Juan Manuel Marquez’s Las Vegas Odds vs. Manny Pacquiao

The Manny Pacquiao vs Chris Algieri Viewing Guide

Introduction

As fans we know sports are unpredictable, yet we spend countless hours defending, discussing, and arguing our points about how we believe the future will go. On Saturday night all the hours of “Manny will score the knockout” and “Chris Algieri couldn’t punch his way out of a wet paper bag” and “Manny Pacquiao is not Ruslan Provodnikov” will be put to rest. Chris Algieri will get his chance to live out a real life Rocky tale, while Manny Pacquiao will look to add another young and prime feather to his collection. On Sunday, things that seem impossible today could be glaringly obvious. We’ve seen it happen before with both fighters. For Algieri, it was the time he walked out of a lion’s den. For Pacquiao, it was defeating giants. Saturday is that impossible opportunity for Algieri. For Pacquiao, it’s another fight.

The Fight

Algieri entered his fight against Ruslan Provodnikov as a sacrificial lamb. It wasn’t that Algieri had done anything special to earn his shot against the WBO junior welterweight champion, instead it was that he was the only guy who’d been up for the challenge. Provodnikov had just beaten Mike Alvarado to a pulp and few wanted to take the risk that Provodnikov posed. Except Algieri. When Alfieri’s credentials were read, many scoffed. Algieri stood as the underdog whose face was prettier than his boxing record. Surely this former kick boxer who’d never fought outside of his native New York was in way over his head… but he did have an undefeated record and could move some tickets in the area. As the fight approached the criticism of Algieri’s selection as Provodnikov’s next meal died down. Fans accepted Algieri once statements were made by other junior welterweights. The general sentiment seemed to be that Algieri was the best we were going to get before we started bringing Mexican legends out of retirement. Anyone who looked closely into this Algieri would have seen the writing on the wall. Algieri was exactly the kind of fighter that you’d choose to beat Provodnikov. A guy that would never resort to fighting Provodnikov’s fire with fire of his own. Rather, Algieri was a disciplined tactician that would punish Provodnikov each time he made a mistake. On the night of the fight, Algieri did exactly what was projected. He beat Ruslan Provodnikov and with the shrinking pool of Top Rank opponents he was selected as Manny Pacquiao’s November opponent.

The Catchweight

Part of the official fight details includes a 144 lb. catchweight. Pacquiao is no stranger to catchweights. He last fought at a catchweight in 2011. It was also for 144 lbs. against archenemy Juan Manuel Marquez. Other catchweight opponents for the Filipino star include his encounters with Antonio Margarito and Miguel Cotto. All signs indicate that Pacquiao has had no trouble dropping down to the contracted weight. Algieri will be coming up from 140, though he’s officially weighed as high as 143 1/2 pounds as recently as July of 2013.

The Tale of the Tape

Manny Pacquiao vs. Chris Algieri
56(38)-5-2 RECORD 20(8)-0
35 AGE 30
145.4 lbs. LAST 5 AVG WEIGHT 142.1 lbs.
5’6 1/2” HEIGHT 5’10”
23” REACH 22”
Filipino ETHNICITY American
General Santos City, Philippines HOMETOWN Huntington, NY
3(0)-2 LAST 5 5(1)-0
22 # OF TITLE FIGHTS 1
17(8)-3-2 RECORD IN TITLE FIGHTS 1(0)-0

The Fighters

Chris Algieri

Born and raised in Huntington, New York, Chris Algieri is 30 years old. If you’ve seen the 24/7 episode, you likely know that Algieri lives in his parents basement. Algieri began his professional combat career as a kickboxer. He amassed a 20-0 record that included a couple of world titles before moving onto boxing. Algieri also has a Bachelors and Masters degree to add to his accolades, which also include wrestling and martial arts.

Manny Pacquiao

Chris Algieri isn’t the only one who can multi-task. Manny Pacquiao is the 35-year-old boxepolitician/basketball head coach/point guard/snooker expert/fatheweight loss motivator and family man who remains one of the premier fighters in all of boxing. His story is now legend. He began as a minimumweight who kept rocks in his pocket to make weight and now sits atop the boxing world as one of the biggest stars in the sport.

The Interesting Bits

The Trainers

Manny Pacquiao - Freddie Roach

The tale of Manny Pacquiao and Freddie Roach’s legendary collaboration is as much a story of fate as any great love story. Pacquiao was a twice beaten, wild, and a gifted offensive fighter without any defense to show for it when his manager brought him to America. He brought Pacquiao specifically to the Wild Card Boxing Club in West Hollywood, California on a mission to find Pacquiao a proper trainer. Freddie Roach agreed to work out Pacquiao and after 1 round of mitt work, Roach said, “this kid can fight.” That’s where it all began. They officially began in the ring as a late fill in against IBF super featherweight Lehlo Ledwaba. Pacquiao, unknown to the American public, would devastate Ledwaba. Ledwaba would taste the canvas, suffer a broken nose, and ultimately finish the fight on his back. Roach is 54 and a former prizefighter himself. He was an all-action, blood and guts featherweight who became known for his ability to absorb punishment. Roach trained under Eddie Futch, a legend in his own regard, and cites Futch as the source of much of his own success as a trainer. As a trainer, Roach has amassed one of the deepest talent pools in all of boxing. He currently trains WBO welterweight champion Manny Pacquiao, lineal and WBC middleweight champion Miguel Cotto, former WBO junior welterweight champion Ruslan Provodnikov, Zou Shiming, Antonio DeMarco, Lucian Bute, Ik Yang, rising prospect Frankie Gomez as well as a slew of other young fighters. If you follow the NBA, the best comparison for a Roach fighter would be the 2007 Phoenix Suns. Roach, like Mike D’Antoni, is an offensive mastermind. His fighters are often dazzling and destructive in the ring. To cover up defensive flaws, Roach creates more offense and attacking to hide his fighter’s flaws. Most notably you can see this with Amir Khan. Until Khan faced Danny Garcia, Khan looked unstoppable and like the defensive lapses that led to his first knockout loss were erased. Post-Roach, Khan looks vulnerable and always on the verge of something terrible happening if he isn’t allowed to smother his opponent.

Chris Algieri - Tim Lane & Keith Trimble

Algieri’s association with Tim Lane began 13 years ago. Algieri started as a sparring partner for Lane, who fought his way off the streets and into a more stable life. Keith Trimble was Lane’s trainer who began working with Algieri in his final fights as a professional kick boxer. Trimble and Lane are the two-headed monster behind Algieri, but because Algieri is still relatively unknown, they're a monster we still haven't seen in full light. Saturday the lights will go on and we’ll see if they are a terrifying duo of martial arts wisdom and discipline or a monster with a visible zipper. What do know from watching Algieri in the ring is that they have an intelligent fighter who uses his natural advantages to be successful. Algieri still has flaws, like his tendency to square up and fight when he should box behind his jab, but thus far the duo have guided Algieri to success. Saturday should reveal a lot about them. If they were an NBA coach, we’d compare them to Steve Kerr. Kerr is off to a hot start with his first gig as a coach. He’s got his team playing tremendous defense with a very potent brand of offense, but it’s still far too early to tell just how good of a coach he is.

Purses

Official purses have yet to be released, though Bob Arum has stated that Manny Pacquiao is earning a minimum of $20 million dollars for Saturday’s fight. For Algieri, the rumored amount is $1.5 million with upside for pay-per-view. In the same interview that Arum stated that Pacquiao would be earning $20 million, he stated that Algieri’s camp in general would earn $2.75 million.

Compubox

The Odds

Fighter Bovada Bet365 GamblersPalace SkyBet
Manny Pacquiao -750 -1000 -800 -1200
Chris Algieri +475 +600 +575 +650
For a comparison of where Algieri ranks amongst previous opponents, here are Pacquiao's last 4 opponents:
If you're unfamiliar with a Vegas money line, what this means is that if you were betting $100, you'd win the amount above. So if you bet Marquez to win outright in their fourth encounter, Vegas would have paid you $225.
On the reverse, if you are betting a favorite, or if you were betting on Pacquiao beating Algieri outright, you'd have to bet 700 dollars on Bovada to win 100 dollars.
Another note is that Algieri was anywhere from +375 to +575 heading into his match with Ruslan Provodnikov.
Your Best Bet
There’s very little value in any bet other than Algieri by decision. Its unlikely Algieri can stop Manny Pacquiao, let alone score some miraculous one-punch knockout. It's a safe bet and should yield a solid payout for very little risk.
More in the comments.
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