie of the division lead, the Ravens will make it to at least the divisional round, and the Browns will either make the playoffs or finish last in their division (two stats contradict each other); however, the Browns will win their final home game (which comes in week 16) against the Cincinnati Bengals on 12/23
AFC West: Chiefs will go 9-7, Broncos will have a winning record and improve on last season’s total
NFC East: Giants will finish with a winning record, Cowboys will win the NFC East and make it to at least the divisional round
NFC South: Falcons will make it to at least the divisional round
NFC North: Both the Lions and the Packers will tie a game, and the Vikings will beat the Lions at home in week 9
NFC West: Cardinals will finish last, the Seahawks will win a playoff game, and the 49ers make it to at least the divisional round
General: There will be a dramatic finish in one of the divisional round games, the AP MVP will be a Super Bowl QB, the Sporting News MVP will be a running back, the AFC will be represented in the Super Bowl by either the Patriots, Broncos, Steelers, or Dolphins, and the NFC will be represented in the Super Bowl by the Falcons*
*- the four teams in the divisional round out of the NFC from these stats are the Cowboys (Finland stat), Falcons (Ukraine stat), Seahawks (Belarus stat), and 49ers (Spain stat). However, the Czech Republic stat states that the NFC team will be a team that has never won the Super Bowl. Of those four teams, only the Falcons have never won the Super Bowl. Therefore, the Atlanta Falcons will be in Super Bowl LIII in their home stadium according to these stats
Whether or not these weird stats will be right or not remains to be seen. However, I’ll leave you with this song that I have not mentioned yet from 2008, where Ireland sent a turkey onto the stage. That’s Eurovision for you.
submitted by JaguarGator9 to nfl [link] [comments]

Josh Gordon Stats

PS: ive never formatted these posts, not really sure how / dont really care. so it might look weird. oops

*I usually do these analysis before every game im going to bet on (im a degenerate), but i wont be posting stuff like this again. im usually running analysis during the day and getting drunk at night. i was able to do this because i stayed in yesterday.
* Im going to just focus on the Games he scored TDs in because im too lazy to do every game. but i will add at theend his total stat line at the end of the season.
2012 (Rookie Year):
Week 5 vs Giants: 8 Targets, 2 Receptions, 82 yards, 2TDs: 
62 yard Touchdown Pass From Brandon Weeden
20 yard Touchdown Pass From Brandon Weeden
Week 6 vs Bengals: 4 Targets, 3 Receptions 99 yards, TD: 
71 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
Week 7 vs Colts: 11 Targets, 2 Receptions 59 yards, TD:
33 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
Week 12 vs Raiders: 7 Targets, 6 Receptions 116 yards, TD:
44 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
2012 season stats: 16 games, 50 Receptions 805 yards, 16.1 Y/R 5 Tds

2013 season: This is not the Greatest WR in the world. This is just a Tribute.
Suspended first two games
Week 3 vs Vikings: 19 Targets, 10 Receptions 146 yards, TD 
47 yard Touchdown Pass from Brian Hoyer
Week 5 vs Bills: 6 Targets, 4 Receptions, 86 yards, TD 
37 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
Week 8 vs Chiefs: 10 Targets, 5 Receptions, 132 yards, TD 
39 yard Touchdown Pass from Jason Campbell
Week 11 vs Bengals: 15 Targets, 5 Receptions, 125 yards, TD 
71 yard Touchdown Pass from Jason Campbell
**(This is where shit gets Silly)** Week 12 vs Steelers: 17 Targets, 14 Receptions 237 yards, TD 
1 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
Week 13 vs Jags: 15 Targets, 10 Receptions, 261 yards, 2TD 
21 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
95 yard Touchdown Pass from Brandon Weeden
Week 14 vs Patriots: 10 Targets, 7 Receptions 151 yards, TD
80 yard Touchdown Pass from Jason Campbell
Week 15 vs Bears: 10 Targets, 3 Receptions 67 yards, TD
43 yards Touchdown Pass from Jason Campbell

2013 season stats: 14 games, 87 Receptions, 1646 yards, 18.9 Y/R, 9TDs
Played 5 Games in 2014 season, Suspended 2015 & 2016 season
2017 season:
Week 13 vs Packers: 6 Targets, 3 Receptions 69 yards, TD
18 yard Touchdown
2017 season stats: 5 games, 18 Receptions, 18.6 yards Y/R, TD
2018 season stats: 3 games, 5 Receptions, 20.5 Y/R, 82 yards, 2TD
Week 1:
1 Reception, 17 yard Touchdown Pass from Tyrod Taylor
Week 4: 2 Receptions, 50 yards, TD
34 yard Touchdown Pass from Tom Brady
* Reminder from 2012 to 2014 he did this to the National Football League Aged(21-23) while getting high and drunkbefore Every Single Game. Catching passes from Brandon Weeden, Josh Campbell, Brian Hoyer.

STATS in his career:
-JG started 40 games
-Targeted 353 Times, caught 184 Receptions for 3188 yards -17.3 yards Per Reception
-caught 17 Touchdowns.
-His Average Receptions Per Game in his career 4.6.
-His Average Yards Per Game 79.7 yards.
-733 yards turned into 17 TDs.
-His AVERAGE TD Reception is 43 yards.

For Most People they are Worried About the lack of targets/Receptions in such a Star Studded Offense.
-How often does Josh Gordon Catch less than 8 Receptions and either score TD or get over 50 yards or both?
**Answer: 12 games out of 40 games, 13 TDs out of 17 TDs.
2 Receptions 82 yards, 2TD
3 Receptions 99 yards, TD
2 Receptions 59 yards, TD
6 Receptions 116 yards, TD
4 Receptions 86 yards, TD
5 Receptions 132 yards, TD
5 Receptions 125 yards, TD
7 Receptions 151 yards, TD
3 Receptions 67 yards, TD
3 Receptions 69 yards, TD
2 Receptions 50 yards , TD
1 Reception 17 yards, TD

13 TDs out of 17 TDs have came in 12 games where he had less than 8 Receptions. in those 12 games: \-9 out of the 13 TDs came on fewer 5 Receptions. \-11 out of the 12 games he had atleast 50 yards and a TD. (Week 1 of this year he caught 1 pass for 17 yard TD) \-7 games he scored atleast a TD and over 80 yards. 

* Josh Gordon faces Kansas City this Sunday Night. O/U set at 59.5. What is Josh Gordon Stats vs KC while with browns?Glad you asked:
2 Games, 22 Targets, 13 Receptions, 218 yards, TD 60% Catch Percentage, 16.77 yards
* How are the Cheifs Pass Defense doing this year vs Pass Catchers?
Chiefs 2018 Pass Defense vs WRS & TEs:
AWAY:
Week 1 @ Chargers:
-Keenan Allen 8 Receptions, 108 yards, TD, 13.5 Avg
-Mike Williams 5 Receptions 81 yards, 16.2 Avg
Week 2 @ Steelers:
-Big Ben 452 yards 3 TDs 0 Int
-Juju 13 Receptions, 121 yards, 9.3 yards, 1 TD
-AB 9 Receptions 67 yards, 7.4 yards
-Jesse James(lol) 5 Receptions, 138 yards, 27.6 Avg, TD
Week 4 @ Broncos:
-Jeff H 4 Receptions, 57 yards, 14.2 Avg,
-Sanders 5 Receptions, 45 yards, 9.0 Avg
*Away the Chiefs give up an AVG of 373.6 yards 2TDs
that includes that shitty QB keenums stats. Now they get to play the GOAT.
-KC Pass D has given up 1715 yds in 5 games Worst in NFL. (343 yards a game) 25.8 points/game.
-The Avg Opposing QB rating 88.8 vs KC.

QBs KC faced:
-Rivers 424 yards 3 TDs 1 Int 103.7 Rating
-Big Ben 452 yards 3 TDs 0 Int 104.3 Rating
-Jimmy G 251 yards 2 TDs 0 Int 114.7 Rating
-Blake Bortles 430 yards 1 TD, 4 Int 54.7 Rating
-Case Keenum 245 yards 0 TDs, 1 Int 73.4 Rating
BONUS:
Chiefs vs RBs:
Week 1:
-Melvin Gordon ran 15 times for 64 yards 4.3 avg & caught 9 catches for 102 yards 11.avg
-Austin Ekeler ran 5 times for 39 yards 7.8 avg & caught 5 catches for 87 yards 17.4 avg and a TD.
week 2:
-James Conner 8 attempts for 17 yards & TD 2.1 avg, 5 catches 48 yards 9.6 avg
-Big Ben 2 attempts 9 yards & TD 4.5 avg
week 3:
-Matt Breida 10 carries for 90 yards 9.0 avg, 3 catches 27 yards 9.0 avg
-Morris 14 carries 67 yards & TD 4.8 avg
week 4:
-Phillip Lindsay 12 rushes 69 yards(nice) & TD 5.8 avg, 2 catches 10 yards 5.0 avg
-Royce Freeman 8 carries 67 yards & TD 8.4 avg
-Devontae Booker 1 attempt for 5 yards 5.0 avg, 1 catch 9 yards 9.0 avg

week 5:
-Yeldon 10 carries 53 yards 5.3 avg & 8 catches for 69 yards(nice) 8.6 avg TD
-Bortles 4 carries 34 yards 8.5 avg RushTD
-Corey Grant 1 carry 8 yards 8.0 avg

Sony Michel and James White should have a field day.
*im not a patriots fan, Die Hard Seahawks fan.
submitted by hazardousblue10 to fantasyfootball [link] [comments]

[Game Preview] Week 17 - Dallas Cowboys (8-7) at Philadelphia Eagles(13-2)

Dallas Cowboys (8-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (13-2)
It wasn't pretty, but at the end of the day a win is a win and the Eagles were able to pull one out against the Oakland Raiders in week 16 to secure home field advantage throughout the playoffs to ensure the road to the Super Bowl comes through the City of Brotherly Love. The Eagles will look to stay undefeated at home and against the NFCE in a meaningless game against the division rival Dallas Cowboys as the roles are reversed from last season. On the the flip side the Cowboys will be playing for pride and possibly Jason Garrett's job as in the season finale. The Cowboys were eliminated from playoff contention last week with a loss to the Seahawks as frustration boiled over between second year QB and veteran WR Dez Bryant after Dak's second INT of the game. Prescott has struggled recently throwing 4 INTs and zero TDs in his last two starts. The Eagles are expected to rest many starters on Sunday, but QB Nick Foles is expected to see the field in hopes of getting himself right after his extremely poor outing last week against Oakland. The team hopes to end the season on a strong note in the meaningless game as they will have a bye to start the first week of the playoffs and await their opponent.
General Information
Posting Rules and Guidelines
Remember to join us on Slack during the game!
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New to the Eagles? Take a look at our New Fan Page!
Date
Sunday, December 31, 2017
Game Time Game Location
1:00 PM - Eastern Lincoln Financial Field
12:00 PM - Central 1020 Pattison Ave
11:00 AM - Mountain Philadelphia, PA 19148
10:00 AM - Pacific Wikipedia - Map
Weather Forecast
Stadium Type: Open
Surface: Grass
Temperature: 19°F
Feels Like: 6°F
Forecast: Partly Cloudy. Partly cloudy until afternoon.
Chance of Precipitation: 0%
Cloud Coverage: 49%
Wind: NW 13 MPH
Betting Odds
Oddsshark Information
Favorite/Opening Line: Dallas by -2.5
OveUnder: 39
Record VS. Spread: Philadelphia 10-5, Dallas 7-7-1
Where to Watch on TV
FOX will broadcast Sunday’s game to a regional audience. Kenny Albert will handle the play-by-play duties and Ronde Barber will provide analysis. Kristina Pink will report from the sidelines.
TV Map - Week 17 TV Coverage Map
Internet Streams
NFL Streams - Look here 30 minutes before the game for Streams
Radio Streams
Disclaimer: Subscription Based Official NFL Radio Streams available via TuneIn
List of Eagles Radio network member stations with internet broadcast availability
Radio.com 94.1 Desktop Streaming
Listen to Merrill Reese and Mike Quick
Calling the game on 94WIP and the Eagles Radio Network will be Merrill Reese, the NFL’s longest-tenured play-by-play announcer (41st season). Joining Reese in the radio booth will be former Eagles All-Pro wide receiver Mike Quick, while Howard Eskin will report from the sidelines.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA WIP-FM 94.1 FM and 610 AM
Allentown, PA WCTO-FM 96.1 FM
Atlantic City/South Jersey WENJ-FM 97.3 FM
Levittown, PA WBCB-AM 1490 AM
Northumberland, PA WEGH-FM 107.3 FM
Pottsville, PA WPPA-AM 1360 AM
Reading, PA WEEU-AM 830 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton, PA WEJL-FM 96.1 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WAFL-FM 97.7 FM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WEJL-AM 630 AM
Salisbury/Ocean City, MD WBAX-AM 1240 AM
Williamsport, PA WBZD-FM 93.3 FM
Wilmington, DE WDEL-FM/AM 101.7 FM
York/LancasteHarrisburg, PA WSOX-FM 96.1 FM
Philadelphia Spanish Radio
Rickie Ricardo, Macu Berral and Gus Salazar will handle the broadcast in Spanish on Mega 105.7 FM in Philadelphia and the Eagles Spanish Radio Network.
Location Station Frequency
Philadelphia, PA LA MEGA 105.7 FM
Allentown, PA WSAN 1470 AM
Atlantic City, NJ WIBG 1020 AM; 101.3 FM
Dallas Radio
Dallas Cowboys Radio Network Brad Sham returns for his 39th season in the Dallas Cowboys radio booth. Beloved by Cowboys fans, Sham's award winning play-by-play has provided the soundtrack to many of the most memorable moments in Dallas Cowboys history. Babe Laufenberg returns as the Network's full-time color analyst. A fixture on the sideline, veteran reporter Kristi Scales provides instant updates from the field.
National Radio
N/A
Satellite Radio
Station Eagles Channel Cowboys Channel
Sirius Radio SIRI 81 (Internet 825) SIRI 135 (Internet 808)
XM Radio XM 81 (Internet 825) XM (Internet 808)
Sirius XM Radio SXM 81 (Internet 825) SXM 385 (Internet 808)
Eagles Social Media Cowboys Social Media
Website Website
Facebook Facebook
Twitter Twitter
Instagram Instagram
Snapchat: Eagles Snapchat: cowboys
NFC East Standings
Team Record Pct Home Away Div Conf PF PA Strk
Eagles(XYZ) 12-3 .867 7-0 6-2 5-0 10-1 457 289 3W
Cowboys 8-7 .533 3-5 5-2 4-1 6-5 348 332 1L
Redskins 7-8 .467 5-3 2-5 1-4 5-6 332 370 1W
Giants 2-13 .133 1-6 1-7 0-5 0-11 228 378 4L
[x]-Clinched Division [Y]-Clinched 1st Round Bye [Z]-Clinched Home Field Advantage
NFC Playoff Picture
Seed Team Division Record
1 Eagles(XYZ) East 13-2
2 Vikings(XY) North 12-3
3 Rams(Y) West 11-4
4 Saints(W) South 11-4
5 Panthers(W) South 11-4
6 Falcons South 9-6
[W]-Clinched Playoff Berth [X]-Clinched 1st Round Bye [Y]-Clinched Division [Z]-Clinched Home Field Advantage
Series Information
The Dallas Cowboys lead the Philadelphia Eagles (65-52)
Series History
Head to Head Box Scores
First Game Played
September 30th, 1960 at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, TX. Dallas Cowboys 25 - Philadelphia Eagles 27
Points Leader
The Dallas Cowboys lead the Philadelphia Eagles (2542-2329)
Coaches Record
Doug Pederson: 2-1 against the Cowboys
Jason Garrett: 7-8 against Eagles
Coaches Head to Head
Doug Pederson vs Jason Garrett: Pederson leads series 2-1
Quarterback Record
Nick Foles: Against Cowboys: 1-3
Dak Prescott: Against Eagles: 1-2
Quarterbacks Head to Head
Nick Foles vs Dak Prescott: First meeting between the QBs
Records per Stadium
Record @ Lincoln Financial Field: Cowboys lead the Eagles: 8-6
Record @ AT&T Stadium: Eagles lead the Cowboys: 6-4
Rankings and Last Meeting Information
AP Pro 32 Ranking
Eagles No. 4 - Cowboys No. 16
Record
Eagles: 13-2
Cowboys: 8-7
Last Meeting
Sunday, November 19th, 2017
Eagles 37 - Cowboys 9
Carson Wentz threw for two touchdowns and three 2-point conversions after Philadelphia lost kicker Jake Elliott to a head injury, and the Eagles all but wrapped up the NFC East with a 37-9 victory over the Dallas Cowboys in week 11.
Click here to view the Video Recap
Click here to view the Stats Recap
Last Meeting at Site
Sunday, January 1st, 2017
Eagles 27 – Cowboys 13
Carson Wentz threw for 2 TDs and 245 yards in a meaningless games as the Cowboys rested starters and Tony Romo threw the final TD pass of his career in the loss.
Click here to view the Video Recap Click here to view the Stats Recap|
Last 10 Meetings
Date Winner Loser Score
11/19/2017 Eagles Cowboys 37-9
1/1/2017 Eagles Cowboys 27-13
10/30/2016 Cowboys Eagles 29-23
11/8/2015 Eagles Cowboys 33-27
9/20/2015 Cowboys Eagles 20-10
12/14/2014 Cowboys Eagles 38-27
11/27/2014 Eagles Cowboys 33-10
12/29/2013 Eagles Cowboys 24-22
10/20/2013 Cowboys Eagles 17-3
12/2/2012 Cowboys Eagles 38-33
Injury Reports Depth Charts
Eagles Eagles
Cowboys Cowboys
2017 Weekly Matchup
Week 17 - Iron Rank Matchup
Week 17 - "Expert" Picks
2017 Team Stats
Eagles Season Stats
Cowboys Season Stats
2017 Stats (Starters/Leaders)
Passing
Name CMP ATT PCT YDS TD INT RAT
Foles 53 90 58.9 498 5 1 88.1
Wentz (IR) 265 440 60.2% 3296 33 7 101.9
Prescott 291 460 63.3% 3145 21 13 86.7
Rushing
Name ATT YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Blount 164 729 48.6 4.4 2
Ajayi 70 408 58.3 5.8 1
Elliott 215 880 97.8 4.1 7
Receiving
Name REC YDS YDS/G AVG TD
Ertz 72 800 61.5 11.1 8
Bryant 66 814 54.3 12.3 6
Sacks
Name Sacks Team Total
Graham 9.5 37
Lawrence 14.5 35
Tackles
Name Total Solo Assist Sacks
Bradham 88 61 27 1.0
Lee 93 63 30 0
Interceptions
Name Ints Team Total
Robinson 4 19
Heath 3 9
Punting
Name ATT YDS LONG AVG NET IN 20 TB BP
D. Jones 60 2734 62 45.6 40.6 18 5 1
C. Jones 58 2552 62 44.0 41.9 30 3 0
Kicking
Name ATT MADE % LONG PAT
Elliot 31 26 83.9% 61 39/42
Bailey 19 15 78.9% 56 26/27
Kick Returns
Name ATT YDS AVG LONG TD
Barner 9 176 19.6 27 0
Switzer 23 586 25.5 61 0
Punt Returns
Name RET YDS AVG LONG TD FC
Barner 24 229 9.5 76 0 15
Switzer 23 244 8.7 83 1 8
League Rankings 2017
Offense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Cowboys Stat Cowboys Rank
Total Offense 375.5 4th 334.1 14th
Rush Offense 136.3 2nd 136.1 3rd
Pass Offense 239.2 12th 198.0 25th
Points Per Game 30.5 2nd 23.2 12th
3rd-Down Offense 42.9 5th 43.6 4th
4th-Down Offense 70.8 3rd 55.6 6th
Red Zone Offense (TD%) 65.5 1st 60.8 6th
Defense Rankings
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Cowboys Stat Cowboys Rank
Total Defense 306.9 5th 324.7 11th
Rush Defense 75.9 1st 106.3 11th
Pass Defense 231.0 20th 218.4 13th
Points Per Game 19.3 6th 22.1 16th
3rd-Down Defense 32.1 3rd 44.2 30th
4th-Down Defense 23.5 1st 36.4 11th
Red Zone Defense (TD%) 56.8 22nd 57.1 T-23rd
Team
Category Eagles Stat Eagles Rank Cowboys Stat Cowboys Rank
Turnover Diff. +12 4th -2 T-19th
Penalty Per Game 7.3 T-25th 6.0 9th
Penalty Yards Per Game 60.9 23rd 58.3 18th
Recap from Last Week’s Games.
Eagles - Video – It was like a great Christmas present that was terribly wrapped. Nick Foles looked dreadful and the Eagles defense made some key mistakes in the first half, however they came up huge in the second half causing 5 turnovers including a key one late that led to a Jake Elliott 48-yard field goal with 22 seconds left to give the Eagles a 3 point lead. The Eagles defense added another late TD as Derek Barnett scooped up a fumble on a late ditch lateral and the Philadelphia Eagles clinched the No. 1 seed for the NFC playoffs with a sloppy 19-10 victory over the Oakland Raiders on Monday night.
Cowboys - Video – Dak Prescott's struggles finally caught up with him as the Cowboys as their 3 game winning streak and playoff hopes ended in a loss to Seattle Sunday. Dak Prescott threw two interceptions and the Dallas offense didn't score a touchdown despite the reunion with his backfield mate. Coleman gave Seattle a 14-9 lead in the third quarter when he reached down to catch Prescott's badly overthrown pass to Elliott and ran untouched 30 yards for a touchdown. The TD put Seattle in front for good and the Seahawks won a playoff elimination game against Dallas, beating the Cowboys 21-12 on Sunday in Ezekiel Elliott's return from a six-game suspension.
Connections
Eagles RT Halapoulivaati Vaitai is a native of Haltom, TX and went to Haltom High School. Vaitai played collegiately at TCU in Fort Worth, TX
Eagles S Jalen Mills was born in Dallas and grew up in DeSoto, TX and went to Desoto High School.
Eagles LB Jordan Hicks played collegiately for Texas.
Cowboys Safeties Coach Greg Jackson played for the Eagles during the 1994-95 season.
Cowboys Director of Pro Scouting Judd Garrett was selected in the 12th round of the 1990 NFL Draft by the Philadelphia Eagles but was released before the season began.
Cowboys Assistant Director of Video Stephen Gagliardino began his NFL career in 1995 as a ball boy with the Philadelphia Eagles when he was 16 years old, working training camp and game days at Veterans Stadium. He did that for four seasons before moving over to the Eagles video department in 1999, where he worked full time as an intern for three seasons (1999-2001).
Many Cowboys fans were born and raised in the Greater Philadelphia Area, however have no ties to Dallas nor have ever been to the city.
Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett was born in Abington, PA, located roughly 15 miles north of Philadelphia
Eagles DT Fletcher Cox and Cowboys QB Dak Prescott played together at Mississippi State University when Prescott was a red shirt freshman.
Eagles OT Lane Johnson is from Groveton, TX and has family who are Cowboys fans including his grandmother who has told “Shut up, if you want to see 75” while she was routing for the Cowboys.
Eagles WR Mack Hollins and Cowboys WR Ryan Switzer played WR together at University of North Carolina the last 4 seasons.
2018 Pro Bowlers
Eagles Cowboys
OT Lane Johnson OT Tyron Smith (Starter)
QB Carson Wentz (Starter) C Travis Fredrick
TE Zach Ertz (Starter) OG Zach Martin (Starter)
G Brandon Brooks (Starter) DE Demarcus Lawrence (Starter)
DT Fletcher Cox (Starter)
FS Malcom Jenkins
C Jason Kelce (1st Alt)
DE Brandon Graham (1st Alt)
CB Jalen Mills (3rd Alt)
K Jake Elliot (2nd Alt)
ST Kame Grugier-Hill (2nd Alt)
General
Referee: John Parry
Philadelphia owns the best record in the NFL this season at 13-2. The Eagles’ 13 wins are tied for the most in single-season franchise history (also 2004, 13-3)
In Week 14 at L.A. Rams, Philadelphia clinched its 10th NFC East title and 25th all-time postseason appearance. The last time the Eagles clinched the division crown in Week 14 or earlier was in 2004 (clinched in Week 12).
In Week 15 at N.Y. Giants, Philadelphia secured a first round bye in the playoffs, marking just the sixth instance since 1970 that they accomplished the feat.
Philadelphia secured home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs with their Week 16 win against Oakland.
Only five NFL teams have won 14+ games since 2008: 2016 Patriots (14-2), 2015 Panthers (15-1), 2011 Packers (15-1), 2010 Patriots (14-2) and 2009 Colts (14-2)
Philadelphia is 7-0 at home for the first time since 2004. The last time the Eagles finished the season 8-0 at home was in 1992. Overall, Philadelphia has gone undefeated at home just four times in franchise history, doing so in 1992 (8-0), 1949 (6-0), 1948 (6-0) and 1945 (6-0).
Philadelphia has scored 457 points (30.5 points per game), which ranks 2nd all-time in single-season franchise history, trailing only 2014 (474 points). Heading into the final week of the regular season, the Eagles are just 18 points shy of setting a new club record.
Philadelphia is aiming to go undefeated in NFC East games for the first time since 2004.
Philadelphia has scored 36 TDs on 55 red zone drives to lead the NFL in red zone TD efficiency (65.5%)
Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NFL in total points scored (457), trailing only L.A. Rams (465).
Philadelphia ranks 2nd in the NFL in point differential (+168), behind L.A. Rams (+170). The Eagles are the first NFL team to score 450+ points (457) while allowing less than 290 points (289) since the 2012 Broncos (481-289).
Philadelphia owns the NFL’s 2nd-ranked rushing offense (136.3), trailing only Jacksonville (145.3). The Eagles have rushed for 2,000+ yards (2,045) for the first time since the 2013 campaign (2,566).
Philadelphia is just the sixth team in NFL history to record 2,000+ rushing yards and 38+ passing TDs, joining the 2011 Saints (2,127-46), 1999 Rams (2,059-42), 1998 49ers (2,544- 41), 1991 Bills (2,381-39) and 1987 49ers (2,237-44).
Philadelphia has converted 17 of 24 fourth downs, ranking 3rd in the NFL in fourth-down conversions (70.8%), trailing only New Orleans (85.7%) and Jacksonville (76.9%).
Philadelphia leads the NFL in rushing defense (75.9). The Eagles have allowed just 1,138 rushing yards this season, which is the club’s best mark since 1991 (1,136).
Philadelphia is just the seventh team in NFL history to register 2,000+ rushing yards while allowing no more than 1,200 rushing yards in a season, joining the 2010 Steelers, 2007 Vikings, 1969 Cowboys, 1964 Bills, 1946 49ers and 1940 Bears.
Draft Picks
Eagles Cowboys
DE Derek Barnett DE Taco Charlton
CB Sidney Jones CB Chidobe Awuzie
CB Rasul Douglas CB Jourdan Lewis
WR Mack Hollins WR Ryan Switzer
RB Donnel Pumphrey S Xavior Woods
WR Shelton Gibson CB Marquez White
LB Nathan Gerry DT Joey Ivie
DT Elijah Qualls WR Noah Brown
DE Jordan Carrell
Notable Off-season Additions
Eagles Cowboys
WR Torrey Smith OG Byron Bell
WR Alshon Jeffery OG Jonathan Cooper
DE Chris Long
DT Timmy Jernigan
RB LaGarrett Blount
CB Patrick Robinson
G Chance Warmack
QB Nick Foles
S Corey Graham
CB Ronald Darby
K Jake Elliott
LB Dannell Ellerbe
OT Will Beatty
Notable Off-season Departures
Eagles Cowboys
CB Nolan Carroll QB Tony Romo
DE Connor Barwin OG Ronald Leary
DT Bennie Logan OG Emmett Cleary
QB Chase Daniel DT Jack Crawford
CB Leodis McKelvin DT Terrell McClain
WR Dorial Green-Beckham CB Brandon Carr
DE Marcus Smith CB Morris Claiborne
RB Ryan Mathews SS Barry Church
FS JJ Wilcox
Milestones
QB Nick Foles (7251) needs 247 yards to move up to 9th all-time on the all-time Eagles Passing Yards list Norm Van Brocklin
QB Nick Foles (51) needs 4 TDs to move up to a tie for 9th all-time on the all-time Eagles Passing TDs list Norm Van Brocklin
TE Brent Celek (4,985) needs 15 more yards to reach 5000 career receiving yards.
TE Brent Celek (395) needs 5 more receptions to reach 400 career receptions.
TE Zach Ertz (3640) needs 7 yards to move up to 14th on the Eagles all-time receiving list all-time passing WR Jason Avant
DE Brandon Graham (38.5 – 7th) needs 1 sacks to move up to a tie for 6th on the Eagles all-time sack list tying DT Andy Harmon.
DE Fletcher Cox (34 - 10th) needs 1.5 sacks to move into a tie for 9th all-time on the Eagles sack list with William Fuller.
S Malcolm Jenkins's (4) needs 1 more Interception for a TD to tie CB Eric Allen (5) for most Interceptions for a TD by an Eagles player. Jenkins is the only Eagles player to have a pick 6 in 3 straight seasons.
DE Demarcus Lawrence (23.5) needs 3.5 more sacks to move up to a tie for 10th on the Cowboys all-time sack list with Jay Ratliff and Jason Hatcher.
QB Dak Prescott (44) needs 2 TDs to move up to 7th on the Cowboys all-time passing TD list moving ahead of Eddie LeBaron.
RB Ezekiel Elliott (2511) needs 218 rushing yards to move up to 11th on the Cowboys all-time rushing yards list passing Felix Jones.
Pro Football Focus Matchup Charts courtesy of PFF Edge

WDB Matchups (CAPS = Shadow Coverage)

Eagles WRs vs. Cowboys DBs
Tm Name Pos H Wt Sp Rt L% S% R% TaRt C% YPRC Gr Adv
PHI Alshon Jeffery LWR 75 218 4.48 577 45 16 39 20 50 1.44 80.6 4
DAL Jourdan Lewis RCB 70 170 4.54 432 6 7 86 15 59 1.01 76.9
PHI Torrey Smith RWR 72 205 4.41 465 38 17 45 14 61 0.99 42.3 -45
DAL Chidobe Awuzie LCB 73 202 4.43 175 76 4 20 15 68 0.7 80
PHI Nelson Agholor Slot 72 198 4.42 502 7 86 7 19 67 1.58 79.8 29
DAL Anthony Brown Slot 71 196 4.33 488 67 20 13 15 58 1.12 53.7
Cowboys WRs vs. Eagles DBs
Tm Name Pos H Wt Sp Rt L% S% R% TaRt C% YPRC Gr Adv
DAL Dez Bryant LWR 74 220 4.52 541 49 23 28 24 56 1.65 74.7 10
PHI Ronald Darby RCB 71 193 4.38 232 6 3 91 21 58 1.5 81.6
DAL Cole Beasley Slot 68 180 -100000 417 5 88 7 15 62 0.83 65.9 -11
PHI Patrick Robinson Slot 71 191 4.46 464 6 80 14 18 55 1.28 90.7
DAL Terrance Williams RWR 74 210 4.52 431 39 9 52 18 71 1.41 52.2 -23
PHI Jalen Mills LCB 72 191 4.61 609 87 3 10 18 60 1.14 71
TE Matchups
Tm Name Pos H Wt Rt Bl% I% S% W% TaRt% F/R Cat% YPRC Gr Adv
DAL Jason Witten TE 78 263 571 11 37 54 9 16 0.3 77 1.11 50.5 -12
PHI Malcolm Jenkins S 72 204 261 8 0.15 64 0.48 83.9
PHI Zach Ertz TE 77 250 477 7 42 41 17 23 0.45 72 1.81 85.6 2
DAL Byron Jones S 72 199 159 11 0.14 29 0.33 81.9
OL/DL Matchups
Note: Pressure Rate and Yards Before Contact are projected numbers based on the starters' grades and are adjusted for injuries. All other stats are based on this season's data
Tm Pr% SCon YBCo Runs ins. 5 yd ln/gm TD ins. 5 yd ln% Pass B % Run B %
DAL (OL) 4.3 14 1.97 1.1 44 -12 12
PHI (DL) 7.2 19 1.37 0.6 33
PHI (OL) 4.4 16 1.69 1 31 -7 17
DAL (DL) 6.7 13 1.75 1 25
Matchups to Watch
Nick Foles vs. Competency
Just as we all expected the defense carried Nick Foles in a great defensive show down with the Raiders. Last weeks performance was largely the opposite of Week 15 leaving fans of the other NFC playoff teams salivating at the chance to play Nick Foles. If there is one word used to describe Foles in his career it would be inconsistent. The Giants and Raiders games are the two games you could point to when you want to describe what Nick Foles is capable of since there is usually no in between. The starters will play in this meaningless game against the Sean Lee led Dallas Sean Lee's and this is a good thing - at least for the offense. Foles needs all of the live reps he can get to be ready for the postseason. No one expects him to go out on the field and look like Carson Wentz. All we need Foles to do is to go out on the field in the post season and not look like Dak Prescott. Fact is, there were several plays open all game to different receivers for Foles to hit against the Raiders and he missed nearly all of them. No one wants to pile on a poor performance, but if Foles plays like he did against the Raiders in the playoffs the Eagles will be one and done faster than the 2016 Cowboys. This is the matchup to watch in this game. Continuity and familiarity will help Foles. Being used to the elements will help Foles. Sunday's game against Dallas will be very cold. While that is an effective equalizer for the Eagles moving forward it doesn't help if their own QB doesn't handle the elements well either.
Eagles Snap Counts vs. Necessity
There isn't really much to watch for in this game other than Nick Foles and the offense, but Pederson has come out and said that the starters will play in this game. Obviously, if the Eagles lose this nothing changes but we should be watching how the team plays, who plays, the amount of snaps they play, and if they make it through the game cleanly. I wouldn't expect the defensive line to see the full workload they are used to but we will see them play snaps. I think it'll be important for guys like Ellerbe and Darby to continue to get snaps and make sure they are still in game shape. There is also the possibility Sidney Jones will play. If there is a situation where you can get him meaningful snaps without having to worry about a games consequences this is it. Maybe the Eagles give some snaps to reserve tackle Will Beatty to ensure that he has some work under his belt in the event it is needed. Wisniewski could certainly use some snaps since he has missed the last two and a half games. All there is to watch is how long the usual cast of characters plays.
Doug Pederson vs The Future
Jimmy Kempski struggled with his key matchups in this game but did mention that it'll be interesting to see how Pederson calls this game. He's playing the starters; do you call a game to win? I think he'll need to be smart and not reveal anything too deep in the game plan that he'll use for Foles in the playoffs. This is really a stretch since there is no silver lining to Foles starting moving forward. Pederson should be smart about what he does Sunday so as to not tip their hand when the games count again.
Eagles vs. Expectations
This has been a magical roller coaster season for the Eagles. Many fans expected the team to improve and challenge for a playoff spot despite the more pessimistic projections from national writers and worthless redditors alike. Carson Wentz took the next leap to greatness this season and established himself as one of the upper tier QBs in the league. Doug Pederson proved he knew what he was doing despite a lot of skepticism from fans and writers alike. Dak Prescott stinks. There was room for optimism after last season. The Eagles went 7-9 with their most difficult schedule since NFL realignment. This doesn't take into account the number of teams the Eagles faced coming off a bye - consecutively - then playing a Falcons team coming off 10 days rest. That strength of schedule percentage doesn't take into account naming Wentz starter a week before the start of the season after trading Bradford. It doesn't take into account he was a rookie with a rookie head coach and a new staff and scheme. Yet, here the Eagles are. Through all the adversity this team has faced this season they sit 13-2 and the number 1 seed in the East. There is a chance that the Eagles could set the franchise record for wins if they beat the Cowboys on Sunday. The postseason was always going to be a challenge even with Wentz given the depth of the NFC but has become even more difficult to navigate without him. I would imagine there is less expected of this Eagles team from the outside since Wentz's injury than from before. The team should be used to that by now. The Eagles still have everything to play for and will need its best players to raise their level of play moving forward. The coaching staff will need to bring its very best in order to win moving forward. Week 17 is meaningless... but how the team prepares and carries itself isn't.
Special thanks to MikeTysonChicken and abenyishay for their help in creating this Game Preview.
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Packers vs. Seahawks: 2014 NFC Championship Game  Aaron Rodgers vs. Russell Wilson  NFL Full Game Seahawks vs Packers NFC Divisional Round In-Game Bets  Live Line Green Bay Packers vs. Seattle Seahawks 2014 NFC Championship Game Highlights Seattle Seahawks Highlights vs GB(Week 1, 2014)[HD] NFL Week 11: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks Betting Preview and Pick

NFL Week 1 odds 2014: Vegas favors Seahawks over Packers, Broncos over Colts oddsmakers are giving the Seahawks a five-point edge. Betting against a healthy Aaron Green Bay Packers vs Shortly after the betting odds opened for the NFL Divisional Round matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and Green Bay Packers they were on the move. The over/under opened as high as 47.5 around the market, but the updated line has settled lower than that. The spread, meanwhile, has taken on two-sided action after opening at Packers -4.5. Seahawks vs Packers Vegas NFL Preview & Betting Line. Green Bay avoided a third straight defeat in a comfortable 31-12 win at home over the Dolphins. The Packers covered as a massive 11.5-point favorite. Randy Chambers August 29, 2014 11:15 am Green Bay Packers (8-7-1) at Seattle Seahawks (13-3) NFL Football: Thursday, September 4, 2014 at 8:30 pm (CenturyLink Field) The 5-seeded Seattle Seahawks and 2-seeded Green Bay Packers face off in an NFC Divisional Round showdown on Sunday. In the meantime, we’ll be tracking how the betting odds shift throughout the week, including where to find the best lines. Find the latest updates below. Seahawks-Packers Odds Tracker Wednesday Evening

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Packers vs. Seahawks: 2014 NFC Championship Game Aaron Rodgers vs. Russell Wilson NFL Full Game

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