All queues are currently full. Please fix it!!!!!! : DotA2

My Betting Guide - criticism please!

Hey guys Misery here!
I decided to write a little explanation aka Tips & Tricks regarding betting mainly on csgolounge.com. And to get started I want all of you to read and UNDERSTAND the rules (www.csgolounge.com/rules). I will help you with all your Questions in English or german as long as you read the rules! If the answer is easily found in the rules I might react a little not so friendly/satiric. For this guide I am making up an example-match between LDLC that has 80% on csgolounge and Torqued with 20%.
First of all I will explain to you what betting in csgo is based on and what the most important points are. Betting in csgo often involves skins or stickers but can also be done with money. You can bet with money on egamingbets.com and with items on csgolounge.com. I'm going to focus on csgolounge.com for the moment. So the lounge is setting a value to your items. This value is taken by the actual steam-value of the item. The steam-value changes often while the csgolounge-value stays the same for much longer which provides us our first exploit:

Go to csgobackpack.net/lounge.php and search for bettable items. The best item to bet is the item where the csgolounge-value divided by the steam-value is the highest. A good item starts by 1.25. Everything above that is bonus. Once you found an item like that you should buy it and use it to bet. The advantage is that you get a relatively high value on your bet without risking that much money.

Important to know is that the csgolounge-odds are not the actual chances for a team winning. This gives us two possibilities for making our choice:
  1. You can bet on the team that is more likely to win. This team is not always the better team. There are a lot of different factors that influence this way of choosing. The skill of the players, how long the team played together, the map choice if it is a best of 1, etc. These factors should give you your personal odds which might be 60-40 for LDLC. This means that LDLC would win in 60 out of 100 games. This would be a pretty good bet to place on LDLC then.
  2. You can 'play the odds'. If you calculated your personal odds to be 60-40 for LDLC you can compare them to the csgolounge-odds (80-20 for LDLC). Using this tactic you should be betting pretty late when the odds are less likely to sway and you should be sure about your prediction skills. If you are right LDLC wins 60 out of 100 matches against Torqued.
If you were betting 100$ each game on LDLC you would win: 100$/match * 60 won-match * 20% Torqued / 80% LDLC – 40 lost-match * 100$/match = -1500$ Although LDLC wins more matches than Torqued you still loose money because of the odds. In this case you should play the odds and bet on Torqued. If you were betting 100$ each game on Torqued you would win: 100$/match * 40 won-match * 80% LDLC / 20% Torqued – 60 lost-match * 100$/match = 10000$ Thats right, if you bet on LDLC you would loose 15% off your bet on average. If you bet on Torqued you would win 100% your bet on average. Of course, csgolounge.com is taking a little 4-5% cut of your winnings, but you can still see what I'm saying, right? +100% winning is huge. The only disadvantage is, that even if you predict your personal odds perfectly, LDLC still has a 60% chance of winning the game. They are not playing 100 times but just 1 time! Over time you would still profit though. Playing the odds is best in a best of 1 since the odds are most of the time not quite adapting to the circumstances of the match being HIGHLY dependent on the map and the knife round.

Once you have decided on who and how much to bet it's time to put your money down. On csgolounge we have a system that might need to get used to. If it says that the queue is currently full I personally like to put an auto-clicker onto the 'Are you sure?' button. It should do the trick. It is also really useful to have some nice skins in the returns so that you can place a bet even when the bots are down. You can place the bet 5 minutes before the match starts. Try to bet half an hour before. This way you can still think about it if anything changes your bet significantly in the last hour. I made some rules for myself that prevent me from a heart-attack:
Don't bet on odds above 90%! Don't bet against unknown teams! Don't bet what you can't afford to loose! Don't go all-in! Don't listen to the haters!

Of course it's fun and shit but the most important thing about watching is to get to know the teams. Information is the key for future games so try to get as much of that as possible. Watch every single player individually. How is the teamplay? Are they winning because of pure luck or skill or hacks?

Don't request all of it. It's good to have some skins in returns. If you'd like to play with some, get them out.
Step 6: Watch your bank.
Try to always be aware of loosing streaks or if you are going negative. Prevention can save your inv. Don't try to bet high so that you can cover your losses. It either works or it doesn't. Deal with it.

Crossbetting is betting on both teams. It takes at least 2 steam accounts and it might sound stupid but if it is executed right it is immortal. And here is why: Remember the 'bettable skins'? You should. And here is an example: In case you found skins that cost 1$ on Steam and are worth 1.50$ on lounge you can follow this example. The odds are still LDLC 80% - Torqued 20%
You should buy (80/20 + 80/20 * 20/80 = 5) of that skin. Now you put (80% * 5 = 4) skins on LDLC. Now you put (20% * 5 = 1) skins on Torqued. In case LDLC wins you made (4 * 1,50$ * 20 / 80 – 1 * 1$ = 0,5$). In case Torqued wins you made (1 * 1,50$ * 80 / 20 – 4 * 1$ = 2$). Over time you will get a feeling for it. Also after the games you will decrease your amount of overvalued skins.
Credit goes to MiserylovesCompany :D
submitted by MiserylC to csgobetting [link] [comments]

All queues are currently full. Please fix it!!!!! fix it, is literally impossible to be. Tried every 10 minutes in the last hours :/ Suggestion: Remove bots for the "return items" and add this bots to "bet" 12 comments. share. save you could have easily placed a lot of bets before TI started and kept all those items for easy betting CS GO Lounge is a platform where you can bet on Counter-Strike: Global Offensive matches as well as trade your skins with other users. With our full tournament coverage you will never miss your favourite team perform. Beside watching matches on our website, you can place your funds against other users and bet on which of the two teams will win. As always ShoxILON will carry all team, but in fnatic will be more team play. So lets see. "All queues are currently full, please try again later." >__> 2014-07-25 17:55 #194 orikoo6 This is why you should leave the skins on my bets CS GO LOUNGE LOGIC. 2014-07-25 17:51 lounge destroyer message keeps alternating between "you are in queue" and "all return queues are currently full" (return queues are never full at 2am GMT), nothing is happening or working permalink embed CS GO Lounge is a platform where you can bet on Counter-Strike: Global Offensive matches as well as trade your skins with other users. With our full tournament coverage you will never miss your favourite team perform. Beside watching matches on our website, you can place your funds against other users and bet on which of the two teams will win.

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